Week 6 Recap: Went 2-5 and -13.9 stars. Was not a good week and any tailing I apologize as this was not a week of good picks. I think the only loss that I felt fine with the bet was A&M as they easily could have covered that game. The other losses were not the right side and should have lost. Unfortunately losing weeks are part of the season and usually there is at least 1 of these types of weeks so you just hope to absorb them and rebound. Total now is 25-12 and plus 33.8 stars.
On to this week – some early picks below. Bigger slate than usual. Will add at least 1 more. Will try to do write ups later in week.
4* Alabama FH -10.5
4* Wyoming – AF Under 45
3.5* Wash -3
3* Mich St-Rutgers Under 41.5
3* Pitt +8
2.5* ND -2.5
2* Auburn +12.5
2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5
2* Iowa St – Cincy Under 49
Weather in several games. ND game should be in the 40s with some wind and possible rain. Pitt will also be cool with rain. Couple points – this will be the eighth straight game for ND as this would be a higher rated pick if it weren’t for that. USC is playing their third road game in 4 weeks. Weather is big for this game. Arkansas will be playing their fourth straight road game and had several def players leave last game injured. TCU will be a play – their QB will be out so I will see if that changes the line once its official. Hoping it goes down some but still like -4.5.
5
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Week 6 Recap: Went 2-5 and -13.9 stars. Was not a good week and any tailing I apologize as this was not a week of good picks. I think the only loss that I felt fine with the bet was A&M as they easily could have covered that game. The other losses were not the right side and should have lost. Unfortunately losing weeks are part of the season and usually there is at least 1 of these types of weeks so you just hope to absorb them and rebound. Total now is 25-12 and plus 33.8 stars.
On to this week – some early picks below. Bigger slate than usual. Will add at least 1 more. Will try to do write ups later in week.
4* Alabama FH -10.5
4* Wyoming – AF Under 45
3.5* Wash -3
3* Mich St-Rutgers Under 41.5
3* Pitt +8
2.5* ND -2.5
2* Auburn +12.5
2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5
2* Iowa St – Cincy Under 49
Weather in several games. ND game should be in the 40s with some wind and possible rain. Pitt will also be cool with rain. Couple points – this will be the eighth straight game for ND as this would be a higher rated pick if it weren’t for that. USC is playing their third road game in 4 weeks. Weather is big for this game. Arkansas will be playing their fourth straight road game and had several def players leave last game injured. TCU will be a play – their QB will be out so I will see if that changes the line once its official. Hoping it goes down some but still like -4.5.
Week 6 Recap: Went 2-5 and -13.9 stars. Was not a good week and any tailing I apologize as this was not a week of good picks. I think the only loss that I felt fine with the bet was A&M as they easily could have covered that game. The other losses were not the right side and should have lost. Unfortunately losing weeks are part of the season and usually there is at least 1 of these types of weeks so you just hope to absorb them and rebound. Total now is 25-12 and plus 33.8 stars. On to this week – some early picks below. Bigger slate than usual. Will add at least 1 more. Will try to do write ups later in week. 4* Alabama FH -10.5 4* Wyoming – AF Under 45 3.5* Wash -3 3* Mich St-Rutgers Under 41.5 3* Pitt +8 2.5* ND -2.5 2* Auburn +12.5 2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5 2* Iowa St – Cincy Under 49 Weather in several games. ND game should be in the 40s with some wind and possible rain. Pitt will also be cool with rain. Couple points – this will be the eighth straight game for ND as this would be a higher rated pick if it weren’t for that. USC is playing their third road game in 4 weeks. Weather is big for this game. Arkansas will be playing their fourth straight road game and had several def players leave last game injured. TCU will be a play – their QB will be out so I will see if that changes the line once its official. Hoping it goes down some but still like -4.5.
