GP Saturday 11/14/17

Capping a few more tracks now for tomorrow also --- I am playing all these to $10 Win and $4 ex boxes and rolling track min bet pick 3's and 4's --  I don't bet favorites and many times not the most logical contenders either  - I play a decent priced runner who I feel can out race their odds and win at a price. Some of these may end up going off at smaller odds and sometimes the fav but I get my bets out there and move on

Race 1-  #2  Capital City  12-1 ML  has been placed in tough spots the last half of last year after having a great a good first half—7 yr old gelding should have some gas left in the tank and should be in perfect stalking distance from the start with first run against the speed    #2 Win and ex box 1-2-9 

Race 2-  TURF  #6  Powerful Instinct 5-1 ML shipped down from NY and raced a decent 4^th against better at this track in last—another old timer 8 yr old gelding hasn’t seen this light of competition in a long time-- #6 Win and ex box 3-4-6    If on DIRT  #7 could wire field in a very slow race  Dirt #7 Win

Race 3- #7  Lady Keswick 6-1 ML has shown some talent getting minor awards in her first two races- lots of expensive firsters in here will be bet but a few look like turf fillies and the Pletcher firster is the ML fav but is bred to go long so hoping she needs one and doesn’t fire. #5 could be major player off long layoff after showing fast pace her only race as 2yr old in NY    #7 Win and ex box 5-7

Race 4-  TURF   #6  Looking at the Lake  8-1 ML--- wide open 50k maiden claiming for 3 yr old filles--  I always look for the horse with one start on dirt that is clearly meant to be a turf horse and this one fits—raced in NY in an off the turf race and was bet at 7-1--   Johnny V takes the mount for Weaver-- #6 Win and ex box 4-6-11-14(AE)   If on DIRT #3 looks to have a touch of speed and experience  Dirt #3 Win

Race 5- #7 Sals Jet 8-1 ML is the horse and odds I like most today at GP—maiden claiming price gets cut in half after showing pace against better maidens in last few which has made me lots of Wins in the past-- #7 Win and ex box 2-7-11

Race 6- TURF GRADE III   Marshua's River S.   the 3-5-7 will take all the play and each look ok but the odds will be short—looking at #4 Elusive Million was brought over to states from France last summer and for some reason placed in the Grade 1 Arlington Million (maybe because of her name?). She set a crazy pace and faded to last—then in next race a month ago here at GP she stalked and dualed for a game 2^nd albeit against much softer but at least she put up a nice figure and Julien Leparoux sticks with the horse— think get better odds then ML so worth a bet for me-- #4 Win and ex box 3-4-7 – If raced moved to DIRT then #1 could be a sneaky bet with some ok dirt races in her 7 yr career- Dirt #1 Win

Race 7- #7 Khamsa Tfu 9/2 ML  should be forwardly placed in this very weak maiden 12.5 claimer- not many horses will want to pass each other in this one and the #7 hasn’t ever faced slow horses like this—most likely winner today for me but hard to fire too large of bet in a 12.5 maiden race  #7 Win

Race 8- TURF  #5 Cite 10-1 ML had the look rising turf horse early last year in his 3 yr old season but never panned out and put on the bench for the last 7 months- his best two races were at this track last Jan and Feb and Mott put some nice works in for his return—there are no world beaters in this one-- #5 Win and ex and tri box with all bombs— 4-5-9-13(AE) If race is moved to DIRT then #3 Win

Race 9- TURF  #7 Audrique 15-1 showed speed and fade from 1 path on dirt debut and was a 300k purchase out of Malibu Moon—good enough for me at long odds in this 5 maiden furlong turf dash loaded with expensive firsters  #7 Win   If moved to DIRT--#7 Win same horse with better post today

Race 10—TURF  GRADE II  Ft. Lauderdale S.     #8 Almanaar 8-1 ML sure looks like he is ready to fire in 3^rd start in the US for Chad Brown who is hands down the best turf trainer I have ever seen- was rank early last race and still fired a big race to lose to Chad’s other horse in here #2 also at 8-1 hmmm seems like a nice exacta angle—ill play #8 Win and ex box 2-5-8---   If on DIRT #4 win

Race 11- Grade III  Hal's Hope S.      #7 Team Colors 10-1 ML comes in off a layoff but loves the track and with his best beats these late from off the pace—there should be enough to set up his late kick but the one turn mile at GP is tough for a closer I will admit—hope price justifies  #7 Win

Race 12- -TURF  #8 I’m Majestic 6-1 ML set a fast pace and faded against slightly tougher in turf debut and is well bred expensive purchase for this level but Ritvo likes to win at her home track especially a finale race Saturday card   If race moved to DIRT then #13 (AE) Win

Race 5 the #7 scratched    playing #2 Win and ex box 2-11