Week 12: 47-44 +8.50 YTD

Early action

2U 
Michigan -21

GA -10.5

GA at -9.5 rn- so I’ll add a 3rd unit to that 

2U -10.5 

1U -9.5

Plays:
3U GA (posted above 2 @10.5/ 1@ 9.5)
Georgia is clicking, Ladd and Bowers being healthy makes a world of difference for this team and getting healthier on the Oline helps alot. I do not trust Joe Milton to go out there and beat a Georgia team that can move the ball the way this Georgia offense does. Vols can run the ball some, but Mizzou beat them up physically, and Georgia can still bring a level of physicality above Mizzou. I expect GA to go on the road and thump TN.

2U Michigan -21
Wish I waited to snag this- I thought the line would move in the other direction. Tough spot for my Wolverines here coming off a super emotional PSU win and going back on the road with a huge matchup on deck in The Game. However, I stick with my boys here. This is a veteran team that was built around a culture. A lot of noise and distractions out there and a massive let down spot- but this agian, this is a veteran team and despite how great they've been, they feel like they have a lot to prove now. On the other side, Maryland has stumbled pretty bad and this is not a team I want to back when they lose the LOS game- Michigan rolls early.


2U Utah/ AZ Under 46.5: I view this game as a defensive showdown- Utah can drag most teams into the mud and slow down offenses. Arizona has come to life in the middle/ late end of the season, lead by their defense as well. I think Utah struggles to get things going consistently on offense and does enoguh to slow down Arizona. To me this is a 20-17 type of game.


2U UNLV +3- I've been to the well before, and I really like what Odom has done with this team. Air Force presents a new type of challenge for them and they've been successufl in slowing games down being one of the top time of possession teams in the country. However, without Larrier, this seems like a tall task for Air Force to beat the rebels. Air force can slow the game down but if Larrier doesnt go, or isn't right- UNLV can win this one comfortably. I'll take the 3 points

Cont..

1U Navy -2.5: Navy is fighting for bowl elgibility and it feels like they need this one at home to get there. ECU has played a lot of teams close, but struggled to win those game and so far have a single FBS win. Navy will present a new set of challenges for this defense, which i can see getting worn down through the course of this game. If Navy continues to play strong defense and can control the pace of play, they cruise to a victory and set themselves up to go down the streach and earn bowl elgibilty.

1U UNC +7.5: Interesting matchup- strong on weak on both sides. Clemson seems to be getting right after I wrote them off going into the ND game. UNC has not won @ clemson since 2001. While Clemson's offense has seemed to hit it's stride more, It's still a team that's lead by it's defense. I don't think Clemson has faced an opponent that has the ability to stretch the field like UNC can since FSU; I think Drake Maye and company can make things a bit uncomfortable for Clemson here- 7 with a hook feels valuable..


1U UCLA ML +210: Another interesting matchup w/ UCLA's defense vs USC offense and vice versa. I think UCLA's front is comparable to NDs and I watched ND put williams under a lot of pressure and the result wasn't pretty. If UCLA can make things uncomfortable for williams and slow their attack, they have a chance to win this game. A lot of talk that this will be Chip Kelly's last game, I imagine he goes deep into his bag of tricks in this game and can scheme up enough to take advantage of this USC defense. Maybe i'll feel silly not taking the TD, but at +210, I see value.

1U Lville +1: Cards need to secure their spot in the ACC Championship game. Miami benched Van Dyke, watched his replacement get hurt and now are forced to go back to a QB that knows the team and coaching staff is losing confidence in him. Louisville defense can slow the canes enough and Brohm schemes up enough on offense to win this one.

1U Mizzou -11: They stand on business. Seriously, though, what a response from this team to respond after a devistating loss against GA. FL in the middle of a three game slide that includes a loss to Arkansas. Florida is limping to the finish line here and Mizzou has a chance to win out and finish as a 10 win top 10 team looking at a NY6 bowl .

1U ULM +37.5: Going to hold my nose on this one. But Ole Miss s coming off a bad loss to GA, has to play ULM and then turn around to play the Egg Bowl on Thursday night, the priority should be getting out of this healthy and turning their attention to the short week, 37.5 is a lot of poitns for that spot. Additionally, I played GA last week because I think Ole Miss has a bad defense. So even if Lane wants to light up the score board, it probably takes 50 to cove rthis. The only teams Ole Miss held under 2 scores is Mercer and Vandy- I think ULM can get 10 points.


Leans: Will post them if I play.
OU -25
Michigan TT Over 34.5
Maryland TT Under 14.5

BOL

Week: 6-4 +4 Units

YTD: 53-48 +12.5Units