Only a minor setback. You'll rebound
1
Quote Originally Posted by CFBLMONSTER:
Week 6 Recap: Went 2-5 and -13.9 stars. Was not a good week and any tailing I apologize as this was not a week of good picks. I think the only loss that I felt fine with the bet was A&M as they easily could have covered that game. The other losses were not the right side and should have lost. Unfortunately losing weeks are part of the season and usually there is at least 1 of these types of weeks so you just hope to absorb them and rebound. Total now is 25-12 and plus 33.8 stars. On to this week – some early picks below. Bigger slate than usual. Will add at least 1 more. Will try to do write ups later in week. 4* Alabama FH -10.5 4* Wyoming – AF Under 45 3.5* Wash -3 3* Mich St-Rutgers Under 41.5 3* Pitt +8 2.5* ND -2.5 2* Auburn +12.5 2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5 2* Iowa St – Cincy Under 49 Weather in several games. ND game should be in the 40s with some wind and possible rain. Pitt will also be cool with rain. Couple points – this will be the eighth straight game for ND as this would be a higher rated pick if it weren’t for that. USC is playing their third road game in 4 weeks. Weather is big for this game. Arkansas will be playing their fourth straight road game and had several def players leave last game injured. TCU will be a play – their QB will be out so I will see if that changes the line once its official. Hoping it goes down some but still like -4.5.
Yeah CFBL you picked some shit teams, Purdue and Illinois, especially Purdue has fucked me all year!!! No more! Of course I tail you this week and not as much other weeks but that's my usual luck!! My fault but most of the time that's what you get with bad teams!!!
1
Yeah CFBL you picked some shit teams, Purdue and Illinois, especially Purdue has fucked me all year!!! No more! Of course I tail you this week and not as much other weeks but that's my usual luck!! My fault but most of the time that's what you get with bad teams!!!
Like couple of your picks here. Pitt is not one of them. They flat out stink! I'm from Pittsburgh and follow them daily. I am surprised the line is low on last check -7.5 Louisville. Very surprised not over 10. I know Louisville just had a monster of a game but I don't see them playing down to Pitt. Good Luck
0
@CFBLMONSTER
Like couple of your picks here. Pitt is not one of them. They flat out stink! I'm from Pittsburgh and follow them daily. I am surprised the line is low on last check -7.5 Louisville. Very surprised not over 10. I know Louisville just had a monster of a game but I don't see them playing down to Pitt. Good Luck
Sorry you tailed and lost - never like to see that. I was 2-0 betting on Purdue before last week and found out this week that Card was banged up against Illinois and he is playing injured. Walters didn't even confirm if he will play this week so that might explain why he didn't look right in the game. They still outgained them by 52 yds, held them to 3-13 on third downs, and kept Hill to 6-21 passing with no completions to a receiver. Maybe a healthy Card would have made the diff or maybe not. If I was aware of Card being banged up I would have at least downed the play or laid off - unfortunately that happens sometimes as college isn't great with injury updates. Its not as simple as betting on good teams only. GA and Mich are the two best teams and are 4-7 ATS combined. Illinois played Neb - neither team is good so no matter who you bet in that one you take a bad team.
0
@haymo
Sorry you tailed and lost - never like to see that. I was 2-0 betting on Purdue before last week and found out this week that Card was banged up against Illinois and he is playing injured. Walters didn't even confirm if he will play this week so that might explain why he didn't look right in the game. They still outgained them by 52 yds, held them to 3-13 on third downs, and kept Hill to 6-21 passing with no completions to a receiver. Maybe a healthy Card would have made the diff or maybe not. If I was aware of Card being banged up I would have at least downed the play or laid off - unfortunately that happens sometimes as college isn't great with injury updates. Its not as simple as betting on good teams only. GA and Mich are the two best teams and are 4-7 ATS combined. Illinois played Neb - neither team is good so no matter who you bet in that one you take a bad team.
Arkansas played at LSU, A&M in Arlington, at Ole Miss, and is now at Bama. That is brutal and should never happen but this will be their fourth straight road game against all top notch opponents. Arkansas has really struggled to protect Jefferson and he has been sacked 12 times the past two games. Bama is second in the SEC in sacks and their front took over the game last week in the second half. This matchup is a big advantage for Bama. Arkansas had several def starters leave last week and now 4 are questionable (only 1 has practiced). Milroe should have gained confidence last week as he played really well so hopefully that carries over against a solid Ark defense
Arkansas has to be worn out and now they play one of the top teams in the nation on the road. I like the fact that Bama has lost a game already so that should help them stay focused as they are looking to get back to the playoff and can’t afford another loss. I play the first half because Bama has Tenn next and I could see them let up in the fourth quarter. I think they will cover both and would play the game if FH isn’t an option or you could split the wager between the two. The game does lean on the worn out theory more but the number is big enough for a backdoor as I don’t see Ark giving up in the game. I think Bama wins this one easily and has the game under control at half.
