Patience this week in capping have produced the following plays so far:
Boise -22.5 @ Wyoming x HALF U >> have beaten each team with 100+ ranking vs rush easily and Wyoming is 117th vs run
-Wyoming is dependent on run to get their offense going and Boise is one of the best vs the run
-high winds over 19 mph so I see shorter passes and lots of running /kicking for field position and I only expect Wyoming to score 13-14 pts and at most 17 in this game
Under Boise 57.5 x 2U > see above about wind and matchup as well as the fact that Boise scores less on the road
-don't expect Boise to score over 40 in this one unless there are a lot of interception returns for TDs
Irish -14 x HALF U @ Yankee Stadium where the Irish play very well usually in this rivalry....just too much on defense where they match up well vs a military team including if they pass to a very strong and disciplined Irish secondary
Buckeyes-Hoosiers Under 52 x Half U - don't see a high scoring game after watching Michigan defense controlling the Hoosiers ...who I think won't score more than 21 and 24 at most and limit Buckeyes to a number around 30
Might have a couple more that I am eyeing but no rush until Saturday
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Patience this week in capping have produced the following plays so far:
Boise -22.5 @ Wyoming x HALF U >> have beaten each team with 100+ ranking vs rush easily and Wyoming is 117th vs run
-Wyoming is dependent on run to get their offense going and Boise is one of the best vs the run
-high winds over 19 mph so I see shorter passes and lots of running /kicking for field position and I only expect Wyoming to score 13-14 pts and at most 17 in this game
Under Boise 57.5 x 2U > see above about wind and matchup as well as the fact that Boise scores less on the road
-don't expect Boise to score over 40 in this one unless there are a lot of interception returns for TDs
Irish -14 x HALF U @ Yankee Stadium where the Irish play very well usually in this rivalry....just too much on defense where they match up well vs a military team including if they pass to a very strong and disciplined Irish secondary
Buckeyes-Hoosiers Under 52 x Half U - don't see a high scoring game after watching Michigan defense controlling the Hoosiers ...who I think won't score more than 21 and 24 at most and limit Buckeyes to a number around 30
Might have a couple more that I am eyeing but no rush until Saturday
TEASER 7 PT > UNDER Buckeyes 59.5 with Minny/Penn St UNDER 52 with: a. SJST +14.5 b. UNDER 67 SJST c. Irish Under 52.5 << high winds at Yankee Stadium d. Duke +10
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Add:
Illinois - Rutgers Under 47.5
J-Mad - App St Under 58.5
TEASER 7 PT > UNDER Buckeyes 59.5 with Minny/Penn St UNDER 52 with: a. SJST +14.5 b. UNDER 67 SJST c. Irish Under 52.5 << high winds at Yankee Stadium d. Duke +10
New Rankings of Strength/Positioning to Win For the College Playoff after Week #13: - looked at Playoff Bracket but I do not know how the committee will change it drastically
1. Ohio St << Ducks can't beat them 2x with second game on neutral field
2. Oregon << likely Final 4 match with Ohio St.
3. Texas < will have to beat a couple of strong teams to get to Final
4. Notre Dame << they have a shot at beating Texas if they go to #7 in next bracket change
5. Georgia << probably goes to #8, #9 or #10
6. Penn St. < won't have to face Georgia has chance vs Miami but must beat good #11 team likely
7. Indiana < have a hunch they may fall to #11 seed and face Penn St. who they could beat (I believe they have a chance vs #7 seed if they get moved to #10 and face ND if they move to #7 and both have a chance of beating Texas in my opinion)
8. Miami < not sure they can beat Penn St but if they do will have trouble vs Texas or ND
8. Tennessee << should move into #10 seed / or #11 seed and have a chance
9. rank #9 by Committee < doubt they can beat 1st round vs #8 or Oregon (SMU, Arizona St, Clemson, BYU)
10. Boise << no chance vs Ohio St to win despite #4 seed
12. weakest team at #12 << I doubt a 3 loss team will be plugged in here
-----------------------------------------------
13. Clemson or Ole Miss
15. South Carolina
16. Alabama
17. Texas AM
18. Florida
19. Missouri
20. tie Oklahoma/Colorado/Iowa St
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
New Rankings of Strength/Positioning to Win For the College Playoff after Week #13: - looked at Playoff Bracket but I do not know how the committee will change it drastically
