Bowl Season
December 28
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU (-10) at Boston College (@ Fenway Park, Boston)
SMU (11-2)
— SMU won its last nine games (5-3 ATS), scoring 43.8 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 26+ points in its wins this year.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 6-3 ATS as a favorite, 4-2 on road.
— last five years, SMU is 42-18 SU/30-29 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 59.9% of passes, with 28 TD’s, 8 INT.
— five of SMU’s last seven games went over total.
— AAC non-conference favorites are 6-6 ATS this year.
— SMU was in the AAC title game this year, for first time.
— SMU lost its last three bowls, were favored in all three;
— Mustangs’ last bowl win was in 2012.
Boston College (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last three games, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— BC is 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 allowing 27+.
— Eagles are 5-3 SU this year in one-score games.
— Last three games, BC averaged only 293.7 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved.
— soph QB has completed 57.1% of passes (15 TD’s, 13 INT)
— under Hafley, BC is 15-16 ATS as an underdog (3-4 TY).
— over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
— ACC non-conference underdogs are 9-10 ATS this season.
— BC hasn’t played in a bowl since 2019 (one in ’21 was cancelled).
— Eagles lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— This is the 2nd Fenway Bowl; favorite won/covered the first one.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-1 SU/ATS vs AAC opponents.
— Boston in December; weather could be a factor.
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx)
Miami vs Rutgers (-1)
Miami FL (7-5)
— Miami is 1-3 in last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— ‘canes are 7-2 when they score 28+, 0-3 if they don’t.
— Last three years, Miami is 19-17 SU, 14-21 ATS.
— Last two games, Miami gained 486-532 TY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— starting QB Van Dyke bolted to Wisconsin.
— backup QB Williams is 44-71/470 passing (3 TDs, one INT)
— Miami is 2-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Miami is 3-0 ATS this year, in non-conference games.
— TY, ACC teams are 26-18 SU/22-22 ATS out of conference.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020
— ‘canes lost their last four bowls; last bowl win? 2016.
Rutgers (6-6)
— Rutgers lost its last four games, all by 19+ points.
— Knights scored 11.5 ppg in those four losses.
— Rutgers is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
— Rutgers threw for more than 180 yards in only one game TY.
— Knights are 0-6 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— Scarlet Knights are 4-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Rutgers is 9-3 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Big 14 teams are 22-11 SU/14-19 ATS out of conference.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
— This is only second bowl since 2014 for the Scarlet Knights.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— since 2020, Big 14 teams are 14-8 ATS vs ACC opponents.
— Big 14 teams beat ACC squads in last six Pinstripe Bowls.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
— Miami lost this bowl 35-3 five years ago.
— December in New York; weather could be an issue.