WEEK TEN ^^^ 1 5 1 ^^^

all write ups if any are posted at the RX  

well right now I am really liking ULL +3.5 but want 4 hoping it goes to 4, tomorrow it should let me get 4 at HR right now just offering 3.5 ULL has been a solid team this year and have won all 4 road games this year winning at Kennesaw st, Wake, S Miss , and at Coastal Car this will be their 5th road game in last 7 games crazy ....Neither team has any injuries listed , ULL is averaging 33 pts a game and giving up 25, Texas st is avg 34 a game and giving up just 21 , I do like that ULL is averaging 33 pts a game on the road this year so far and in the last 3 games they have been getting 1.7 turnovers a game on average , should be a good game, just think ULL is playing the better football right now,

Date Placed: 10/28/24 14:40:59
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 305 UL Lafayette +4 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)

HardRock still had +3 and to get 4 was -130 so grabbing 4 here at -120 if it does go up I will add, I do like them in this spot, on the road they have played well and Texas st did lose to Sam Houston and Arizona st at home but both games were very close, and I do expect another very close game here too, both teams have tough schedules remaining also in conf, so this is a huge game for both, only worry maybe is that ULL has won the last 11 vs Texas st and have covered in 10 of them , so some motivation maybe for Texas st, but another reason why I like 4 pts, this should be a very tight Ball game ULL 34-31

Jax st @ Liberty   now this should be a very good game, last week Liberty loses at Kennesaw st as a 26 pt road favorite, if you ever thought a team could lose by looking ahead well that game may have been it , Liberty was undefeated going into that game, and they had to figure they would win it and then they had a good Jax st team next , but they just looked ahead, this also could be a very high scoring game too, Jax st has scored at least 42 or more in their last 4 games , and last week Liberty gave up the most points this season and to a team who had not won yet, seems odd  27 pts  , they do have a good defense, and Liberty lost that game without turning it over, so they just were not up for that game.....but in this game Jax st does have some injury concerns as their starting QB he has a leg injury and is ? and a backup running back may be out too, Anwar Lewis , and Liberty their 3rd best rec is ? Reese Smith I do expect Liberty to enter this game much more focused, and I am sure they want to play well after losing like they did, if they can keep Jax st below 30 pts they have a really good chance at winning this game by a TD+, Liberty at home is holding teams to 19 pts a game, and they have a +12 scoring margin at home also, Away Jax st is scoring about 37 pts a game but are giving up just over 36 a game , so I think like I said if Liberty gets to 35 they should win and cover, this game could come down to who plays the better defense here, and in my opinion that is Liberty 

 This game opened at a pick'em  now its Liberty -1 to -2  I am on Liberty ML -125 at HR   

LIBERTY ML -125  1 unit   HardRock

I'm with you on Louisiana, I have them -3.5 instead of +3.5. They've been playing great all year while Texas St has been a disappointment IMO.

ULL will continue their outstanding play on the road.

@RUM151

@RUM151

@Mark_Bellhorn12

 well they are +4  not -4  unless your laying 4 to get huge payback   I can beven get 4.5 right now and might add    

N Carolina was my early play at -2  did not post here  I think they win by 8

@RUM151

 His power rankings have them favored by 3.5, not the line hes getting

I have to remember to post here  I sometimes forget...pretty much dead on to my write up

tonight this FIU game the line has dropped to 7 from 9.5 I do not see any big injuries so it must be just action, neither team is very good but at -7 have to admit I may be like the home team here, wondering who FIU will start at QB?? last week Jenkins did bad and was 1/9 and they brought in Peery who was 7/12 58 yds they need to score, only scored 7 pts last game , New Mexico st has been favored in last 3 games these 2 have played, this is the 1st time these 2 will play at FIU ...NM st has gotten beat up on in every road game this season, they are avg just 8 pts a game on the road, while giving up 44 , FIU is avg 25 pts at home and giving up 12 , so they have a score margin is +13 at home....and NM st is turning it over 2.4 times a game on the road and FIU is +1.7 turnovers at home this year

small play on FIU-7 at home tried 6.5 but too much juice going against the line move here

PLAYS ADDED  

N.Car-2

Pitt+8 -120 BIG

Arkansas +7 

and tonight Liberty ML 

Really like your write ups and Analysis, Great to see some actually take time to research a game

@RUM151

I canceled my arkansas play because their leading rusher is out , I do not trust injuries  I could have taken +8 but will just cancel  I do hope they cover I have them teased up 

Did add New Mexico -7 over Wyoming 

PLAYS ADDED  

N.Car-2

Pitt+8 -120 BIG

New mexico-7 

and tonight Liberty ML 

U Conn-7  actually bet 2 days ago  

OVER 47 USF/FAU  1 unit 

small play FAU+3

2 team Parlay  I moved the lines a bit for less payout  

Duke+21.5/S.Carolina +4.5  +213  

GL  on your plays @RUM151 

if you bet at HardRock they are giving Arkansas +8  +8.5 +9 all at -120   so I added Arkansas back on at +9  1 unit   its is a worry play but hate changing my mind

ADDED   over 53 VT/SYR 1 unit 

S Carolina +4 -120  1.5 units  BIG

ODU-2 -130  1 unit 

Arkansas +9 -120 HardRock 

N.Car-2

New Mexico-7

Army-12.5 1st half  1 unit 

Pitt+8 BIG