Week 5 9/30-10/2

4-3-0 -1.5u posted on the year

EARLY LEANS___

Wisc pk

Northwestern -4

NC State +3

ECU +17

Kentucky +4

Georgia -2

Miami -3

Any and all thoughts are welcome!

Really want to go ahead and lock this one in...

Wisconsin -2 2u

Wisconsin has the superior offense (barely) while the defensive edge LOOKS as though its pointing towards the Spartans. The key to this game though will be managing the clock and limiting turnovers.  Now usually with these 2 factors i would lean to the home team, but in this game i see something different.  Tolzien is a guy that has an exceptional completion percentage and the experience factor.  The high completion % is due to the fact that he knows not to force his throws and when to dump it off to his stud back.  In this Big 10 opener for both teams, I'll take the Badgers to win me money

I want to pull the trigger so bad on Georgia.  I just cannot make myself do it considering I have had money on them for the last 3 weeks in a row and lost.  I am liking Wisconsin.

Opposite of you on the Miami game already got clemson locked in.  Really like what I saw during the Auburn game.

Handicapping 101 = serious error

The linesmaker saw the same thing and he will use what you "really like" to make you eat your lunch.  This is the world of eleven to ten.  99.999 % of everyone who attempts to survive in this racket is unable to do so.  You need to be very, very, very savvy.  You would be wise to fade into the background and watch and wait.  Pay attention to the outcomes.  Patience and discipline will be your best allies.  One must learn from he who knows.  Everyone will claim they know.  They know nothing.

I agree with you and understand what you are saying about comparing this game to the auburn game.  That is not exactly what I meant.  I think the defense will put a lot of pressure on harris.  We all know that he does not do well when under pressure.  I believe the QB for Clemson showed much improvment over last year.  All in all I like clemson to when the ACC.  I have a future wager on them already.

Thanks guys  this week

Regarding the Georgia game... Im working on a write up as of now describing why i like them... basically just fading the hawk and colorado but found some pretty nice angles for UGA

UPDATED LINES--------------

Wisc -2 2u LOCKED IN

Northwestern -5.5

NC State +4

ECU +13

Kentucky +2.5

Georgia -5

Miami -3.5

ADDED TO WATCH LIST

OK St -3

Navy +10

Alright tonights pick... OK St. -2.5 1u 

Really have been going back and forth on this one until two things stuck with me and its my favorite angles on this game... a&m is in its first year transfering to a new D and this is their first road game of the year.  changing coordinators is always a big deal theres an adjustment period that is tough to get over and while this isnt the scariest team a&m will face, they are the toughest test yet.  As i said earlier, i also like the first road game factor, not as much as the earlier angle but i do feel it will play a factor. 

GL to whatever you choose tonight! 

Whew... nothing like covering with a half point to spare!!! im going to try and have my final card for the weekend locked in by tomorrow with some write ups... come back tomorrow to see what I have to say!

UPDATED Record 5-3-0 -.5u

This week 1-0-0 +1u

Sorry guys decided to start posting picks during the worst possible time... MIDTERMS!! But done now just havent had ANY time for writeups like ive promised so next week... I'll get them out early! But anyways on to the picks

Wisc -2 2u

UGA -4 3u 

Basically this play sticks out because 1. AJ Green is back 2. Colorado has only won two games in a row... TWICE since 06... thats right twice 3. UGA has played a much tougher schedule and is much more battle tested

Northwestern -5 1u

Navy +10 2u

15 straight wins vs the academies... I'll take the 10 points thank you... And plus ive watched a couple of navy games this year and if they could keep the ball off the damn ground theyd look a lot better

NC State +4 1u

going to keep riding the NC St train as long as it keeps running... I trust in Wilson... but i dont trust the fact that Va Techs main goal this season has to be winning the ACC now... and this could end up being a huge game in that race