Usually I play each and every bowl game for a half unit come bowl season, but I'm passing on BYU tomorrow as I was dead set on pounding them, but on second look I get the feeling that they might lose outright let alone cover DDs. So I don't wanna start the season with a second guess loss, so I'm just gonna avoid the game completely.
Fresno State +1.5
N Ill seems to be the better team in almost every aspect, but they didn't play anyone good at all in that dogshit conference. Fresno State can at least say that in the few games against solid teams that they played, they were competitive(excluding that Boise ass rape).
Troy -2
Usually in a situation where Team A has a great offense/bad defense, and Team B has a bad offense/great defense, I will veer towards the better defensive team, but I'm gonna go the opposite this time. I think Troy just has too much firepower, and while losing Boo isn't the end of the world for Ohio because of the offense they run, it certainly doesn't help losing their playcaller for a bowl game because he is a braindead boob.