WASHINGTON HUSKIES

Wrong team is favored in this one. Going with Huskies +3.5

I could go on and on with research and stats on why I like this play.

In the end, Utah has a sound defense, but their offense isn’t quite explosive enough to turn this game into a shootout. I also think the Washington passing attack is good enough to put a dent in the Utah defense. I think the Utes have a good chance to win this game, but I’d be surprised if they won by a comfortable margin, which is why I’m taking the Huskies and the points.

I’m willing and ready to hear all the research and stats to back this play up. TY

Let me conclude by saying this.

If the spread were a little lower or this were a straight-up PK, I’d probably side with Utah. But with the line greater than a field goal, I have to protect against this game being decided by a field goal. The Huskies may have lost three games this year, but they’ve been by a combined 15 points. In other words, they only lose close games. Washington is by far the biggest challenge left on Utah’s schedule and the Huskies aren’t going to be easy to beat on their home field. As much as I like Utah, I feel more comfortable taking Washington as a home underdog.

GL

Losses by combined 15 pts were to Cal, Stanford & Oregon.

lack of playmakers for UW... Like the under in this game.

I'll help with the stats to back it up...

Peterson is 18-0 off bye 18wins 0 losses 

Washington has beaten Utah 11 out of the last 12 straight up 

That being said eason isn't good enough to beat Utah and there defense without ... alot of help, he's been awful against any team with a good defense 

Also Top 10snipped from ESPN Stanford Steve and the Bear:

Since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. One of those loses came last month, when No. 10 Utah fell 30-23 at unranked Southern California as a 3.5-point favorite. Four of the seven losers lost by at least 14 points. Utah travels to Washington and is a 3-point underdog.

I like Utah, they never seem to get much love in the Pac 12 as they arent flashy, more solid. That said, UW at home is usually no joke. Rested and prepped, AND +3. I will take that almost every time. 315/300 on UW here. Wish the game was at night, but still time for tailgaters to get fired up.

Cheers

Manowarfan1

Sticking to my initial play.

Here's some added content.

Now that Washington's Pac-12 title hopes are shot amid a surprising three conference losses, the best the Huskies can do is spoil Utah's bid to come out of the South Division and reach the title game. Recent history suggests they will do just that. Washington swept two from the Utes last year, including the title game. They are the one Pac-12 club capable of matching Utah's physicality and, while the Utes are efficient on offense, they don't have the type of firepower that helped Oregon overcome a two-touchdown deficit against Washington. The underdog is a major value against this key number.

Oregon's D is nothing special...Coming into the UW game...Their only real test was Auburn, which was Bo Nix's 1st game as a true freshman...He Did squat in the 1st half but put up yards in the 2nd half...Rest off the schedule was weak..Nevada..Montana...Stanford and their backup Qb..Cal and their backup QB..Colorado..Oregon's D stats were inflated... Utah as a real D.. Will be very surprised if Eason puts up numbers on that Defense...USC did it put they have elite WR's and caught all the 50/50 balls that game.  UW does not have elite playmakers.....and Utah was caught off guard with the back up QB Sears... Should be a close game with Utah winning..IMOH..

Utah M/L is the play. 

Washington has a 23% chance to cover getting 3 points. Assuming Utah's QB is near 100%.

Let this sink in...

Chris Petersen has yet to lose a regular season game following an off week in his head coaching career (17-0).

Strong 1H. On to the next