Posted:
#1
With a win, Belgium have a chance to advance to the round of 16 and a chance to rest a banged up squad in the third game of group play. In its first game, Belgium allowed an early penalty to Algeria that put them down 1-0, but Belgium maintained focus and stole 3 points in a gritty 2-1 final. Russia's keeper allowed a pitiful goal by South Korea's striker to put Russia down 1-0 before a late strike equalized in the 76th minute, finalizing a 1-1 draw.
From all the different scenarios I have ran, I believe that Belgium are the better team. In 11 of the 13 last Belgium international games played, the first goal has been scored in the 70th minute or later, equaling 8W and 2D for the Belgians. However, Russia are unbeaten in their last 8 international matches. I think there is value for betting the draw, but I don't see it happening today. Look for Vincent Kompany of Belgium to give Russia everything he has for 90 minutes.
Belgium vs. Russia
Spread: Belgium -.5 (-120) 2u
O/U: Under 2.5 Goals (-130) 2u
Prop: First goal scored between 71-80 minutes (16/1) 1uProp: Final score Belgium 1-0 (11/2) 1u
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