GulfStream Stakes Races

R7 Bonnie Miss-

#3 Devil May Care- Only Grade1 winner in the bunch, lightly raced and eligible to improve in 2nd off layoff, has had trouble in every start, Johnny returns.

#2 Switch- No races or works on dirt, has failed twice against opposing pace pressure which will be had today, not really flattered beating Crisp as Crisp was completely off game in that race

#5 Amen Hallelujah- IEAH, Dutrow and Leparoux, nuff said? Can stalk and put up a monster race first time on dirt. Legit favorite.

#6 Christine Daae- Lightly raced, can get the distance, endurance work noted, Juicer trainer Biancone may break out the milkshake

*Not a lot of value in this race. Would only play this looking for a price so...

Tri 3/5,6/5,6
Tri 3/5,6/2,4,5,6
Exacta Cover 5,6/3

kervaine

leaning 6 here thinking 2 and 5 might struggle with distance.

race 8 leaning 4.  race 9 no clue.  race 10 funnybone looks tough.

florida derbey the 9 miner's reserve looks interesting.  what do you think?

rule and radiohead both on or near the lead but not convinced they get the added ground.

R8 The Rampart

#1 Bambera- Venezuelan is almost flawless in all her starts. Trainer has had minimal success at the meet but some solid works as well as close to a million $ in earnings adds to appeal.

#2 Don't Forget Gill- Actually do, forget her that is... looks like the connections can't bear to see her running in anything but Stakes but these are out of her league, especially with her lack of tactical speed and late oommph. Bottom of tri at best.

#4 Aurora Lights- Only two starts on dirt with a solid win in the Sabin. Last out Beyer about what will be needed for this. Distance doesn't look like a problem and can track behind a hot pace.

#6 Miss Singhsix- Leparoux and Wolfson are always dangerous together however this horse is a plodding presser without much dynamic speed. Last win was in a lesser race, in a 5 horse field and at slow fractons.

#8 Unrivaled Belle- Mott/Desormeaux, exacta finish in the Gazelle, early speed but with the ability to stalk, Beyer improvement every race with the exception of the last off layoff and on artificial, Looks very live


Exact 8/1,4,6
Exacta 1,4,6/8
Tri 1,4/1,4,6/8

R9 The Appleton

#1 Society's Chairman-Not a great deal of backend zip, commonly runs further, has been beaten by Rahy's Attorney 3 times already, the upside is Lezcano piloting

#3 Kiss the Kid- Not sure why he is the favorite here, has won graded stakes but not for a while, older horse has been running flat for the last year and grinding will probably not get this done, trainer stats do not boost appeal

#4 Carson Hall- Can stalk or close, 4 for 6 in the exacta at the distance, 7/11 on the turf, trouble in both of last 2 races, above class here but in it with a shot at a nice price

#6 Storm Play- Out of Smart Strike but has never run on turf, decent turf works, ambitious placement here but does have early speed, Johnny and Pletcher together, will be a good price

#7 Rahy's Attorney- Decending Beyer's, looks to have early speed but fractional times for 7 1/2f will press him, doesn't look to be able to stalk, still the biggest earner in the field

#8 Boots Ahead- Young and lightly raced, can stalk fast fractions, 2nd off layoff in the beginning of his 4th season, Leparoux up

#9 Almoradi- ? Foreigner has little in earning and his turf starts were decent but at a lesser level, first North American unimpressive but breeding is decent, Biancone's recent stats unimpressive

Exacta 4,8/1,3,4,6,7,8,9
Exacta 6,7/4.8
Trifecta 4,8/6,7/4,8
Exacta 4,8/4,8

R10 The Swale

#3 Ibboyee- Pletcher/Johnny again, nice last race after layoff, fair third to D'Funnybone after rough start, can stalk with enough spped to keep him in the mix

#4 City Trooper- Last two untroubled races were fair to good, finishing less than 3 lengths behind Ibboyee but not sure he has the late kick

#6 Dixie Band- Good dirt works though never run on it, can stalk with early speed (at least on synthetic) and connections are right, Catalano/Leparoux

#7 D'Funnybone- Fast, multiple Graded stakes winner, Dutrow/Prado, legit favorite

#8 Gary D- Lightly raced, improving, his speed gives him a puncher's chance


Exacta 7/3,4,6,8
Exacta 3,4,6,8/7

R 11 The Florida Derby

 #1 Soaring Empire- Only 3 races, improved off layoff and can rate and close, best thing going would be a pace melt down and will be a price
 
#2 Lentenor- Great lineage, good works on dirt but never been on  it in a race, has don e nothing wrong on the turf and continues to improve

#7 Rule- Not much to say here, Pletcher's B horse has won his last 4 on the engine, don't think this will be a wire job, he will have to learn to rate and it might be now

#9 Miner's Reserve- Only 2 races and last was very nice, looks dynamic, the connections are great including owner LaPenta and tied for 2nd for best last out Beyer, seems to have the most upside especially for the price

#11 RadioHead- First North American races successful, impeccable connections but stepping up in dirt class here, probably legit 2nd choice

Exacta 9/1,2,7,11
Exacta 1,2,7,11/9
Trifecta 7,11/1,2/9

Atlas, Def. agree with Miner's Reserve especially since you know he won't be better than 3rd bet...

#7 Rule- Not much to say here, Pletcher's B horse has won his last 4 on the engine, don't think this will be a wire job, he will have to learn to rate and it might be now

 

Nice write ups Kerv. I agree with your comment. Big fan of Rule but the horse will have to learn how to rate or will get fried up front. Looks like a good race.

 

Morning Atlass, looking over SA right now.

kursh

worked all weekend last weekend with clients the whole time.  good stuff today gulfstream card great and santa anita nice as well with only one graded event.

like these

Race 9 9 Almoradi

Race 10 3 Ibboyee, try to beat the 7

Race 11 7 Rule tri 7/all/1-2-11 tri 1-2-11/all/7

Race 12 6 The Great McGee

good luck to all