Prediction: Alabama by 18
4* Wyoming – Air Force Under 45
This will be one of the best matchups in terms of pace of play for an under on the year. Only better ones will be the academies against each other. AF is last in seconds per play and Wyoming is number 123. The last 2 years this game has easily gone under this number. AF is third in the nation in ypg allowed and Wyoming is 62 (third in MW). Wyoming is a disciplined team and Bohl knows how to prepare them for the option. AF has been excellent on def and play a below avg Wyoming off. The clock will be running most of the game and this should be a quick game. I don’t see Wyoming scoring much in this one and their defense should be able to contain AF and keep this game well under.
Prediction: 34 pts
1
4* Alabama FH -10.5
Arkansas played at LSU, A&M in Arlington, at Ole Miss, and is now at Bama. That is brutal and should never happen but this will be their fourth straight road game against all top notch opponents. Arkansas has really struggled to protect Jefferson and he has been sacked 12 times the past two games. Bama is second in the SEC in sacks and their front took over the game last week in the second half. This matchup is a big advantage for Bama. Arkansas had several def starters leave last week and now 4 are questionable (only 1 has practiced). Milroe should have gained confidence last week as he played really well so hopefully that carries over against a solid Ark defense
Arkansas has to be worn out and now they play one of the top teams in the nation on the road. I like the fact that Bama has lost a game already so that should help them stay focused as they are looking to get back to the playoff and can’t afford another loss. I play the first half because Bama has Tenn next and I could see them let up in the fourth quarter. I think they will cover both and would play the game if FH isn’t an option or you could split the wager between the two. The game does lean on the worn out theory more but the number is big enough for a backdoor as I don’t see Ark giving up in the game. I think Bama wins this one easily and has the game under control at half.
Prediction: Alabama by 18
4* Wyoming – Air Force Under 45
This will be one of the best matchups in terms of pace of play for an under on the year. Only better ones will be the academies against each other. AF is last in seconds per play and Wyoming is number 123. The last 2 years this game has easily gone under this number. AF is third in the nation in ypg allowed and Wyoming is 62 (third in MW). Wyoming is a disciplined team and Bohl knows how to prepare them for the option. AF has been excellent on def and play a below avg Wyoming off. The clock will be running most of the game and this should be a quick game. I don’t see Wyoming scoring much in this one and their defense should be able to contain AF and keep this game well under.
Two excellent teams in this one. Wash is 10-0 at home and 7-2-1 ATS since Penix has been with the team. Wash appears to be fine in terms of injuries according to the reports – McMillan is a go. Only question mark is Tuli – if he doesn’t play this does hurt them on the interior. This game comes down to how good Wash is at home and the fact they have the better QB. I have been very impressed when watching Washington this year as Penix appears to be locked in. Neither team has played a great schedule – both have a nice road win with Oregon at TT and Wash at Ariz. They have both rolled in the rest of their games (Cal skewed stats in Wash game as it was over at half and they put up a lot in sec half). Both look great when looking at stats as both offenses gain over 8 ypp. Getting this spread at 3 or less with a team that is tremendous at home and with possibly the next Heisman winner has me playing this one.
Prediction: Washington by 7
Adding 3.5* TCU -5.5
BYU is -65 ypg diff and TCU is plus 90 in their games against FBS teams. BYU is off a bye and will be more rested and TCU is playing their backup QB. The matchup I really like in this game is the TCU secondary against Slovis and the offense. BYU can’t run and I believe that is your best chance of success against TCU. Phil Steele rated the TCU secondary number 1 in the big 12 before the year. They have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 50% completion % and a 1-4 ratio. They weren’t ready for Colorado in the opener so I wouldn’t even look at those stats. They are athletic and should be able to create issues for BYU. I am not a fan of Slovis and think he will struggle against this secondary.
TCU will be without Morris but he hasn’t been great the past couple weeks so I don’t think the dropoff will be as big as people think. The staff is high on Hoover. Hoover did play some last week and struggled at first but was able to lead a td drive at the end which should help with confidence. He can throw the ball and now will have a full week of practice with the ones. BYU has given up over 200 yds rushing the last 2 games so TCU should be able to run in this one. Cincy completely dominated BYU in the first half of that game and really outplayed them so that score is very misleading (498-295 yds adv for Cincy). BYU got out of Ark with a win despite getting outplayed and did hang around against Kansas. This will be the best secondary they have faced and should have trouble topping 300 yds on offense.