1. Ohio St << Ducks can't beat them 2x with second game on neutral field
2. Oregon << likely Final 4 match with Ohio St.
3. Texas < will have to beat a couple of strong teams to get to Final
4. Notre Dame << they have a shot at beating Texas if they go to #7 in next bracket change
5. Georgia << probably goes to #8, #9 or #10
6. Penn St. < won't have to face Georgia has chance vs Miami but must beat good #11 team likely
7. Indiana < have a hunch they may fall to #11 seed and face Penn St. who they could beat (I believe they have a chance vs #7 seed if they get moved to #10 and face ND if they move to #7 and both have a chance of beating Texas in my opinion)
8. Miami < not sure they can beat Penn St but if they do will have trouble vs Texas or ND
8. Tennessee << should move into #10 seed / or #11 seed and have a chance
9. rank #9 by Committee < doubt they can beat 1st round vs #8 or Oregon (SMU, Arizona St, Clemson, BYU)
10. Boise << no chance vs Ohio St to win despite #4 seed
- Beavers @ Boise and no weather effect that I can see ..... Beavers need one more win to get bowl eligible and I expect a major effort in their last game of the season so the TOTAL is probably what I will dissect here
-consider Boise to be cautious in one sense of not wishing to have injuries going into MW Championship to solidify their stamp in the Playoffs @#4
- watching for LINE # and TOTAL
Minny @ Wisconsin
-Badgers need a win for bowl eligibility and Minny playing well but I expect Wisky to have that extra edge in this one
- Minny with revenge so I am not certain they will play soft here
Okie St @ Colorado
-how high will this total be? NOT HIGH ENOUGH as they will both play loosey goosey as Buffs have some Heisman considerations for a couple of their players and should put up over 40 themselves easily
-looked ahead to weather and see no issues
Miss St @ Rebels
-Ole Miss needs style points and won't have their top RB next week but this Miss St defense is super bad and I expect a lot of points from the Rebs.
-can Miss St score 20 on the Rebs even if their defense is greatly inspired? MAYBE and 23-26 would likely be the limit if not the best because, Miss St put up 31 on a decent defense of Georgia, but who are not as strong as Rebs can be
GTECH @ Georgia
- Bulldogs have found their in state opponents to be a tough game the last couple.... and this is the best GTECH team in a while with plenty of balance on both sides of the ball and some nice skill
-motivation will be high for both teams as Georgia sees a good path to make Final Four if positioned as they think they might on the TEXAS side of the bracket but must keep winning
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Looking ahead to week #14:
-Memphis - Tulane will be a barnburner
- Beavers @ Boise and no weather effect that I can see ..... Beavers need one more win to get bowl eligible and I expect a major effort in their last game of the season so the TOTAL is probably what I will dissect here
-consider Boise to be cautious in one sense of not wishing to have injuries going into MW Championship to solidify their stamp in the Playoffs @#4
- watching for LINE # and TOTAL
Minny @ Wisconsin
-Badgers need a win for bowl eligibility and Minny playing well but I expect Wisky to have that extra edge in this one
- Minny with revenge so I am not certain they will play soft here
Okie St @ Colorado
-how high will this total be? NOT HIGH ENOUGH as they will both play loosey goosey as Buffs have some Heisman considerations for a couple of their players and should put up over 40 themselves easily
-looked ahead to weather and see no issues
Miss St @ Rebels
-Ole Miss needs style points and won't have their top RB next week but this Miss St defense is super bad and I expect a lot of points from the Rebs.
