Thursday
108 WVU +3.5 4*
It should be rowdy on a Thursday night in Morgantown!!! JT Daniels will be making his 6th start and I see him feeling more comfortable every game. Neal Brown has to be feeling the heat , so I expect a very aggressive game plan.
Saturday
137 NC State +3.5 5*
The Wolfpack has played a tougher schedule so far. Syracuse has won a few of their games on their last drive with a lot of luck from what I have watched. I like NC State's defense and they have a good QB. I have them capped as a small favorite.
135/136 Maryland/Indiana Over 61 4*
Both teams have a highly rated passing offense vs bad defenses vs the pass. I think we will see 70.
148 East Carolina -4.5 3*
Originally I had this game rated higher as it is the only team this weekend that fits both of my math models. But, someone that I respect a great deal has a system that says to take Memphis. ECU has the number 18 passing offense vs Memphis's 125 passing defense. Get a little home cooking and the cover.
187 Iowa State +17.5 -125 3*
This is just far too many points to give a number 11th ranked defense. Texas will have a hard time getting up for this game after crushing Oklahoma last week. Iowa State has beat them the last 3 years and 2 of those as an Underdog.
146 Florida State +3.5 3*
I know in recent years betting against Clemson with a short number just didn't work. But last year and now so far this year they just look flat. Florida State has a higher net YPG and has played a much tougher schedule.
117 Kent State +8.5 3*
The net YPG in this one is very close but the strength of schedule is very lopsided in Kent's favor. Kent likes to run the ball and averages 200 YPG. On the other side Toledo has the 85th ranked run defense. I like my chances.
Good Luck
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