TCU has lost their last 2 games so this is gut check time for them to determine how this season goes. I don’t think BYU is that great and I believe they are at the bottom of the big 12 if I would rank them. I think they will ride their defense and running game in this one and Hoover is good enough to make some plays with their athletic receivers. BYU will be the more rested team but TCU being at home will help offset that and I like them to right the ship this week.
Prediction: TCU by 14
2
3.5* Wash -3
Two excellent teams in this one. Wash is 10-0 at home and 7-2-1 ATS since Penix has been with the team. Wash appears to be fine in terms of injuries according to the reports – McMillan is a go. Only question mark is Tuli – if he doesn’t play this does hurt them on the interior. This game comes down to how good Wash is at home and the fact they have the better QB. I have been very impressed when watching Washington this year as Penix appears to be locked in. Neither team has played a great schedule – both have a nice road win with Oregon at TT and Wash at Ariz. They have both rolled in the rest of their games (Cal skewed stats in Wash game as it was over at half and they put up a lot in sec half). Both look great when looking at stats as both offenses gain over 8 ypp. Getting this spread at 3 or less with a team that is tremendous at home and with possibly the next Heisman winner has me playing this one.
Prediction: Washington by 7
Adding 3.5* TCU -5.5
BYU is -65 ypg diff and TCU is plus 90 in their games against FBS teams. BYU is off a bye and will be more rested and TCU is playing their backup QB. The matchup I really like in this game is the TCU secondary against Slovis and the offense. BYU can’t run and I believe that is your best chance of success against TCU. Phil Steele rated the TCU secondary number 1 in the big 12 before the year. They have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 50% completion % and a 1-4 ratio. They weren’t ready for Colorado in the opener so I wouldn’t even look at those stats. They are athletic and should be able to create issues for BYU. I am not a fan of Slovis and think he will struggle against this secondary.
TCU will be without Morris but he hasn’t been great the past couple weeks so I don’t think the dropoff will be as big as people think. The staff is high on Hoover. Hoover did play some last week and struggled at first but was able to lead a td drive at the end which should help with confidence. He can throw the ball and now will have a full week of practice with the ones. BYU has given up over 200 yds rushing the last 2 games so TCU should be able to run in this one. Cincy completely dominated BYU in the first half of that game and really outplayed them so that score is very misleading (498-295 yds adv for Cincy). BYU got out of Ark with a win despite getting outplayed and did hang around against Kansas. This will be the best secondary they have faced and should have trouble topping 300 yds on offense.
TCU has lost their last 2 games so this is gut check time for them to determine how this season goes. I don’t think BYU is that great and I believe they are at the bottom of the big 12 if I would rank them. I think they will ride their defense and running game in this one and Hoover is good enough to make some plays with their athletic receivers. BYU will be the more rested team but TCU being at home will help offset that and I like them to right the ship this week.
Should have some weather in this game as the chance of rain is high and looks to be anywhere from a quarter to half inch along with some wind. Mich St is off a bye and has actually played solid def outside of the Wash game. They held MD to 362 yds and Iowa to 222 (I know its Iowa but still good). Rutgers is tenth in ypg on off and Mich St is eight. Both are at the bottom of the league in plays over 10 yds so neither is explosive. Rutgers def is very good and is fourth in the big ten in ypg allowed. Rutgers is number 126 in plays per second while State is 34. I expect Rutgers to dictate the pace in this game as their Def should make things difficult for Mich St.
Rutgers is a good under team with the pace they play along with a very good defense. Their offense is below average and they rely on not making mistakes and having methodical drives. Mich St off a bye should be rested and ready to play in this one. It probably helps them to be on the road so I think they will play well. Factor in the weather as well and I think this is a low scoring affair.
Prediction: 35 pts
3* Pitt +8
Emotions in college are big. Louisville is riding high after last week as they had the biggest crowd ever and took down ND. Now they have to deal with everyone telling them how good they are and talk about an ACC championship and even comparisons to last year’s TCU team. Now this week they prepare for a struggling Pitt team and will be playing on a cool, rainy night in a dead environment. Will be tough to keep anywhere near the same intensity this week in practice and for the game.
Pitt has greatly underachieved this year and has not been good. They finally made a change at QB and got a much needed bye. Jerkovec was unbelievably bad so the change to Veilleux should only help them. The defense did hold UNC to a season low 373 yds and is capable of playing well. The bye should help them regroup and having an undefeated opponent coming to town should have them ready to go on Saturday. I think Pitt will put forth their best effort in this game and are catching Louisville off an emotional high that will be challenging for them to follow up.
