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    All Forums | FIFA World Cup

    Chile +1.5 over Spain is only -180??? Wow. Write-up!!!

    scalabrine
    acejoker007
    ricolazio
    UGAPIMPIN
    GreenGinho
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    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:04 PM ET #1

    Gonna have to take that one. I get the draw and outright loss by a goal for for less than -200?

    While Chile has never beaten Spain in 10 previous games (2 draws 8 losses), Spain's biggest scare in the previous World Cup in 2010 came from...you guessed it, Chile, in a 2-1 Spain victory.

    Advantages as to why Chile can keep this within a goal:

    1) They play a somewhat similar style to the Netherlands so the very style that scored 5 on Spain will be seen again.

    2) There has to be some changes in the works for Spain and possible outright panic if Chile takes a lead. Adjustments = learning curve = lower scoring = closer final

    3) Obvious one - where is the WC being played? Refs if anything will favor a country on their continent (arguable but still defendable on my part).

    4) 2-2 tie fresh in their heads - in an international friendly on 9/10/2013, Spain needed a late goal in stoppage time to deny chile a major 2-1 upset.

    5) Favorites have been mauling the books and the public has been reaping in the dough. The world champs will be heavily bet on by the public as they expect a huge bounce back here. Chile has easily proven they can hang with this team and has looked very solid in the WC this far.

    With 1.5 goals, I cannot leave this on the table getting the draw and a loss and still having a chance to win.

    CHILE +1.5 (-180) over Spain


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Gonna have to take that one. I get the draw and outright loss by a goal for for less than -200?

    While Chile has never beaten Spain in 10 previous games (2 draws 8 losses), Spain's biggest scare in the previous World Cup in 2010 came from...you guessed it, Chile, in a 2-1 Spain victory.

    Advantages as to why Chile can keep this within a goal:

    1) They play a somewhat similar style to the Netherlands so the very style that scored 5 on Spain will be seen again.

    2) There has to be some changes in the works for Spain and possible outright panic if Chile takes a lead. Adjustments = learning curve = lower scoring = closer final

    3) Obvious one - where is the WC being played? Refs if anything will favor a country on their continent (arguable but still defendable on my part).

    4) 2-2 tie fresh in their heads - in an international friendly on 9/10/2013, Spain needed a late goal in stoppage time to deny chile a major 2-1 upset.

    5) Favorites have been mauling the books and the public has been reaping in the dough. The world champs will be heavily bet on by the public as they expect a huge bounce back here. Chile has easily proven they can hang with this team and has looked very solid in the WC this far.

    With 1.5 goals, I cannot leave this on the table getting the draw and a loss and still having a chance to win.

    CHILE +1.5 (-180) over Spain


     
    acejoker007
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:36 PM ET #2

    You had me at hello.  ha.   bol
    Reply
    You had me at hello.  ha.   bol
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:38 PM ET #3


    Can't see how others don't find this attractive as well. Yes Spain will come to play. But +1.5 is LARGE in these games and chile is such a big underdog -180 screams for a side to be taken.
    Reply

    Can't see how others don't find this attractive as well. Yes Spain will come to play. But +1.5 is LARGE in these games and chile is such a big underdog -180 screams for a side to be taken.
     
    ricolazio
    ricolazio
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:45 PM ET #4

    I wish I could get that , my book only offer +1 -115, but I think Chile plays for the tie to advance. Good luck
    Reply
    I wish I could get that , my book only offer +1 -115, but I think Chile plays for the tie to advance. Good luck
     
    UGAPIMPIN
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #5

    Spain Wins/O2.5   1U to win 1.3U
    Exact Score 2-1   0.5U to win 3.4U
    Spain/Croatia       2U to win 3.5U 

    Spain's backs are against the wall and I expect them to play like it.  Chile will be pushing forward on attack all game and spain will capitalize on the counter.  Because of their high attacking rate I do expect them to get a goal... BOL and as always lets beat the books! 
    Reply
    Spain Wins/O2.5   1U to win 1.3U
    Exact Score 2-1   0.5U to win 3.4U
    Spain/Croatia       2U to win 3.5U 

    Spain's backs are against the wall and I expect them to play like it.  Chile will be pushing forward on attack all game and spain will capitalize on the counter.  Because of their high attacking rate I do expect them to get a goal... BOL and as always lets beat the books! 
     
    GreenGinho
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #6

    +1.5 Chile is nice, but I cant bet against Spain when they need to win in a World Cup, I think that loss against Spain did them good.

    I bet the over 2. 

    I Hope Chile win 3-0, dont get me wrong


    Reply
    +1.5 Chile is nice, but I cant bet against Spain when they need to win in a World Cup, I think that loss against Spain did them good.

    I bet the over 2. 

    I Hope Chile win 3-0, dont get me wrong


     
    UGAPIMPIN
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #7

    Shiiiiit my bad thought this was my thread....
    Reply
    Shiiiiit my bad thought this was my thread....
     
