What am I missing with Kansas VS BYU

Everyone seems leaning to Kansas but why I can’t see that happening.BYU top dog team playing at home and big play for them why pick Kansas

Regarding the KANSAS @BYU game late Saturday night...

The tiny spread favoring the hometown COUGARS who are ranked in the top 10 but now facing an opponent with just 3 wins, might seem suspicious on first glance.  Almost like the books are trying to temp all bettors to load up on BYU at such a low risk.  It's so low, it's not even the usual 3 pts given to a hometeam in an EVENmatchup - let alone one that looks lopsided....

But

upon further review, I am convinced that a fieldgoal spread (give or take a half-point) is right where the line should be.

I am pleased to see BYU winning as a feel good turnaround from last year.   But when we look deepeer than the w/l total and the game scores we see HOW these game results were achieved.....

Start with with BYU having played the soft half of the BIG 12 in all but one of their games to date, while KANSAS was the opposite, having played the top half of the BIG 12 in all but one game. Fortunate BYU!

KANSAS has lost plenty, yes, but looking into the boxscores of the games and even the game scores, we can see clearly they have played VERY TOUGH and a against tough opps!

I bet on BYU last Saturday in the Holy War.....but I admit I was lucky as hell to win that!  BYU was fortunate and should have lost.   They were ripe for the picking against bottom-dweller Okla. State too and maybe should've lost that one, but escaped with a lucky 3 point win - WHICH DEPENDED ON them getting returning a pic down to the one for a CHEAP 7 points, and a last second TD drive to come from behind in the closing minute of the game. THAT was AT HOME facing the worst team in the BIG 12!   NOT impressive!

They beat  Baylor by 6 pts - another team in the lower HALF of the BIG 12....but to achieve that, they needed a turnover at Baylor's 20 for an easy TD.  Boy that was fortunate!

They deserved their wins over KSU and AZ, yes....but those game scores are very misleading!!  Lots of lucky good fortune!  Check it out! BYU leads the nation in interceptions.  Obviously a big aid to winning games, perhaps even when being outplayed.  They need them to win.