Louisville is 0-3 ATS away from home and could have lost all 3 games and have not looked great at times in any of them. Louisville is the better team but I think the conditions will greatly help Pitt and this is a tricky game for Louisville playing a rested Pitt team. I also think Louisville got ND at the right time as ND looked worn out and I read comments about their energy just not being there in the game. Look for Pitt to give them a game in this one and it would be just like college football for Louisville to lose this game.
Prediction: Pitt by 2
1
3* Mich St – Rutgers Under 41.5
Should have some weather in this game as the chance of rain is high and looks to be anywhere from a quarter to half inch along with some wind. Mich St is off a bye and has actually played solid def outside of the Wash game. They held MD to 362 yds and Iowa to 222 (I know its Iowa but still good). Rutgers is tenth in ypg on off and Mich St is eight. Both are at the bottom of the league in plays over 10 yds so neither is explosive. Rutgers def is very good and is fourth in the big ten in ypg allowed. Rutgers is number 126 in plays per second while State is 34. I expect Rutgers to dictate the pace in this game as their Def should make things difficult for Mich St.
Rutgers is a good under team with the pace they play along with a very good defense. Their offense is below average and they rely on not making mistakes and having methodical drives. Mich St off a bye should be rested and ready to play in this one. It probably helps them to be on the road so I think they will play well. Factor in the weather as well and I think this is a low scoring affair.
Prediction: 35 pts
3* Pitt +8
Emotions in college are big. Louisville is riding high after last week as they had the biggest crowd ever and took down ND. Now they have to deal with everyone telling them how good they are and talk about an ACC championship and even comparisons to last year’s TCU team. Now this week they prepare for a struggling Pitt team and will be playing on a cool, rainy night in a dead environment. Will be tough to keep anywhere near the same intensity this week in practice and for the game.
Pitt has greatly underachieved this year and has not been good. They finally made a change at QB and got a much needed bye. Jerkovec was unbelievably bad so the change to Veilleux should only help them. The defense did hold UNC to a season low 373 yds and is capable of playing well. The bye should help them regroup and having an undefeated opponent coming to town should have them ready to go on Saturday. I think Pitt will put forth their best effort in this game and are catching Louisville off an emotional high that will be challenging for them to follow up.
Louisville is 0-3 ATS away from home and could have lost all 3 games and have not looked great at times in any of them. Louisville is the better team but I think the conditions will greatly help Pitt and this is a tricky game for Louisville playing a rested Pitt team. I also think Louisville got ND at the right time as ND looked worn out and I read comments about their energy just not being there in the game. Look for Pitt to give them a game in this one and it would be just like college football for Louisville to lose this game.
Tough stretch for ND as this is their fourth game in a row against a good opponent. Normally this would cause me to play against but I will explain why I don’t believe that in this one. Last week was very tough as they were probably worn down and playing a Louisville team that was super jacked up and played that game like a playoff game in front of a huge crowd. ND just couldn’t match the emotion. It was apparent at the line of scrimmage where ND is normally strong. In this one Louisville was better – I don’t believe for a second Louisville is better at the line of scrimmage under normal circumstances. Now ND goes home with playoff hopes gone. About the only thing that would get them up for this week is a top notch opponent and they obviously have that this week. They have a bye next week and sometimes what happens with teams at the end of a stretch is they empty the tank knowing they have the next week off. Like your last rep lifting weights or last sprint – you know it’s the last one so you go all in. I see that this week for ND since they are playing their rival. Winning this game would help salvage the season so I expect a inspired effort from ND.
One huge factor to this game is weather – it will be in the 40s with some wind and most likely rain. USC is not use to this. ND is the more physical team and this greatly plays to their strength. USC will be playing their third road game in 4 weeks and none of the previous 3 games have been easy and now they travel across the country to play in weather they will consider cold. The USC def is not good – everyone knows this and they play a ND team with a good off line and running game. Caleb Williams is an elite player and he will be playing the best def he has faced by far in tough conditions. He pretty much has to carry this team and this week it will be a challenge with how USC plays defense (gave up over 500 yds the last 2 weeks).
The crowd should be electric and the conditions favor the Irish. I will take the more physical team with the much better defense in this game. I believe Hartman bounces back and ND beats an overrated USC team.
