Posted:
#1
Gonna have to take that one. I get the draw and outright loss by a goal for for less than -200?
While Chile has never beaten Spain in 10 previous games (2 draws 8 losses), Spain's biggest scare in the previous World Cup in 2010 came from...you guessed it, Chile, in a 2-1 Spain victory.
Advantages as to why Chile can keep this within a goal:
1) They play a somewhat similar style to the Netherlands so the very style that scored 5 on Spain will be seen again.
2) There has to be some changes in the works for Spain and possible outright panic if Chile takes a lead. Adjustments = learning curve = lower scoring = closer final
3) Obvious one - where is the WC being played? Refs if anything will favor a country on their continent (arguable but still defendable on my part).
4) 2-2 tie fresh in their heads - in an international friendly on 9/10/2013, Spain needed a late goal in stoppage time to deny chile a major 2-1 upset.
5) Favorites have been mauling the books and the public has been reaping in the dough. The world champs will be heavily bet on by the public as they expect a huge bounce back here. Chile has easily proven they can hang with this team and has looked very solid in the WC this far.
With 1.5 goals, I cannot leave this on the table getting the draw and a loss and still having a chance to win.
CHILE +1.5 (-180) over Spain
