Season YTD: 13-12 (52%)
Last Week: 3-2
Pick of the Week: 3-1
Units W/L: + 0.45
Winner two weeks in a row to get back in the green. Juicing the more confident picks has held me up. Let's get to it week 5.
Arizona State +5 1 Unit
See these two teams as pretty even and the spot to me favors ASU. Herm should whip up the boys with his motivational jargon after a let down. Cal is riding high after an emotional win. Let down? Nobody eats there own like the PAC-12.
SMU -7 1 Unit
The Mustangs primed for a letdown after stunning TCU? I don't think so with lowly South Florida on the other end. Getting stomped by Wisconsin and losing to Georgia Tech consecutively points to a prime fade candidate for me. Do not see this going wrong unless both teams trends reverse a good amount. I'll ride the hot team with a nice UT transfer QB playing well.
UCLA +7.5 1 Unit
PAC 12 heavy this week. I don't see much of a talent disparity here, Sumlin has not recruited nor performed well early in his tenure and Chip has not performed well. Also not convinced there is much of a disparity in ability in the quarterbacks considering Tate's limitations, although he's pretty darn dynamic at his specialty. Riding the coach who I trust more to not mess this up. Sagarin has this as a 1.5 point disparity on a neutral field, too many points for UofA, Bruins.
Pick of the Week: Washington State +6.5 2 Units
Fairly simple logic here. It would seem to be a bounce back opportunity for Wazzou. Utah's offense runs through Zack Moss and reading into the quotes from the HC he is out for a while with a shoulder injury. Wazzou's bread and butter is attacking through the air. Utah's glaring weakness is its secondary. Backing the Pirate in a seemingly good spot.
Hopefully 1 or 2 more. BOL best good friends
Thanks for the comments. If anything the SMU line is a touch fishy but I'll stick with my angle, a lot points to them being the superior play.
Hot Forum Topics