Prediction: ND by 9
1
2.5* ND -2.5
Tough stretch for ND as this is their fourth game in a row against a good opponent. Normally this would cause me to play against but I will explain why I don’t believe that in this one. Last week was very tough as they were probably worn down and playing a Louisville team that was super jacked up and played that game like a playoff game in front of a huge crowd. ND just couldn’t match the emotion. It was apparent at the line of scrimmage where ND is normally strong. In this one Louisville was better – I don’t believe for a second Louisville is better at the line of scrimmage under normal circumstances. Now ND goes home with playoff hopes gone. About the only thing that would get them up for this week is a top notch opponent and they obviously have that this week. They have a bye next week and sometimes what happens with teams at the end of a stretch is they empty the tank knowing they have the next week off. Like your last rep lifting weights or last sprint – you know it’s the last one so you go all in. I see that this week for ND since they are playing their rival. Winning this game would help salvage the season so I expect a inspired effort from ND.
One huge factor to this game is weather – it will be in the 40s with some wind and most likely rain. USC is not use to this. ND is the more physical team and this greatly plays to their strength. USC will be playing their third road game in 4 weeks and none of the previous 3 games have been easy and now they travel across the country to play in weather they will consider cold. The USC def is not good – everyone knows this and they play a ND team with a good off line and running game. Caleb Williams is an elite player and he will be playing the best def he has faced by far in tough conditions. He pretty much has to carry this team and this week it will be a challenge with how USC plays defense (gave up over 500 yds the last 2 weeks).
The crowd should be electric and the conditions favor the Irish. I will take the more physical team with the much better defense in this game. I believe Hartman bounces back and ND beats an overrated USC team.
This will be the worst FBS def WV has played. They should be able to score on Hou. They run at a slower pace so the total will be determined by Hou. WV played TT in the rain and the qb got hurt so that should be considered in looking at stats. TCU moved the ball very well in the first half then struggled with adjustments WV made at half. They still had 433 yds and 298 passing. Both teams had extra time to prep. Smith looked good their last game against TT and I think will have some success against this WV secondary. Total is low enough to play as I see this game in the 50s.
Prediction: 55 pts
0
Adding 1.5* on WV-Hou over 49.5
This will be the worst FBS def WV has played. They should be able to score on Hou. They run at a slower pace so the total will be determined by Hou. WV played TT in the rain and the qb got hurt so that should be considered in looking at stats. TCU moved the ball very well in the first half then struggled with adjustments WV made at half. They still had 433 yds and 298 passing. Both teams had extra time to prep. Smith looked good their last game against TT and I think will have some success against this WV secondary. Total is low enough to play as I see this game in the 50s.
Top 2 offenses in the ACC in terms of ypg. I like Miami to bounce back here and I do believe they will score some points in this one. Last week it rained heavy before the game and then started raining pretty good in the middle of the game against GT. Van Dyke made a few bad passes as Miami had 5 turnovers (453-250 in yds). Weather looks like it is clearing up for the game tomorrow – chance of a shower during but it doesn’t appear to be anything heavy. Miami was able to put up 451 yds at 8.35 ypp against the excellent A&M defense – granted this was week 2 as sometimes it takes teams a couple weeks to get going but still very impressive. UNC has not played a good offense the past few weeks and this week will face a balanced attach with Miami so I think they will have trouble slowing them down.
Maye is a tremendous QB so even know UNC is going against the top def in the ACC in ypg allowed I still think they will find a way to score some points. He is too good not to and they will be hard to hold down at home. I like this Miami def but think UNC- will at least be in the mid twenties or higher for this one. I like this game to have some points scored
Prediction: 63 pts
0
Adding 2 more plays
3* Miami-UNC Over 56.5
Top 2 offenses in the ACC in terms of ypg. I like Miami to bounce back here and I do believe they will score some points in this one. Last week it rained heavy before the game and then started raining pretty good in the middle of the game against GT. Van Dyke made a few bad passes as Miami had 5 turnovers (453-250 in yds). Weather looks like it is clearing up for the game tomorrow – chance of a shower during but it doesn’t appear to be anything heavy. Miami was able to put up 451 yds at 8.35 ypp against the excellent A&M defense – granted this was week 2 as sometimes it takes teams a couple weeks to get going but still very impressive. UNC has not played a good offense the past few weeks and this week will face a balanced attach with Miami so I think they will have trouble slowing them down.
