to hedge or not to hedge

Question

ok long story short...or short story even shorter, its one of these

last night I play a 5 team parlay on my online account

turns out, its 80 to win 1400

I guess I was not paying attention and accidentally input Ball state ML which is the reason I ended up with the big potential payout

it was not a game I was even looking at so I have no idea how I did this........anyway

Boise State ML last night...winner

Under Hous-Temp game last night....winner

Anaheim hockey last night ML ...winner

Baylor ML at noon today...pending obviously

Ball State ML @330 today

if Baylor wins as expected,,i will know before Ball State even begins if the bet is still alive

thinking of hedging and putting 600 on Ball State opponent and making sure I get paid....am I thinking correct here?

joeythetuna · Answer

ok long story short...or short story even shorter, its one of these

last night I play a 5 team parlay on my online account

turns out, its 80 to win 1400

I guess I was not paying attention and accidentally input Ball state ML which is the reason I ended up with the big potential payout

it was not a game I was even looking at so I have no idea how I did this........anyway

Boise State ML last night...winner

Under Hous-Temp game last night....winner

Anaheim hockey last night ML ...winner

Baylor ML at noon today...pending obviously

Ball State ML @330 today

if Baylor wins as expected,,i will know before Ball State even begins if the bet is still alive

thinking of hedging and putting 600 on Ball State opponent and making sure I get paid....am I thinking correct here?

Calvone · Answer

Are you in it to gamble or make money. Anytime you can guarantee profits you should imo.

TD21 · Answer

Probably so. I see CMU at -350 ML. But, the one potential problem I see in your plan is the length of the Baylor / West Virginia game could go well beyond 3 to 3 & a half hours with all the points being scored. So just keep an eye on that. If Baylor is up comfortably and there's still some time on the clock and the Ball State / CMU game is about to kickoff you'll need to evaluate the risk.

There are a couple scenarios where maybe you only lay 280 on CMU to break even. Or skip it and eat the original 80 if West Virginia is making you nervous and that game is still going (don't lose both type thing). Best of luck.

TD

joeythetuna · Answer

I realize worst case I stand to lose the 80 right now since I don't think Ball State has any chance to win....I still dont know how I picked that ,,,it just goes to show many beers and online gambling is a dangerous combination

I think my potential downfall is money management since I'm not smart enough to sit out and not play the early games today

USF -2

Baylor first half play

thorpe · Answer

You aren&#x27;t hedging unless the line moves.What you are doing is "buying back" your bet, which means you pay the juice for no reason.But since you accidentally bet Ball St, I can understand doing this.For the people who say "guarantee profits", they should understand you could have guaranteed more profit by not including Ball St in the parlay.  And I agree with TD, the last thing you want to do is bet CMU only to have Baylor lose.

joeythetuna · Answer

the way I see this......at about 325 today if Baylor has won or looks like they may win....just enough time to play CMU ML then.......all in all...drunk gambling can pay off, lol

to hedge or not to hedge

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