Round Two College Football Playoffs

Went 1-3 in round one. All home favorites easily covered in low scoring one sided affairs.

Favorite to win it all appears to be 3 loss Georgia (+500) one one side, and Ohio St (+325), losers to Michigan on the other side. Could also be an all SEC matchup in the finals, with Texas (+270) vs Georgia, at least these are the teams to beat beforehand, to prevent an all SEC final you must beat an SEC team. Ohio St has a poor record overall vs the SEC, even after beating Tennesee at home, they are still 3-12. So light edge to Texas if it is Texas vs Ohio St.

Texas vs ASU over 52  ASU has a punishing RB and a better run game than Texas. This helps them stay in manageable 3rd downs. Texas doesn't care oif they have a 3rd and 8...they will be throwing deep and often. Line should be 64 and Texas -9.

ASU +14 and Over 52

..............................

Ohio St -1.5

Oregon is strutting around like theyre Alabama, but they have not earned any titles, and last time they were this close I believe it was Ohio St who crushed them, or was it Auburn and their poor tackling vs the media celebrated Cam Newton game....Oregon will have to beat Ohio St twice, and Ohio St looked a lot better vs a mobile QB in Tenn, so Gabriel was arrogantly prancing around, taunting......and Ore players in their flourescent helmets will be thrown all over the place in a neutral field and a revenge spot...

...............................

Boise St -11 and ML

Jeanty over 100+ yards

Ashton Jeanty will be the best player on that football field the entire game. He ran for nearly 200 yards vs Oregon and he will get close to that number. Boise is a poised team so not expecting jitters or feeling insecure, inadequate and therefore underperforming B.S. we saw in every first rd game by the dogs. Penn St will get outcoached in this one. Upset of the playoffs for the betting public.

................................

Lean Georgia -1.5

Georgia just gets lucky. Kirby Smart's title runs came with enormous luck----a missed chip shot bad hook FG by Ohio State.....cost them the title (TCU was a dead horse in the title game). Prior to that,..defeating Baker Mayfield's Oklahoma in the semis......luck luck luck all over that game...only to lose to Tua in the finals. Speed and physicality keeps Georgia in a position to needing just a bit of luck, and they seem to get it with chubby smug faced Kirby. This will be an intriguing game. ND with no advantage in the trenches is a different team when facing a situation of disrupted plays. When in doubt play the top tier SEC teams to get it done, and for their opponents to make crucial mistakes late (like hooking a FG).

..............................

Looking ahead, can't see Boise getting past Georgia and all that luck they get, oftentimes from the refereees, all they hype and mystique they get from the media, esp ESPN and Finnebaum (why this guy has so many shows and publicized opinions is another rabbit hole.....) Most SEC schools benefit from the hype. It's a bu$ine$$, an entertainment game of two PLAYoff teams PLAYing a game, and so the games look often unreal, fake, contrived...but blame the media analysts who have "earned the right" to create mystique and effect the games, analysts like Greenberg, Berman, Finnebaum....hype, hype, hype.....It won't be different this year. So I would expect Texas and Georgia to get all the hype and luck and referee help all along the way.

Texas vs Georgia

Texas win it all if it's a true contest..........

Not a prediction with money behind it. Just based on the money and hype in college FB.

Round two games will be much better than round one--more competitive to the 4th quarter, etc.

Jeanty reminds of Derrick Henry. He is a power RB, but he is more able to cut than Henry, and gets more missed tackles as a result of cutting back, not from power like Henry.....add that the ability of Boise to get blockers on defenders....

Add to that the fact Penn St is not on the list of beloved SEC teams that are hyped up by paid narrative driving blowhards like Finnebaum....(last week his glasses fell off that huge nose of his on air and this was funny enough to make the social media rounds...)

I now do not watch any news at all, esp not opinion making news that is designed to assign us all an opoinion, which we think is ours.

Just wait til Super Bowl.....

I digressed (American media is comical and at playoff time the opinion assigners start calling the game as they see it, but interject their opinions. Use mute option.

.....Boise St +11 is the best wager of round two. 10 units. The nation knows nothing about Jeanty ....and college FB fanatics on the East Coast will see a great RB in Cam Skattebo.....ASU +14 and over parlay 5 units.

ASU is 10-2 ATS (fact check???). So they are outplaying their numbers.

Texas has not beaten any ranked teams (at the time they played.....fact check???). I think their best win was vs Clemson. I thopught they could beat Georgia the second time around.....that game felt like Georgia was in control in most of that one.....

ASU did not let Iowa St do anything in the Conf Championship.

I can see this one being out of hand for ASU by the 3rd qtr.....somehere in the area of 42-21.....but Sarkisian will try use clock. He did so vs Tex A and M, and ASU has the explosiveness to cover late as Texas is playing prevent---which we all know prevents nothing but a cover of a big number.

Interesting take. GL. Opposite about the Ducks.