Week 2: spreads that look wrong to me

one cool thing about early in the season is you can find spreads that just seem way-off........ don't get wrong, they probably aren't way off... just that early on, it is so easy to see obvious picks by your own metrics/thinking..

so here goes........ the way I present is what I think is wrong.. so I'd take the 2nd team listed in all cases....AND, NOT SURE OF MY SOURCE ON THESE OPENS, BUT THE SPREADS I'M DESCRIBING ARE IMHO "WAY OFF"..... 

Arizona -1 vs. SDSU 

Arkansas +3.5 vs. Texas

Iowa State -5 vs. Iowa

Washington +1 @ Michigan

Minnesota -19 vs. M-O

Nebraska -11 vs. Buffalo

Oregon State -11 @ Hawaii

Syracuse +2 vs. Rutgers

NOT AS CONFIDENT, but spreads that stood out to me,

Ohio State -11.5 vs. Oregon.... is Thibadoux sp? out for Oregon? moved to 14.5.. 

Tennessee pick vs Pittsburgh

ND - 19.5 vs. Toledo

USC -14.5 vs. Stanford

I love Buffalo, thats seems too high.  But in some cases its almost a sucker bet.  Michigan +1?

@jimrockford22

 At least a few of these are definitely GOY lines from before anyone played in Week 1.  

Ok. Thx.. I wondered about that... Got them from the thepredictiontracker.com. Such a convenient "flat file" source... But alas "bad numbers"

If wondering whether a line might be off a bit ..... the best free source BY FAR, is Bill C's SP+ numbers. That is unless a team has undergone many changes from the previous year, a serious issue for all PR. In that case maybe adjust yourself from point-spreads. He adjusts fairly quickly tho.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/29875723/college-football-week-2-sp+-rankings

Pains me to say this, but #2 is probably ESPN's PI ratings. Used to be Sagarin, but his are mostly useless early in the season - later on not bad. Massey the same, definitely a notch or two behind Sagarin.

Sagarin maybe still #3 ..... with that Dr K (Kambour.net) and Massey next.