MACTION BABY! We are rolling with the UNDER 52.5. This line opened at 54, it took early sharp action on the UNDER and now on game day, it has swung and people are betting the OVER sitting at 93%. We broke this down and to us, it points to a low scoring game. Lets dig in!
WMU is replacing a few players on their offense, their QB, RB, and 4 guys from their 6 First Team ALL MAC players who graduated. They did get some transfers, but this is a whole new offense. They are also replacing their 2nd and 3rd leading receivers, and their TE. We still believe this team will be loaded on offense, hence the spread of -20.5, but we believe the spread is due to their DEFENSE. They return their top defenders and have an amazing pass rush which ranked top 25 in sacks last season. They are missing some guys in the secondary, but Akron is not an offensive juggernaut, so this is the perfect game for them to see how they fair.
Akron’s offense was horrible last year, 1.8 yards per rush and their O Line was gross. They did not score more than 7 points in 7 of 12 games last year. Yes, they could get better this year, but the defense they face today is not going to ease up. Their O Line should struggle again since they are replacing both their starting tackles, so their QB Nelson will have no time to throw again. Their defense will struggle on the line, losing most of their starters from last year, and they may be on the field often today. Their secondary has potential, and overall, they return 15 total starters to help them move forward from last year.
With all this said, Akron averaged just 10.5 ppg last season. Yes, they may be able to take a step forward but that's a large leap, especially with a defense that WMU has with pressuring the QB. The crazy part here is they have the team total’s inflated, 36.5 and 17.5, which implies OVER with 54 total points even though the Total sits at 52.5. They are making it hard for you to hit those team total overs for a reason. We believe there will be a lot of punts and a team that will struggle to get to 14-17 for Akron and 31-34 for WMU. Good Luck!
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WMU/Akron Under 52.5 -110 <1 unit>
MACTION BABY! We are rolling with the UNDER 52.5. This line opened at 54, it took early sharp action on the UNDER and now on game day, it has swung and people are betting the OVER sitting at 93%. We broke this down and to us, it points to a low scoring game. Lets dig in!
WMU is replacing a few players on their offense, their QB, RB, and 4 guys from their 6 First Team ALL MAC players who graduated. They did get some transfers, but this is a whole new offense. They are also replacing their 2nd and 3rd leading receivers, and their TE. We still believe this team will be loaded on offense, hence the spread of -20.5, but we believe the spread is due to their DEFENSE. They return their top defenders and have an amazing pass rush which ranked top 25 in sacks last season. They are missing some guys in the secondary, but Akron is not an offensive juggernaut, so this is the perfect game for them to see how they fair.
Akron’s offense was horrible last year, 1.8 yards per rush and their O Line was gross. They did not score more than 7 points in 7 of 12 games last year. Yes, they could get better this year, but the defense they face today is not going to ease up. Their O Line should struggle again since they are replacing both their starting tackles, so their QB Nelson will have no time to throw again. Their defense will struggle on the line, losing most of their starters from last year, and they may be on the field often today. Their secondary has potential, and overall, they return 15 total starters to help them move forward from last year.
With all this said, Akron averaged just 10.5 ppg last season. Yes, they may be able to take a step forward but that's a large leap, especially with a defense that WMU has with pressuring the QB. The crazy part here is they have the team total’s inflated, 36.5 and 17.5, which implies OVER with 54 total points even though the Total sits at 52.5. They are making it hard for you to hit those team total overs for a reason. We believe there will be a lot of punts and a team that will struggle to get to 14-17 for Akron and 31-34 for WMU. Good Luck!
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