    Brain4Sports
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 3:00 PM ET #8

    CHILI  NEED A TIE OR BETTER !  PLUS 1.25 TO +1.5 IS A GIFT HERE IN THIS CASE AT THE MONEY !  NOT ONLY BUT THE DRAW IS ALSO ATTRACTIVE
    Reply
    CHILI  NEED A TIE OR BETTER !  PLUS 1.25 TO +1.5 IS A GIFT HERE IN THIS CASE AT THE MONEY !  NOT ONLY BUT THE DRAW IS ALSO ATTRACTIVE
     
    BLAK_MAMBA
    BLAK_MAMBA
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #9

    Chile!!!
    Reply
    Chile!!!
     
    tairy_greene
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 3:37 PM ET #10

    Solid Start !!! Go Chile  
    Reply
    Solid Start !!! Go Chile  
     
    Vic-Vega
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 3:50 PM ET #11

    That should be the end for Spain barring a 2nd half implosion on Chile's behalf
    Reply
    That should be the end for Spain barring a 2nd half implosion on Chile's behalf
     
    GreenGinho
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 3:54 PM ET #12

    Hopefully you put your whole account in this pick, great pick man. 
    Reply
    Hopefully you put your whole account in this pick, great pick man. 
     
    Vic-Vega
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 4:02 PM ET #13

    Torres? Villa?

    They have to be featured in this game at some point surely?
    Reply
    Torres? Villa?

    They have to be featured in this game at some point surely?
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 5:22 PM ET #14

     To all the above.

    Didn't put my whole account on it but enough to offset the heavy juice.

    This was much like the Kings series price over the Rangers which was only slightly better in ML price. 

    Can't believe Bovada offered this but I have to say again and again, if you love dogs, Bovada is where it is at. Best dog lines in the business (although this one was buried in the site but once I found it, I pounded it).

    Despite the outright win, +1.5 goals is tremendous. I have to look for more of these. 
    Reply
     To all the above.

    Didn't put my whole account on it but enough to offset the heavy juice.

    This was much like the Kings series price over the Rangers which was only slightly better in ML price. 

    Can't believe Bovada offered this but I have to say again and again, if you love dogs, Bovada is where it is at. Best dog lines in the business (although this one was buried in the site but once I found it, I pounded it).

    Despite the outright win, +1.5 goals is tremendous. I have to look for more of these. 
     
    rjas44
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 7:54 PM ET #15

    Well Done
    Reply
    Well Done
     
    potvin
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2014 - 8:14 PM ET #16

    Reply
     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 1:53 AM ET #17

    Scal..put some on Chile Ml...small bet....but my question is who is your World Cup winner if you had to make a choice??...Germany is currently at 4-1.....my pick....your input is greatly appreciated...
    Reply
    Scal..put some on Chile Ml...small bet....but my question is who is your World Cup winner if you had to make a choice??...Germany is currently at 4-1.....my pick....your input is greatly appreciated...
     
    oldscho0led
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 7:51 AM ET #18

    Didn't see this one. Damn Scal, you are a very good spot bettor.
    Reply
    Didn't see this one. Damn Scal, you are a very good spot bettor.
     
    Figgygetit
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 7:59 AM ET #19

    Damn Scal, after NBA and NHL ended, I forgot you existed for a few days.  Would've been all over this with ya. I'm kicking myself even more because I actually watched this whole game. Nice call, hope to see more World Cup bets from you. I definitely prefer watching it over stickball
    Reply
    Damn Scal, after NBA and NHL ended, I forgot you existed for a few days.  Would've been all over this with ya. I'm kicking myself even more because I actually watched this whole game. Nice call, hope to see more World Cup bets from you. I definitely prefer watching it over stickball
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 9:45 AM ET #20

    @rjas @potvin

    Lmb - honestly, I'm not crazy in the least about futures
    for the WC winner. I love Brazil in general as a team (but they are weaker) and now of corse it's in Brazil so you have the refs but the odds are atrocious, 3-1 I see right now.

    That is trash. So no futures bet for me and I just play em as I see em (very very few though) on the WC as the drop off is pretty steep beyond that. (Btw, Germany is a solid futures bet if I had to make one).

    @old - couldn't believe it when I saw it and that Spain had become such a favorite, the alternate lines became ridiculously bettable.

    @figgety - I know the feeling betting chile before the game like you had. (Chile win + draw odds) just weren't high enough to pull the trigger but in retrospect it is obvious that was a tremendous bet for much better odds. Still, -180 isn't birdseed of a payout if you go bigger with the insurance of 1.5 goals.
    Reply
    @rjas @potvin

    Lmb - honestly, I'm not crazy in the least about futures
    for the WC winner. I love Brazil in general as a team (but they are weaker) and now of corse it's in Brazil so you have the refs but the odds are atrocious, 3-1 I see right now.

    That is trash. So no futures bet for me and I just play em as I see em (very very few though) on the WC as the drop off is pretty steep beyond that. (Btw, Germany is a solid futures bet if I had to make one).

    @old - couldn't believe it when I saw it and that Spain had become such a favorite, the alternate lines became ridiculously bettable.

    @figgety - I know the feeling betting chile before the game like you had. (Chile win + draw odds) just weren't high enough to pull the trigger but in retrospect it is obvious that was a tremendous bet for much better odds. Still, -180 isn't birdseed of a payout if you go bigger with the insurance of 1.5 goals.
     
     
    Champ_Iz_Here
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2014 - 10:34 AM ET #21

    ML was too juicy to pass up for me. Had em +590 for the first half and +490 for full game. Absolute blowout winner
    Reply
    ML was too juicy to pass up for me. Had em +590 for the first half and +490 for full game. Absolute blowout winner
    All Forums | FIFA World Cup

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