-can Miss St score 20 on the Rebs even if their defense is greatly inspired? MAYBE and 23-26 would likely be the limit if not the best because, Miss St put up 31 on a decent defense of Georgia, but who are not as strong as Rebs can be
GTECH @ Georgia
- Bulldogs have found their in state opponents to be a tough game the last couple.... and this is the best GTECH team in a while with plenty of balance on both sides of the ball and some nice skill
-motivation will be high for both teams as Georgia sees a good path to make Final Four if positioned as they think they might on the TEXAS side of the bracket but must keep winning
- I expect points in this one since UCONN can put up points on the ground and air if needed and UMASS is terrible vs the run
-UMASS should score 14-17 or more and UCONN can get all the rest over 30 pts
-this game has NOT been high scoring the past few years but I see better offensive efficiency in both teams to sail over the total if under 50
Michigan @ Buckeyes
-its time for a stomp and this will be personal for Ryan Day who I am sure has nothing against the former OC of Wolverines and now coach, but we are going to see them exorcise some demons and I think it might come in the form of the QB's running legs and deep passes on play action
-not sure how many points Michigan will get because on pass downs, they will pin their ears back and be effective and I think the DC game plan will be to contain the run in the first half and put things into the hands of Wolverines QB and that will not end well
SC @ Clemson
- will likely side with SC as I see a better defense, O-line issues for Clemson vs a strong SC dee line
KU @ Baylor
- Jayhawks have the steamroller going on offense and defense....and don't see that changing much here
Vols @ Vandy
-should be an easy win for Vols BUT ....this plucky Vandy team could cover due to Vols bonehead playcalling on offense at times
Pitt @ B.C.
-B.C. on a roll and playing well > revenge game from last year.....PITT seems to have given up on NAZZ since the loss
Auburn @ Bama
-Auburn needs 1 win to become bowl eligible and the IRON Bowl would be a fitting place to do so against a strange Bama team who I feel is not playing for such a great dude in DeBoer
Purdue @ Indiana
-Indiana will stomp here and get the mojo back quickly....watched Purdue last week
Texas @ TexAm
-this will be a test for both and I like the UNDER in this one if I see 45 or higher > with AM not having Moss as a two headed run force, Texas will contain both QB and run game and dare AM to throw against one of the best secondaries in college
-strong lean with Texas on the side here in a 24-10 type of win
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Other game opinions for Week #14:
UCONN/UMASS
- I expect points in this one since UCONN can put up points on the ground and air if needed and UMASS is terrible vs the run
-UMASS should score 14-17 or more and UCONN can get all the rest over 30 pts
-this game has NOT been high scoring the past few years but I see better offensive efficiency in both teams to sail over the total if under 50
Michigan @ Buckeyes
-its time for a stomp and this will be personal for Ryan Day who I am sure has nothing against the former OC of Wolverines and now coach, but we are going to see them exorcise some demons and I think it might come in the form of the QB's running legs and deep passes on play action
-not sure how many points Michigan will get because on pass downs, they will pin their ears back and be effective and I think the DC game plan will be to contain the run in the first half and put things into the hands of Wolverines QB and that will not end well
SC @ Clemson
- will likely side with SC as I see a better defense, O-line issues for Clemson vs a strong SC dee line
KU @ Baylor
- Jayhawks have the steamroller going on offense and defense....and don't see that changing much here
Vols @ Vandy
-should be an easy win for Vols BUT ....this plucky Vandy team could cover due to Vols bonehead playcalling on offense at times
Pitt @ B.C.
-B.C. on a roll and playing well > revenge game from last year.....PITT seems to have given up on NAZZ since the loss
Auburn @ Bama
-Auburn needs 1 win to become bowl eligible and the IRON Bowl would be a fitting place to do so against a strange Bama team who I feel is not playing for such a great dude in DeBoer
Purdue @ Indiana
-Indiana will stomp here and get the mojo back quickly....watched Purdue last week
Texas @ TexAm
-this will be a test for both and I like the UNDER in this one if I see 45 or higher > with AM not having Moss as a two headed run force, Texas will contain both QB and run game and dare AM to throw against one of the best secondaries in college
-strong lean with Texas on the side here in a 24-10 type of win
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