Hello everyone. I will post my picks for College Football in this thread. I don't bet College football until after week 4, however this year is a little strange and I had to augment my model this year. More injuries, time off, travel changes, and rules have change the behavioral and mental algorithm in my model.
That being said I hope everyone has had a good season thus far and lets finish it strong. I will post tonights play now, along with Friday's plays, but will wait till Saturday morning to post Saturday's plays due to the in flux injury reports.
OVERALL RECORD: 0-0, +0.00 units
Week 7:
GEORGIA STATE @ ARKANSAS STATE, PICK: GEORGIA STATE +3.5 @ -113, as well GS ML @ +1.46 (Pinnacle Odds locked in at 3:17pm Thurs Oct 15, 2020)
I was following the betting line and projected the hook would come in with late money on Arkansas state, and it paid off. The line is now
Georgia State +3.5. Although not closely followed, this GS team is full of mature college players. They can handle the primetime evening game a lot better then Arkansas State. GS offense has come together this year, while their defense can still put up the stops it needs. It's not pretty but they
will get it done tonight. The key to this game is Arkansas inconsistent scoring coupled with poor turnovers. Nothing destroys a teams morale
more then turnovers and they cannot consistently keep the ball. GS Coaching staff has begun to finally make GS lack of discipline aware during practice
sessions and that should keep their penalties and discipline in check tonight. I am not concerned with the travel distance as it's pretty short and all the
numbers in my model and simulations repeatedly indicate the +EV is on GS. As well, you are getting 3.5 points on top. Very easy play here.
1 unit on GS +3.5
1 unit on GS ML +146
Good luck
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hello everyone. I will post my picks for College Football in this thread. I don't bet College football until after week 4, however this year is a little strange and I had to augment my model this year. More injuries, time off, travel changes, and rules have change the behavioral and mental algorithm in my model.
That being said I hope everyone has had a good season thus far and lets finish it strong. I will post tonights play now, along with Friday's plays, but will wait till Saturday morning to post Saturday's plays due to the in flux injury reports.
OVERALL RECORD: 0-0, +0.00 units
Week 7:
GEORGIA STATE @ ARKANSAS STATE, PICK: GEORGIA STATE +3.5 @ -113, as well GS ML @ +1.46 (Pinnacle Odds locked in at 3:17pm Thurs Oct 15, 2020)
I was following the betting line and projected the hook would come in with late money on Arkansas state, and it paid off. The line is now
Georgia State +3.5. Although not closely followed, this GS team is full of mature college players. They can handle the primetime evening game a lot better then Arkansas State. GS offense has come together this year, while their defense can still put up the stops it needs. It's not pretty but they
will get it done tonight. The key to this game is Arkansas inconsistent scoring coupled with poor turnovers. Nothing destroys a teams morale
more then turnovers and they cannot consistently keep the ball. GS Coaching staff has begun to finally make GS lack of discipline aware during practice
sessions and that should keep their penalties and discipline in check tonight. I am not concerned with the travel distance as it's pretty short and all the
numbers in my model and simulations repeatedly indicate the +EV is on GS. As well, you are getting 3.5 points on top. Very easy play here.
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