(Batting Average vs. LHP/ Batting Average vs. RHP)
It’s a smaller sample size with only 68 PA, but Scott Carroll (RHP) gets absolutely blasted by LHB. Lefties are hitting .393 with a 1.033 OPS, and striking out only 0.7% of the time. Carroll also wins the award for worst road pitcher on the board (.348/.902/1.6 K/9.) This might mean a nice spot start opportunity for Alex Gordon. Though he’s hitting .261 v/RHP, and .222 at home, he is nearly min priced on FD at $2300. Eric Hosmer (.255/.313) is another candidate for a solid evening, although his home/road splits (.231/.348) don’t instill too much confidence.
Lefties have hit only .164 against Drew Smiley (LHP,) which makes the suddenly red hot David Murphy (.216/.304) less valuable.
Jason Vargas (LHP) has had a tough time lately with LHB (.297/ 7.25,) which could mean good things for Conor Gillaspie (.296/.348) who is 6 for his last 13 over the last three days. The same can’t be said for Alexi Ramirez (.237/.346.) who is 4 for 21 in his last 6.
Dallas Kuechel (LHP) is the second worst pitcher on the board tonight in terms of BAA/OPSA. Righties are hitting .286/.780 and lefties aren’t much worse at .279/.733. This makes Mike Trout (.333/.237) even more appealing than usual, and 2B Grant Green (.438/.222) matches up quite nicely as well. He’s hit safely in 8 of the last 9 games he’s started, and he is nearly min priced across the board. Hank Conger (.333/.291) remains a nice option at catcher as long as he’s in the lineup.
Dexter Fowler (.325/.245) is 9 for 20 with 9 BB in his last 6.
Miguel Cabrera (.222/.344) is back to being his usual self with 14 hits, 3 HR, and 14 RBI in his last 8, and will face righty Cory Kluber this evening, whom he’s crushed to the tune of 8 for 17 with 3 HR. Cabrera easily has the most upside of anyone on the board tonight. If there’s ever a good time to predict a home run in 1/162nd of a season, it’s right now.
Though I like punting on catcher most nights, it’s hard not to notice Devin Mesoroco’s (.615/.463) incredible start to the season. In his first two games back from a three week stint on the DL, all he’s done is homer in the first one and go 4 for 4 in the second one. He’s the one guy in the Red’s lineup who can be started with little hesitation right now, regardless of the matchup.
If you’ve been betting the under every time Wily Peralta takes the hill, you’re 7-1 this year. Distinguishing whether or not that’s a testament to good pitching or poor run support can be tricky, but I will be avoiding the Brewers bats all together against Mike Minor. Not one Brewer cracks the top 50 in OPS over the Last 7, and as a team they are hitting just .208 against LHP in their last 10. Carlos Gomez (.233/.304) is questionable for the game, and Ryan Braun (.273/.329) isn’t worth paying up for when there are options like Trout and Cabrera available for right around the same price.
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