vegas knows

Question

BASE: mizzou capped at -7VEGAS: defensively opens line at PKTRADING ACTION: pushes line to Florida -3 with action split 50/50 ATSLOCK IT IN: FLORIDA -3

hitlist · Answer

BASE: mizzou capped at -7VEGAS: defensively opens line at PKTRADING ACTION: pushes line to Florida -3 with action split 50/50 ATSLOCK IT IN: FLORIDA -3

hitlist · Answer

NOTE: I take a technical approach, not fundamental

I believe all available information is built into the line

Just a matter of determining if the line is a trap

Also, I factor in 'herd psychology' and vegas' intentions with the way they set a particular line

Thats all, anyways, good luck to all today

joshk · Answer

Always an interesting way to read into things. Good luck.

CarterSECpicks · Answer

HOPE YOOUR WRONG

nc1capper · Answer

Makes sense - good luck

jtoler · Answer

How can Mizzou be capped at -7.

hitlist · Answer

i use massey ratings as my baseline reliable computations for sports matchups

TheDrizzle77 · Answer

I like the way you go about handicapping your games, but I don't see where you are getting Missouri capped by a touchdown with Franklin out.

I see where you try to inflate a line like this to grab public attention after coming off a Georgia win, but 7 points?

hitlist · Answer

i am in no way affiliated with thembut have found they are highly reliablemassey ratings dit com and then predictionsgives me a starting point for seeing how vegas releases a line and then how publuc handles it

kma_books · Answer

Missouri beats a useless Florida team by 8 at home today. Without Franklin, Mizzou's offense can still run the ball effectively and will expose the Gator defense.

While very limited to playing time as a freshmen, remember that Mauk is the nation's all-time leader in passing yards (18,932), passing touchdowns (219), completions (1,353) and total offense (22,681). Don't be fooled into thinking that Missouri will have a limited playbook for Mauk. He is a much better passer than Franklin and won't be afraid to go downfield.

DamnTheMan · Answer

BOL

ticojoe · Answer

I have Florida -3 covering ATS at 78%......It made my Final Card today.

hitlist · Answer

if you have objections, thats fine, you are just presenting fundamental rationale, which is finebol to all!

hitlist · Answer

currently on pregame dot com florida ats is 60% of the action.

Rags2Ritches · Answer

Which is fine..

hitlist · Answer

lol, correct..basically a coin flip on both sides ats, but line movement from flat to florida -3.....something&#x27;s going on there,and coupled with a defensive vegas opening line at PK, get me involved on florida!

hitlist · Answer

investigating ucla game for an afternoon play, more details to follow

kma_books · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by hitlist] if you have objections, thats fine, you are just presenting fundamental rationale, which is fine&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;bol to all!&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;I don&#x27;t have objections, but you&#x27;ve made some seriously errors in your prognosis.  Vegas doesn&#x27;t have a clue with this game.  Mizzou to roll.  7-0 start.

kma_books · Answer

ummmmmm.....ooooops.  STFU.

FadeOnly · Answer

What&#x27;s happening in here??You capped Mizzou as a 7 point favorite, were offered up Mizzou as a 3 point underdog, which is a 10 point differential IN YOUR FAVOR, and you bet Florida??

speak2truth · Answer

&#x27;vegas knows no more than the rest of us&#x27;&#xD;&#xA;^fixed it for you

vegas knows

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