No help in this corner of the forum last week (6-6-1). No rank-value either. For the whole of 2024 it’s 27-31-1 (.466). Looking at every game, the box leans into the following: 1) JamesMadison(-16.5)/LA-Monroe 2) Tulane(-15)/UAB 3) WakeForest(+4.5)/NorthCarSt 4) OldDominion(+6)/CoastalCar 5) AppState(+3)/Marshall 6) Hawaii(+3)/SanDiegoSt 7) Missouri(+1.5)/TexasA&M 8) SouthCarolina(+9)/Mississippi 9) Charlotte(+9)/EastCarolina 10) Northwestern(+14)/Indiana 11) Minnesota(+8.5)/USC 12) California(+10.5)/MiamiFlorida 13) UTEP(+10.5)/SamHouston
With 36% of the season gone, it’s time for a positive performance slope to take hold. My historic research model (10 years) says that’s inherent, based on increasingly more-accurate power ratings. But………seeing will be believing.
Hey, a case for college game volatility last Saturday. Georgia (-2) was topped by Alabama 41-34 in a marque game. With 7 minutes left in the first half, the Tide was ahead 28-0. Who could possibly see that coming? However, I would submit, that inherent level of college-ball uncertainty advantages the player -- not The Man. College has much higher lines than the pro game, which attest to that intrinsic uncertainty. The pro game has more parity, and more money-scrutiny; which translates to a tougher line. Humble opinion on that. So, as really-tough as it is to beat – I’ve always been in the NCAAF lane (134 teams vs. 32).
49 on the board this week. There were 53 last week, so we’re in a small lull. My binoculars say no help on the opportunity front next week. Good luck, TheKingfish
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No help in this corner of the forum last week (6-6-1). No rank-value either. For the whole of 2024 it’s 27-31-1 (.466). Looking at every game, the box leans into the following: 1) JamesMadison(-16.5)/LA-Monroe 2) Tulane(-15)/UAB 3) WakeForest(+4.5)/NorthCarSt 4) OldDominion(+6)/CoastalCar 5) AppState(+3)/Marshall 6) Hawaii(+3)/SanDiegoSt 7) Missouri(+1.5)/TexasA&M 8) SouthCarolina(+9)/Mississippi 9) Charlotte(+9)/EastCarolina 10) Northwestern(+14)/Indiana 11) Minnesota(+8.5)/USC 12) California(+10.5)/MiamiFlorida 13) UTEP(+10.5)/SamHouston
With 36% of the season gone, it’s time for a positive performance slope to take hold. My historic research model (10 years) says that’s inherent, based on increasingly more-accurate power ratings. But………seeing will be believing.
Hey, a case for college game volatility last Saturday. Georgia (-2) was topped by Alabama 41-34 in a marque game. With 7 minutes left in the first half, the Tide was ahead 28-0. Who could possibly see that coming? However, I would submit, that inherent level of college-ball uncertainty advantages the player -- not The Man. College has much higher lines than the pro game, which attest to that intrinsic uncertainty. The pro game has more parity, and more money-scrutiny; which translates to a tougher line. Humble opinion on that. So, as really-tough as it is to beat – I’ve always been in the NCAAF lane (134 teams vs. 32).
49 on the board this week. There were 53 last week, so we’re in a small lull. My binoculars say no help on the opportunity front next week. Good luck, TheKingfish
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