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#1
Last week 3-1. All winners never behind the spread. Only loser was Wake Forest which was clearly the right side. A terrible bad beat but I have had worse as we all have.
Friday: LOUISVILLE -3
Both Louisville and Florida International won last weed with FIU having the more impressive win. Louisville showed some clear weaknesses. Most teams will sh0ow the most improvement from week #1 to #2. This is even more evident when weaknesses are evident. While FIU is feeling very good about themselves after a big conference win Louisville had definite things to work on. I think that a week of focused practice will give Louisville enough for the win.
Saturday: CINCINNATI +4.5
The game opened at 6.5 and I wish I had that number but I am not ready to play that early in the week as I like to check the injury reports later in the week. At any rate I have Cincy winning this game outright. Cincy had the more impressive win last week. Tennessee has Florida next week. I think that I have the better team with points vs a team that is looking ahead.
TCU -1
Baylor gave TCU a wake up call last week. The last 5 years TCU has been favored over AF by an average of 14pts per game. While TCU has come back to the pack this season I am not sure it is by this much. Air Force was not impressive vs a weak team in a win last week. I think that a motivated TCU team will bounce back vs AF.
CONNECTICUT +2.5
I have UCONN as much the better team. Both teams have new coaches and many returning starters. The difference is that the returning players on Vandy were 2-10. Returning many players is not a plus if they are bad players. UCONN also has a new coach but much of the previous coaching staff returns. UCONN won their last 5 games last season and will carry that momentum with a win over Vandy. Vandy also has a conference game vs Mississippi on deck. Take UCONN.
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