TD Week 7

Week 7 Locked In:

Oregon +4.5 -110 (0.5u)  (DK)

Florida International +19.5 -110 (0.3u)  (FD)

Mostly numbers plays.... somewhat caught up finally.  Not sure that matters a ton on plays, but establishing a position on a handful of games.  

Week 7:

Pitt -3 -110 (1u)  (DK)

Minnesota / UCLA Under 42.5 -110 (1u)

Louisiana Monroe -5.5 -110 (0.75u)

Oregon +4.5 -110 (0.5u)

Kentucky / Vanderbilt Under 46.5 -115 (0.5u)

Nevada +7.5 -110 (0.5u)

BYU -2.5 -110 (0.5u)

Buffalo +10 -110 (0.4u)

Georgia Southern +1 -110 (0.4u)

Florida International +19.5 -110 (0.3u)

South Carolina / Alabama Over 51.5 -110 (0.3u)

Akron +12.5 -110 (0.3u)

Ahead of many big line moves, which is now an expectation for your early plays. Great work!

Good luck TD.  

@D-Town

Thank you, D-Town. Good luck this week!

Added:

Look Ahead line for 10/19:

Nebraska / Indiana Under 51.5 -110 (0.5u)

GLon your plays @TD21

I added several FCS plays today — took a couple breaks at work.    No time to post.

Will throw up what I can then gotta run again:

ETSU -5.5 -115 (1.5u)

Valpo Under 50.5 -110 (1.2u)

Tarleton / Utah Tech Over 57.5 -110 (0.8U)

South Dakota -16.5 -110 (0.7u)

Butler +4.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -16.5 -110 (0.4u)

Texas A&M-Commerce -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Tennessee Tech +13.5 -110 (0.4i)

Lamar +8.5 -110 (0.3u)

NDSU -14.5 (missed -12.5 d@mn) (0.3u)

NDSU Under 56.5 -110 (0.3u)

Illinois State ML -110 (0.2u)

Northern Arizona +15.5 -110 (0.2u)

YSU +31.5 -105 (0.2u)

Ty TD!

Forgot one;

Morgan State / Merrimack Under 42.5 -110 (0.5u)

@Macwestie1

 Thanks Mac, Best of Luck to you too!    

Lookahead line added:

Texas A&M +11.5 -115 vs. Texas (11/30) (0.9u)

Week 7 FCS (mostly Underdog ML 8-leg parlay):

Davidson ML

Bryant ML

Furman ML

Butler ML

ETSU ML -210

Tennessee Tech ML

Lamar ML

Tarleton State / Utah Tech Over 57.5

risking 0.1u to win 204+ units

Alright, if you’re like me and are kicking yourself for not having a Sam Houston +2000 or better ticket to win CUSA, now before Sam Houston plays WKU feels like the time to get into the action finally.

Adddd:

SHSU +550 (risk 0.15u) to win CUSA

WKU +260 (risk 0.07u) to win CUSA (just to cover 0.15u risked above)

i can’t see Liberty winning the conference, they’re not that good this year.  Should be one of these two teams.

Week 7 FCS:

ETSU -5.5 -115 (1.5u)

Valpo Under 50.5 -110 (1.2u) -- POSTPONED

Tarleton / Utah Tech Over 57.5 -110 (0.8u)

Added:  Wofford -17 -110 (0.75u) (BOL)

South Dakota -16.5 -110 (0.7u)

Butler +4.5 -110 (0.5u)

Morgan State / Merrimack Under 42.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -16.5 -110 (0.4u)

Texas A&M-Commerce -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Tennessee Tech +13.5 -110 (0.4i)

Lamar +8.5 -110 (0.3u)

NDSU -14.5 (0.3u)

NDSU Under 56.5 -110 (0.3u)

Illinois State ML -110 (0.2u)

Northern Arizona +15.5 -110 (0.2u)

YSU +31.5 -105 (0.2u)

Week 7 FCS:

ETSU -5.5 -115 (Bumped to 1.8u) 

Valpo Under 50.5 -110 (1.2u) -- POSTPONED

Wofford -17 -110 (0.75u) & Added Wofford -16.5 (0.1u) & Wofford -16 (0.2u) -- (1.05u combined)

Tarleton / Utah Tech Over 57.5 -110 (0.8u)

South Dakota -16.5 -110 (0.7u)

Butler +4.5 -110 (0.5u)

Morgan State / Merrimack Under 42.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -16.5 -110 (0.4u)

Texas A&M-Commerce -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Tennessee Tech +13.5 -110 (0.4i)

Lamar +8.5 -110 (0.3u)

NDSU -14.5 (0.3u)

NDSU Under 56.5 -110 (0.3u)

Added:  Princeton +14 -110 (0.3u)

Illinois State ML -110 (0.2u)

Northern Arizona +15.5 -110 (0.2u)

YSU +31.5 -105 (0.2u)

Added: Princeton / Mercer Under 46 -110 (0.2u)

GL today TD!

@TD21

LST WEEK FCS - 

Had ETSU with you; just never got going

Utah Tech/Tarleton - saw Utah Tech in Florence two weeks ago vs. UNA; can't stop anybody and by mistake can score a couple of points; a very bad team; Tarleton calling off the dogs in 2nd half with 40+ scored in 1st half is why these games can be a coin flip; total should have eclipsed 70 easy; going forward - I still like the Over in any game Utah Tech plays; which brings me to UNA - 

Two weeks ago at the Utah Tech @ UNA game in Florence, AL; Made a mental note that both teams could be Over plays the balance of the season; Was back in Florence this weekend for the game with Abilene Christian; 2 teams that like to score; surprised UNA not only covered 9+ but won outright by dominating the 2nd half' I had played over 59; a winner 2 minutes into the 2nd half;

I now also think both Abilene & UNA are worth looking at Overs the balance of the season as long as the Books don't keep a tight eye on FCS - both can score and can give them up - thanks for what you do here

Good Fortune! 

@Xdoge

Yeah, Saturday was a weird day.  It felt like I just got my @ss kicked overall, but when I tallied it all up at the end of the night I was +0.2u overall.  Forgot I had an Oregon ML GOTY small play (posted in Week 0/1 thread as I recall) as well.  Anyway, FBS openers in post #2 went 11-1 and the one loss was by 1-point with Pitt.  Fortunate on Georgia Southern with the big 4th qtr comeback, but it was good work on the #s plays and I'll take it.  11-1 was much needed to offset the FCS larger plays that didn't pan out.  I believe 7-10 overall on all FCS plays, but those top 3 went 0-3.

I think Tarleton/Utah Tech Over was the right side.  Tarleton just called off the dogs up 42-0 at halftime and final score remains 42-0.  Ouch!

ETSU scored the last 17 points of the game.  The one drive they settled for a field goal I needed a TD there mid 4th qtr (needed 21-0 closeout instead), but they certainly f'cked around 1st half to get down by 14 points vs. a team that they should be better than (as evidenced by the closeout).

And the Wofford game was in good shape up 15-3 at halftime, but I was watching ESPN+ when they had the 3rd qtr pick 6 to keep VMI in the game.  Similar to ETSU, Wofford kept an inferior opponent in the game longer than they should have and then pulled away again at the end to win by 15 (when I'm laying 16, 16.5, & 17).  Anyway, I think keep fading VMI, they are so bad power rating wise.

And good points on UNA and ACU.  Unless my spreadsheet is off, ACU games are averaging 71.9 ppg.  UNA games are only averaging 55.3 ppg, but that increases to almost 62 ppg over their last 5 games.