TN +21 vs Uga

UGA grad. Follow em quite closely. Think this is the first game with above avg probability they don't cover. On the road vs an explosive offense. Run three plays a minute on avg. Laid 45 on Ky last weekend. Coach H has done a v good job and is shrewd offensively. His first yr has been an unexpected success esp in light of what he inherited.

UGA stud LB Anderson was formally arrested on felony rape charges Wed.  Was first round projected pick. Called plays too.Impact?   UGA could theoretically be overpriced now due to results, public perception,etc...

Hostile environment as bottles thrown and other junk recently. Game delayed twenty minutes as both teams had to huddle midfield...and cheerleaders were sent inside.  Interesting speculation and I like their chances to surprise with a cover. Remember....KS has a strong tendency to go conservative once up comfortably. GL.

Based on Sagarin line should be 17....be that as it may. Both have almost exact SOS. 

This is literally the first game UGA has played against a team with any kind of offense, and that's hilarious to just show how bad the SEC has been this year and how laughable it is that Vols are now considered a good offensive team.. 

Problem is Vols defense is absolutely atrocious and was on the field the ENTIRE game last week against kentucky, UGA will be able to run their usual les miles playbook and do whatever they want in this game.. But I never trust kirby smart laying huge chalk on the road, period. Vols are the first team that have a legit threat to put up multiple touchdowns on them. 

O55

Is Tennessee offense really that good? I haven’t watched them enough someone school me 

Alabama set the benchmark against Tennessee with a healthy hooker, win by 28 and still covered.  I don’t get this get the W and be satisfied.  If this Georgia D truly is a historic D, they will not take it easy on Tenn, their suspect O line, and their gimpy star quarterback.  And they will simply replace Anderson with a 5 star recruit and the next big thing as a cog in this defensive machine with no let down.   And that D will create a lot of punts and short fields for the Georgia offense to do its thang.   Smart took the pedal off the gas against hapless Mizzou.  He won’t be as generous against a traditional rival who is a key competitor for elite recruits.  Georgia -20!

Tenn is giving up 60% on 3rd down and gives up 5.7 yards a carry .Ga rolls past tenn Ga 49 Tenn 17

Good feedback,insights! Did not realize TN D was that bad.  UGA has 9 Five stars on D.  Anderson will still be missed when he is one of your leading tacklers and sacks. Lots of good discussion as another gent started a good thread also.  I like my 21...no major exposure and looking forward to an enjoyable game. Was fortunate to be there for famous Hobnail Boot game in 2000 when Greene hit Haynes last play of the game for the W. Surprised as the amt of hostility I encountered living there the next few weeks. Different culture. GL to all.

Caesars Sportsbook  saying 85 percent of monies wagered there on UGA. Large spread, on the road and v heavily bet...not a high probability long term recipe for consistent success...imo. Could b wrong....frequently am. But no big hits. Discipline and money mgmt.