week 9 151

ok put these in Sunday and Monday  and glad    took Baylor -4 it has since went to -6.5   took Virginia -5  mad I should have gotten 4 when it opened , 1st play I put in as soon as lines came out was Navy+13.5 I knew that was going to go down I think it is 12 now, and Ga Southern +2  , pretty good team there, I think they win outright, and as I wrote Sunday night when Pitt opened at -4 I said I thought the line would go up so I was going to wait and yesterday I took +6 and posted that I think it will not go up higher and so far have been correct   and I took 1 total play going OVER 65 in the Tulane/N Texas game .....lost Tampa last night but boy did they start fast and maybe should have covered, they lost 4 points on the holding call that took away a TD, then when evanse dropped a TD pass then they were picked off  that's 11 points right there

posted below are writeups from the RX I did Sunday and monday

going to go and put my play in on Syracuse at +6 just 1 unit right now, I trust McCord more than I do Holstein, Holstein completed just 14/28 passes vs Cal and he threw 2 INT's in that game, while McCord threw for over 345 yds vs NC st, and was 31/42 in that game, and has thrown for over 300 yds in all 6 games this season which is pretty good, I think Gadson should have a huge game here, he is a very hard person for defenses to cover, they both have had a week off I think , so both teams should be rested and had time to work on schemes they will use, I think Syracuse has done well getting turnovers this year, that's the edge I will give to Syracuse, anything can happen, both teams have to limit turnovers, I feel if both teams play a clean game I think Syracuse will cover this spread and they do have a legit shot to win this game STR up, I felt this line would go up when it opened as I wrote Sunday and I was right, I think it has maybe topped out though, and I feel fine with 6 buying the half pt makes sense but if I bought it would be to 7, but I like 6 I see a 3-4 pt game either way with whoever wins 34-31 to the Victors

Syracuse +6 1 unit if this does hit 7 I will add a little

gl 151

Navy+13.5 1.5 units [image from unapproved source]
Georgia Southern +2 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Baylor-4 1.5 units [image from unapproved source]
Virginia -5 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Syracuse +6 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Over 65 N Texas/Tulane 1 unit [image from unapproved source]

Parlay BYU-2/Over 60 Pitt/syr half unit

Baylor much better than their record, at home laying 4, and Okla st on the road again after a good performance vs BYU on the road but lost in the end, tough one to get over, also revenge game for Baylor after losing at home last year to Okla st as a 2.5 pt favorite I think they get revenge here, and the RB for Okla st did get banged up a lot in the BYU game, also BYU getting points at UCF, UCF has good game are they back? not sure maybe line inflated a bit because of upset win at Iowa st Baylor is a play, Rangel out for Okla st too , only reason I bet some of these early is because I think this is the best line I'll get , if I thought line would move in my favor I would wait some games I do wait

Date Placed: 10/20/24 20:17:12
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 165.00 win 150.00
Bet Details:

1. 172 Baylor -4 (-110) risk 165.00 win 150.00 (NCAA FB)
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Navy+13.5 cashed out no charge HR Navy +13.5 no other line only that available same thing 1.5 units just do not see this going up , have to think Navy at home will not be getting 2 td's this is their opener I like it , Betnow and Bet online have no lines up yet so I am getting this I'll bet when they do post it will be lower

also what is up with Ga Tech? is their QB hurt they are +9 at VT....Pitt-4 vs Syracuse Syracuse off a bye and Pitt kind of liking Syracuse at 1st glance ......
also like I said I was dead on Georgia Southern is +2 I am taking it right now 1 unit , not sure what happened to Texas st Saturday at ODU , they did not turn it over, But Ga southern really did a number on JM last game as Ga Souther threw 3 int's and also fumbled it once yet still won by 14 pts 28-14 and one of the TD's for JM was a fumble returned for a TD so they really shut down that high powered offense of JM , and Ga Souther is a decent road team as they have won 2 of 3 this year on the road, at Ga st and at Nevada and I had them in the Nevada game as a 2.5 pt dog , they are 4-1 ats as a dog this year, ODU is 0-1 ats as a home fav its a play

Ga Southern+2 1 unit

also I think Virginia -4 at home over N.Car would be worth a look, I think Virginia is playing well, they did get the cover last game , just seems N Car is finding ways to lose, and its hard to be on a team like that

Indiana -6.5 at home vs Washington, this is interesting action has went to Washington here, and Indiana had an easy game at home last game, Washington good defense but they seem to struggle on offense, and Indiana's defense is pretty good, do not see why money would be going on Washington , any Injuries??? look into it

personally I think Va Tech -9 vs Ga Tech seems like a fair line, VT is playing well right now and at home where they always seem to get turnovers too VT and Indiana would be plays as of now

and of course now VT has went up a few points  wishing I took -9  

Guess Indiana has to do with QB situation

Boise st at UNLV have to admit I like UNLV and have all year, but this will be a good game and Boise st is talented  I said I was going to see if this line goes up and it has , it is now Boise-3.5  I expect this to hit 4  I would like 4.5 or 5    I am waiting, but admit this will be a hard game for UNLV but they can win it if they do not have turnovers, they have been getting turnovers this year as they lead the nation with 13 or 14 I think, I know they have 13 INT's but they have to contain this RB, I think this will be a very good game and higher scoring too, 