Maye is a tremendous QB so even know UNC is going against the top def in the ACC in ypg allowed I still think they will find a way to score some points. He is too good not to and they will be hard to hold down at home. I like this Miami def but think UNC- will at least be in the mid twenties or higher for this one. I like this game to have some points scored
Gross loss last week and everyone now thinks Miami might fall off a cliff now. It is possible as you never know how these kids will react. This team has talent and I really felt after watching them the first few weeks they could win the conference. All of their goals are still within reach – that is the key point and why I think the team will bounce back. Playing UNC this week on the road well help with their bounce back. Miami is a lot better on the offensive line this year as the couple of transfers they added are good. I think they will win the line of scrimmage on both sides and I expect Van Dyke to have a big game in this one. Last week’s game should not have been close as Miami was pretty dominant at times in that game. I think the conditions impacted the game for them and possibly they were looking ahead. I think Miami gets the win in this one.
Prediction: Miami by 7
2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5
Will be some wind and possibly a little rain which should help. I don’t see how Iowa will score in this game without a turnover or special teams. Will be very difficult for them to get a td. Hill was 6-21 last week and completed no passes to a receiver. They are now playing the second best def they have faced and it will be his first start on the road. On the other side Iowa is still a very good defense and Wisc hasn’t exactly lit up the scoreboard in their games. Rutgers was able to hold them in check some last week and I expect Iowa will do the same especially with the weather. The biggest risk is Wisc rolls and pushes it over which could happen but I think the weather will help with this and will make it a very low scoring game. I do think the total dropping to 34 makes this a tougher play and I would probably drop it to a 1 or 1.5 star if that was the total I had.
Prediction: 27 pts
0
3* Miami +3.5
Gross loss last week and everyone now thinks Miami might fall off a cliff now. It is possible as you never know how these kids will react. This team has talent and I really felt after watching them the first few weeks they could win the conference. All of their goals are still within reach – that is the key point and why I think the team will bounce back. Playing UNC this week on the road well help with their bounce back. Miami is a lot better on the offensive line this year as the couple of transfers they added are good. I think they will win the line of scrimmage on both sides and I expect Van Dyke to have a big game in this one. Last week’s game should not have been close as Miami was pretty dominant at times in that game. I think the conditions impacted the game for them and possibly they were looking ahead. I think Miami gets the win in this one.
Prediction: Miami by 7
2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5
Will be some wind and possibly a little rain which should help. I don’t see how Iowa will score in this game without a turnover or special teams. Will be very difficult for them to get a td. Hill was 6-21 last week and completed no passes to a receiver. They are now playing the second best def they have faced and it will be his first start on the road. On the other side Iowa is still a very good defense and Wisc hasn’t exactly lit up the scoreboard in their games. Rutgers was able to hold them in check some last week and I expect Iowa will do the same especially with the weather. The biggest risk is Wisc rolls and pushes it over which could happen but I think the weather will help with this and will make it a very low scoring game. I do think the total dropping to 34 makes this a tougher play and I would probably drop it to a 1 or 1.5 star if that was the total I had.
One play in the books as the game last night easily went over. Bigger card than normal as this is about the max number I will typically play. Obviously the totals moved. Its important to try and identify games early in week that you want to play and think could move. Keep in mind weather for tomorrow – will impact some games. Good luck to everyone.
0
Final Card
4* Alabama FH -10.5
4* Wyoming – AF Under 45
3.5* Wash -3
3.5* TCU -5.5
3* Mich St-Rutgers Under 41.5
3* Pitt +8
3* Miami-UNC Over 56.5
3* Miami +3.5
2.5* ND -2.5
2* Auburn +12.5
2* Iowa-Wisc Under 37.5
2* Iowa St – Cincy Under 49
1.5* WV-Hou Over 49.5 – Won
One play in the books as the game last night easily went over. Bigger card than normal as this is about the max number I will typically play. Obviously the totals moved. Its important to try and identify games early in week that you want to play and think could move. Keep in mind weather for tomorrow – will impact some games. Good luck to everyone.
I think both teams understand it’s a rivalry and that it is important to fans. I don’t know if that gives either an advantage. USC will be ready to play - the rivalry impacts the crowd more in these games so might give more energy for ND to feed off.
0
@arubadk
I think both teams understand it’s a rivalry and that it is important to fans. I don’t know if that gives either an advantage. USC will be ready to play - the rivalry impacts the crowd more in these games so might give more energy for ND to feed off.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
