Some amazing weather and race cards today. Turf should be on at all tracks and I am playing for the first time in a few months. I capped all week and found some logical contenders that should win and some bombs that should outrun their morning line. Heading to OTB in another state so cant wait for changes to post. Good luck!
Belmont Win bets and some exotics/multis
Race 1- #9 Left Leaning Lucy 4-1ml was no match for runaway winner in comeback but this 3 yr old filly tries her home track for the first time and with normal 2 start off layoff improvement should handle this weak group with a nice stalking trip. DD 5,6,9/3,8 Ex Box 5-6-9
Race 2- #8 Man Luv 8-1 ml stalked a hot pace in an off the turf dirt debut and tired for third late but was a really sneaky good debut. There are some top connections debuting runners today so this one should have big odds and if she does want the grass then she has a big shot.
Race 3- #5 Thorny Tale 8-1 ml gets back to his favorite track (2 for 2 lifetime) and should get a dream trip sitting behind some inside speed. DD 5,6/2,7,8,9 Ex Box 5-6
Race 4- #8 Feeling Pretty 15-1 Bomb showed brief speed in last and now gets back to turf in 3 career start. Beaten 25 plus lengths in both starts so the price should be huge. Was 5-1 in turf debut against some absolute future superstars though and had no chance vs that group. I like the cut back in distance after that brief dirt speed last out and Manny Franco hops on. Just maybe
Race 5- #2 Royal Charlotte 5-1ml - my BEST BET of the day at Belmont. Graded stakes winning filly looks to get sweet trip sitting inside some speed and has the class to take this late. The #4 odds on fav faces older for first time and will be over bet off 3yr old scores vs much weaker comp. DD 4/1,3,4,8
Race 6- #1 ShawdyShawdyShawdy 4-1ml couldn’t get going enough late in a 500k stake and Kentucky Downs last out as the fav at a mile. Stretches back out to distance of great maiden win and may show in his third start that he is the goods and headed to the Breeders Cup next month. Tri Box 1-3-4-8
Race 7- Tired of same older route turf warriors at this point in their careers. Seems like they have battled each other the last three years trading wins. Tossing out those horses and playing a pretty large exacta box and starting a large Pick 4 with the 4 year olds. Ex box 2-4-6 Pick 4 2,4,6/4,5/1,2,4,9/3,5,6,7,9
Race 8- Only 2 I see winning are #4 Complexity gate to wire or #5 Code of Honor gunning them down easily. Ill play a Win bet on Complexity and hope to get 2-1 or better
Race 9- #1 No Word 9-2 ml looks just as good as the favs in this one and seems to appreciate distance. Pletcher not known for his turf runners but I have noticed he is sending out some live turf routers lately may be switching up his focus some in an arena dominated by Chad Brown. Tri Box 1-2-4-9
Race 10- #9 Mondeuse 10-1ml wide open state bred MSW David Donk in the nightcap. There you go
, Johnny.
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