 Boise st came close to beating Oregon at Oregon losing 34-37  and Boise also gave up 45 at Ga Southern, that team I am also on this year, and Boise st gave up 30 to Utah st so I do think UNLV will be able to score some points here, the total is 66 I do like the OVER but will also be looking at the Team Totals in the game, in my opinion this could easily be a 44-41 game or 41-37 type of game, no way does this stay under 60, so for right now I am going to wait to see if this goes up to 4  4.5   both teams are scoring, Boise st is avg 46 pts a game and UNLv is avg 43 a game, I think Boise st has the better passing game, but I think if UNLV would try to throw more they too could do better, this will be a huge test for both ......but I am putting a Regular play on the OVER 66 , thew losing team will still have over 30 pts I think   so its worth a shot, 

OVER 66 UNLV/BOISE ST  1 unit

Navy game is not at home. Notre Dame refuses to play on Navy's home turf. The game is in New Jersey which Notre Dame will enjoy the Jersey Shore Italian crowd. I'm a little skeptical of Navy. Even last week they were out gained by Charlotte. They benefited from 5 turnovers, two of which were defensive TD's. Notre Dame should run all over Navy. 

You are so right about Geo Southern. Very good team. Starting to warm to Baylor also. I also believe in Syracuse!

Best of luck brother!

@River_fish

 I knew the game was not at Navy, I think too that the stadium at navy is smaller and of course with ND they figure with Navy being ranked why not have more tickets sold

well the lines are not done changing for sure, but my thoughts on the Pitt/syr game so far I was right and dead on, line opened at +4 I said wait if you like Syracuse it will go up, then when it got to +6 I bet it and stated that I thought it had topped out at 6 and bet them, and now today Syracuse is 5.5  

Good Luck Rum!!

also did West Virginia+3 in a Parlay with 2 ML teams that I think should win outright just to make the WV play pay more also I really do like Arkansas st -7 , this line was 7.5 and is now 7 I am wondering if it maybe drops below 7??? because I think Ark st wins this game by at least 10, or more, their starting QB is out this week "Caldwell" he is done for the season, the backup who came in last game went 2/6 for -6 yds....and Arkansas st is 3-0 STR up and ats at home this year, Troy is 0-3 STR up away this year and 1-2 ats , and they have not been doing well offensively, on the road they are -18 in score margin and Ark st is +3 at home in score Margin, also on the road they are only averaging 225 yds of offense, last 3 games they avg 254, Meanwhile Ark st is averaging 354 yds a game, at home its 408 yds a game and last 3 its 420 yds a game, and Ark st is averaging about 12 more plays a game than Troy,
Last 3 game Troy is scoring about 39% when inside the RedZone, yet their opponents are scoring at 87% inside the RedZone ....Ark st is scoring at 50% inside the RedZone last 3 games and their opponents are scoring at 66%, but at home that drops to 33%, so they are stopping teams at home, and away Troys Opponents are scoring at 83% so big differences there for sure ....also away Troy is -1.7 in the turnovers and at home Ark st is +0.5...one book has Arkansas state -7.5 HR has them -7 I am going to go ahead and lay 7 here at home, starting QB for Troy is out, and with all the other stuff seems like it is worth a play here

Arkansas st-7 1 unit 

Georgia state vs App st I am going to go with Georgia state on the road here +8.5 they had the same juice with Ga st -120 at +8 or +8.5 was not going to go to -130 to get 9 actually I think Georgia state has a shot at winning this game outright, App st has a horrible defense, they are like 125th against the run, honestly both teams have weak defenses, so the over looks tempting here also at 63 but I like the points more, Ga st has a very good passing game and they can run, App st is giving up about 214 yds passing, and Ga st is passing for about 260 a game, so I do see them running the ball and that should open up the passing game here, App st is also giving up 38 pts a game on defense.....this line will drop, it has a half pt but I could see this going to 7 or 6.5 even so getting it now,

Georgia State +8.5 -120 1.5 units HR

Navy+13.5 1.5 units [image from unapproved source]
Georgia Southern +2 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Baylor-4 1.5 units [image from unapproved source]
Virginia -5 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Syracuse +6 1 unit [image from unapproved source]
Over 65 N Texas/Tulane 1 unit [image from unapproved source]

Ark st -7 1 unit

Georgia state +8.5 1.5 units 

Parlay Arkansas ML/Ark st ML/W.Virginia+3  +242  1 unit 

Added OVER 29.5 TT UNLV for tomorrow    also I cashed out my Virginia -5 play  and I might take -4  or just pass on the game    will post   

OVER 29.5 TT UNLV 1 unit 

well got 2 games going tonight, games I looked into Sunday night , Syracuse +6 and Ga Southern+2 2 dogs .....also I have been riding UNLV this year and I may bet them tomorrow but I am for sure already on OVER 29.5 TT UNLV .....also I do favor N.Texas +8 st home, I am already on the OVER 65 in that game, it has since went to 67, one thing about N.Texas is , is that they can score points, their defense is not very good but their offense is, last week they covered at Memphis and were never not covering in that game, and they had one drive where they turned it over on downs at the Memphis 30, and the last drive of the game down 8 they had an 11 play drive which ended at the Memphis 18 yd ine as time ran out, this will be the 1st time N.Texas is a home dog, these 2 played last year at Tulane and Tulane was a 20 pt favorite, and the total was 63 and Tulane won 35-28 ....Tulane can score points too, but last week I think they were kind of lucky to even win the game, they got 5 turnovers from rice and the game was tied at 10-10 until 8 mins left in the game, then they had a nice drive and scored to go up 17-10 then they returned a fumble for a TD to go up 14, they were outgained in yards by rice also, they got all the breaks last week and were tied in the 4th qtr , their offense put up 17 pts and 10 were off of turnovers, +7.5 or 8 seems like being worth a look

gl 151