is that the team you are handicapping for these bowl games are entirely different than the team you handicapped during the regular season. Yeah there might be some semblance of it but given all the transfers and opt outs you really are handicapping a team without any data points or past performances as it is structured for the bowl game. Perhaps that is why a lot of dogs and unders have been hitting this season. Take a look at today's first bowl game between MD v NC State. These two teams today are completely different than what they were during the regular season - the Terps have lost 4 good receivers (3 - WRs and 1 TE) and this was a team that did well in its passing game. While NC State isn't as affected as the Terps in terms of players not playing, can you trust whoever they have playing QB???
As a gambler when I handicap games i tend to look at past performances and data points that i can examine and say well they may play to this level again today or today's opponent is not as strong as what they faced during the regular season but the plain fact is that it is sort of impossible to do so when the make up of a team is so completely different in a bowl game. Really the only teams not affected by this I don't think are those in the college playoffs. And what will happen when we expand the playoffs - will players still opt out??
All i am saying is that the thing about these bowl games this year is the team on the field isn't the same during the season so you better be careful how you bet. This might be obvious to everyone but worth stating as a reminder.
Good luck today.
GmoneyGtown
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
is that the team you are handicapping for these bowl games are entirely different than the team you handicapped during the regular season. Yeah there might be some semblance of it but given all the transfers and opt outs you really are handicapping a team without any data points or past performances as it is structured for the bowl game. Perhaps that is why a lot of dogs and unders have been hitting this season. Take a look at today's first bowl game between MD v NC State. These two teams today are completely different than what they were during the regular season - the Terps have lost 4 good receivers (3 - WRs and 1 TE) and this was a team that did well in its passing game. While NC State isn't as affected as the Terps in terms of players not playing, can you trust whoever they have playing QB???
As a gambler when I handicap games i tend to look at past performances and data points that i can examine and say well they may play to this level again today or today's opponent is not as strong as what they faced during the regular season but the plain fact is that it is sort of impossible to do so when the make up of a team is so completely different in a bowl game. Really the only teams not affected by this I don't think are those in the college playoffs. And what will happen when we expand the playoffs - will players still opt out??
All i am saying is that the thing about these bowl games this year is the team on the field isn't the same during the season so you better be careful how you bet. This might be obvious to everyone but worth stating as a reminder.
Oh, I am taking the UNDER 23 in the First Half. I feel Maryland hopefully will have a slower start with so many offensive stars out especially receivers and so may run the ball more and NC State's D is good against the run. Given NC State may start a freshman at QB i do think they too may play conservative in the first half. The trend in these bowl games have been low scoring first halves so i am going to ride it one more time...UNDER 23 FIRST HALF
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Oh, I am taking the UNDER 23 in the First Half. I feel Maryland hopefully will have a slower start with so many offensive stars out especially receivers and so may run the ball more and NC State's D is good against the run. Given NC State may start a freshman at QB i do think they too may play conservative in the first half. The trend in these bowl games have been low scoring first halves so i am going to ride it one more time...UNDER 23 FIRST HALF
Yeah, I agree. I am going to play UNDER FIRST HALF 23 in the first bowl game.
If you were playing parlays i think you wouldn't go wrong playing some dogs again today. The only real favorite i like today is UCLA...i think Pitt is severely disadvantaged by how many players opted out.
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@Espn80000
Yeah, I agree. I am going to play UNDER FIRST HALF 23 in the first bowl game.
If you were playing parlays i think you wouldn't go wrong playing some dogs again today. The only real favorite i like today is UCLA...i think Pitt is severely disadvantaged by how many players opted out.
Can you see what players have opted out I’m looking at the UCLA game the total drop from 61 down to 50 for UCLA has got over 54 points in all its last 10 games is the quarterback opt it out
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@GMoneyGTown
Can you see what players have opted out I’m looking at the UCLA game the total drop from 61 down to 50 for UCLA has got over 54 points in all its last 10 games is the quarterback opt it out
I know for sure on the Pitt side they have a lot not playing - the starting qb slovis gone; the leading ACC rb Izzy whatever his last name gone; two of their offensive starting tackles gone and that’s only on the offensive side. On the defense a similar number are not playing including their leading tackler linebacker.
the thing with ucla is that DTR is supposed to play but something funky is going on cause all I am seeing is “likely” and I think Chip Kelly is purposely trying to keep it on the down low.
so I think that is why the total if it did May have come down. I still think ucla crushes and is the one favorite we can count on
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@dustmiester
I know for sure on the Pitt side they have a lot not playing - the starting qb slovis gone; the leading ACC rb Izzy whatever his last name gone; two of their offensive starting tackles gone and that’s only on the offensive side. On the defense a similar number are not playing including their leading tackler linebacker.
the thing with ucla is that DTR is supposed to play but something funky is going on cause all I am seeing is “likely” and I think Chip Kelly is purposely trying to keep it on the down low.
so I think that is why the total if it did May have come down. I still think ucla crushes and is the one favorite we can count on
It will stay close - both are very similar only cause Maryland lost all its players. If Maryland didn’t they would win easily I think. However good luck in 2nd half with your bet …especially since I won mine lol
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@Ppkay
It will stay close - both are very similar only cause Maryland lost all its players. If Maryland didn’t they would win easily I think. However good luck in 2nd half with your bet …especially since I won mine lol
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