Posted:
#1
I am not sure this work - take it for what it is - a crazy idea ...
Is has nothing to do with value betting or any other advantage play ...
Idea is to bet even money odds and if a loss continue betting higher odds to win more.
The twist is that each bet one each odds is equal a even money bet using binomial probability calculation.
For example a 6.0 odds that hit within four attempts cycle is equal a even money bet.
odds 2.0
attempt 1 equal a even money bet
odds 3.0
attempts 2 equal a even money bet
odds 6.0
attempts 4 equal a even money bet
odds 9.0
attempts 6 equal a even money bet
odds 12.0
attempts 8 equal a even money bet
odds 18.0
attempts 12 equal a even money bet
odds 36.0
attempts 25 equal a even money bet
That is a total of seven placement with 50% probability each to hit once with above 98.5% probability
You would risk at most 6 units or your bankroll.
Now i don't know about finding the odds spread, but any match would do no matter sport, team or what so ever.
Made a quick chart over the staking plan
Odds - Staking - W/L
2.0 1 +1
3.0 1 +1
3.0 1 +0
6.0 1 +2
6.0 1 +1
6.0 1 +0
6.0 1 -1
9.0 1 +1
9.0 1 +0
9.0 2 +7
9.0 2 +5
9.0 2 +3
9.0 2 +1
12.0 2 +3
12.0 2 +1
12.0 3 +9
12.0 3 +6
12.0 3 +3
12.0 3 +0
12.0 4 +7
12.0 4 +3
18.0 4 +19
18.0 4 +15
18.0 4 +11
18.0 4 +9
18.0 4 +5
18.0 4 +1
18.0 5 +11
18.0 5 +6
18.0 5 +1
18.0 6 +11
18.0 6 +5
18.0 6 -1
36.0 3 +8
36.0 3 +5
36.0 3 +2
36.0 3 +1
36.0 4 +31
36.0 4 +27
36.0 4 +23
36.0 4 +19
36.0 4 +15
36.0 4 +11
36.0 4 +7
36.0 4 +3
36.0 4 -1
36.0 5 +31
36.0 5 +26
36.0 5 +21
36.0 5 +16
36.0 5 +11
36.0 5 +6
36.0 5 +1
36.0 6 +21
36.0 6 +15
36.0 6 +9
36.0 6 +3
36.0 6 -2
3.0 1 +1
3.0 1 +0
6.0 1 +2
6.0 1 +1
6.0 1 +0
6.0 1 -1
9.0 1 +1
9.0 1 +0
9.0 2 +7
9.0 2 +5
9.0 2 +3
9.0 2 +1
12.0 2 +3
12.0 2 +1
12.0 3 +9
12.0 3 +6
12.0 3 +3
12.0 3 +0
12.0 4 +7
12.0 4 +3
18.0 4 +19
18.0 4 +15
18.0 4 +11
18.0 4 +9
18.0 4 +5
18.0 4 +1
18.0 5 +11
18.0 5 +6
18.0 5 +1
18.0 6 +11
18.0 6 +5
18.0 6 -1
36.0 3 +8
36.0 3 +5
36.0 3 +2
36.0 3 +1
36.0 4 +31
36.0 4 +27
36.0 4 +23
36.0 4 +19
36.0 4 +15
36.0 4 +11
36.0 4 +7
36.0 4 +3
36.0 4 -1
36.0 5 +31
36.0 5 +26
36.0 5 +21
36.0 5 +16
36.0 5 +11
36.0 5 +6
36.0 5 +1
36.0 6 +21
36.0 6 +15
36.0 6 +9
36.0 6 +3
36.0 6 -2
I don't recommend this betting strategy - is only a funny thought or crazy idea wish was fun to mention.
Cheers
0
thanks man
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