Eschewed a trip to the Bluegrass stakes today and played from living room downs. Always run on a Saturday, if you have ever been it is the most crowded place on the planet. Normally, bet Derby prep cards and California on Sundays occasionally win bets, yet 90% of my plays are pick fours, average play, win $50 to $100, fours $24 to $48. Could not 'cap the Madison, other than the "all" button, liked East Ave. so went pick three with a perceived very good handle on the sequence. Bet four tix @$5.00 each. 4,11 / 5 / 8,11
An old axiom "don't fall in love with your horse" if you're gonna bet it! Previous Derby pain experienced includes, Alydar, Empire Maker, Unbridled Song etc. etc
Shakertown, to me was a two horse heat; Wathnan's gelding and the Godolphin. The former was moderate, then got chopped and reeled off three in a row well clear, the last after spotting the field 25 lengths, after the layoff in a grade III, in Quatar, scored earning a quarter mil. Bottomless pocketed owners, unknown trainer, yet secures Flavian and a must be on the ticket. Think Big was an obvious contender from the royal blue, two for two on the green, last in New Orleans, the fastest closing fraction sprinting there I have seen in the last six decades of paying attention. Figured 5-2 and 7-2 on the pair.
East avenue is what you want in a racehorse, classy, bred, a looker and floats over the ground. Love him. Smoked a grade I in his second start while never asked. Subsequently fell on his face in the Breeders cup, then disappointed in the FG prep, tho the Assmussen runner absolutely freaked with a 108 Beyer on the engine. Alas, colt worked super into this with blinkers added, work at Keenland last week lickety split. Looked a monster in the post parade, bumped start, asked hard into a stiff wind, cleared, settled, challenged, dead game. Sadly, after spanked left-handed inside the furlong grounds, the boy went righted handed multiple times, Ok then the colt jumps to his left lead and the boy just hand rides to the finish beaten a nostril. Never bash jocks, yet feel this colt thought he won and expect some cross examination of the ride by the connections. I was disturbed enough, took some irate phone calls, started the smoker, got into the bowl and got shut out of a $4.00 exacta play in the last
Again, had a pair on my eliminated pick three and was confident in my analysis in this n/w3. Always liking Paul, Samantha tremendous horse people, and their entrant certainly figured a player, never out of the money and Rusty's charge was certainly going to run well, given impeccable breeding ( best sire in the world out of a mare that has tossed three stakes winners). In his last, off the layoff he ran down a horse coming off a 97 Beyer, hello.
Ther's more to tell, yet often solid, competent handicapping meets circumstances its not an 11-10 world. bbb
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