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New Mexico at Air Force (10/23/2008)

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by Fpronk:

Please explain...why the would drop the line if people were on the over. Wouldnt the line go up to enitce people to bet the UNDER? Do they use reverse psychology in Vegas?
It matters not what people that bet do. Forget about it.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by crazyman913:

Fpronk you know your capping doesn't two unders seem fishy????

Considering I bet the under on both games last Thursday and hit both I don't see why it would seem fishy.

 
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Posted: #53
New Mexico +4.5
 
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Posted: #54
That is true FTP!!! just scary you bet could be over by the 2 quarter!!!
 
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Posted: #55
New Mexico +5 - 2 units
 
New Mexico +5/Under 45 - 1 unit
 
BOL tonight all 
 
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Posted: #56
i think this is going 2 be a tight game, but after my research:
NM +5.5
 
 
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Posted: #57
 
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Posted: #58
Gonna take Los Lobos +5 1/2. GL to all.....
 
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Posted: #59
not sure whos gonna win this but i think they will both score alot...goes way over 45
 
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Posted: #60
one question for ftp...during cold weather i grant you that both teams will try to establish the run...like u said both will probably fail, so then they pass...sloppy play in the pass game leads to interceptions, fumbles, long yarder situations-therefore good field possision...look at their past scores, both teams have been goin way over 45, i see now reason y it wont happen again
 
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Posted: #61
position* lol
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by byang_02:

AND ALSO YOU GUYS REALIZED THAT WHEN NEW MEX TRAVELS TO AIR FORCE THEY ALWAYS LOSE....!!! BY ATLEAST A TD...SO I GUESS BY SAYING THIS I'M 100% ON AIR FORCE AND IF NEW MEX IS SO GOOD WHY DOES VEGAS FAVORITE AF???? THAT'S BECUZ NEW MEX NEVER BEATS AF AT HOME NOT EVEN ONCE...

 

 

'04 NM-23 @ AF-28

'02 NM-31 @ AF-38 (overtime)

'00 NM-29 @ AF-23

 

 
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Posted: #63
This game is going over tonight boys and girls........I like the dog because you are getting more than the magic 3 and 4 numbers........but the best bet is over 45.  Each of these teams is capable of scoring that total by themselves with a few lucky and timely turnovers.  As a matter of fact, I like both overs tonight and both dogs. 
 
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Posted: #64
New Mexico +5
 
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Posted: #65
AF -5 
 
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Posted: #66
Wind chill is between 24 and 34 degrees for the game as well as 18 mph winds. These are traditional under conditions.
 
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Posted: #67
New Mexico +5
 
 Good luck
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Fpronk:

Please explain...why the would drop the line if people were on the over. Wouldnt the line go up to enitce people to bet the UNDER? Do they use reverse psychology in Vegas?

They drop the line so more people will take the over. Do you really think with 80% of the public on the over that the books are going to give you another 2 for insurance? I doesn't  hit 100% of tge time because they are wrong sometime also but whenever I see that you better watch out GL

 
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Posted: #69
Falcons over 44.5 XXL
 
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by TheBookBeater:

They drop the line so more people will take the over. Do you really think with 80% of the public on the over that the books are going to give you another 2 for insurance? I doesn't  hit 100% of tge time because they are wrong sometime also but whenever I see that you better watch out GL

If 80% of the public was on the over, the total would now be around 51 or 52. Go get a job, because you have no business betting on football.
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Fish Naked:

If 80% of the public was on the over, the total would now be around 51 or 52. Go get a job, because you have no business betting on football.


Reverse line movement: learn it, bet it. Under looks good so far.
 
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Posted: #72
Fish I think he meant that if 80% were on the over then why would the line drop 2 points?  For me, this would be considered a RED FLAG


 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by CallMeBruce:



Reverse line movement: learn it, bet it. Under looks good so far.


Oops wrong game.  I was watching the Aub game.
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by PatsGrl:

Fish I think he meant that if 80% were on the over then why would the line drop 2 points?  For me, this would be considered a RED FLAG


I knew exactly what he meant and he's wrong. The point is that the line moves with the money, pure and simple.  

Ultimately, Vegas wants equal money on each side so they collect their profit on the vigorish, which is the case with even the smallest of local bookies. This is the one and only reason a line moves, barring injuries or some other intangible. Show me a casino or book that tells the public how much they have on any side and I'll show you my tits. People read way too much into these bullshit percentages that are listed on websites.

 
 
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Posted: #75
im searching for the casino fishnaked...
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