Saratoga Race Course - 7/26

Question

race 75 WP12/1 ml.  recency, late speed, pace, pattern.  swinging for the fences in this race given the potential for a juicy pace setup here.  I see this one with the potential to be a real scorchah up front and this guy has an edge on late speed.  very risky play here he can&#x27;t be too far back going 6F here needs to stay within 7-8 lengths from the half mile pole.  on figs overall he&#x27;s quite competitive, been improving, already had a crack at winners, and has three nice drills off his last.  i think he&#x27;s potentially fit and ready to go but if he&#x27;s way, way out of it or another guy freaks and runs 95ish he won&#x27;t win.  hopefully he&#x27;s within a handful of lengths at the top of the lane and these other guys beat the piss out of each other up front.  0.75 units.

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 75 WP12/1 ml.  recency, late speed, pace, pattern.  swinging for the fences in this race given the potential for a juicy pace setup here.  I see this one with the potential to be a real scorchah up front and this guy has an edge on late speed.  very risky play here he can&#x27;t be too far back going 6F here needs to stay within 7-8 lengths from the half mile pole.  on figs overall he&#x27;s quite competitive, been improving, already had a crack at winners, and has three nice drills off his last.  i think he&#x27;s potentially fit and ready to go but if he&#x27;s way, way out of it or another guy freaks and runs 95ish he won&#x27;t win.  hopefully he&#x27;s within a handful of lengths at the top of the lane and these other guys beat the piss out of each other up front.  0.75 units.

atlasshrugged · Answer

i&#x27;ve got the 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, and 10 all possibly flashing that early pace looking for the lead.  variance implies they obviously won&#x27;t all be there but it could get hot up there so we&#x27;ll see what happens

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 12 WP10/1 ml.  recency, late speed, pattern, distance.  i&#x27;m taking a shot here as well this is a modest field size of 8 for turf and frankly none of them appear to be all that good.  this little girl was 67/1 on the tote against maiden 65K sellers and took a little time to get her legs warm but she came running late quite nicely relative to this crew.  got a fig there that is very competitive here and now jumps up in class and stretches out.  two maintenance drills since the last for trainer 22% off a 31-60 day break, 17% maiden second spin, and 13% on turf overall which is decent considering how tough turf racing is.  none have anything in the tree that screams longer distances on turf so i&#x27;m giving her the opportunity to improve second time out and handle the extra ground.  0.75 units.

atlasshrugged · Answer

5 will be chalkie got scratched friday for this which makes me wonder why Mott wants her going longer even though she has weakened late around one turn granted those were dirt. she'll try to wire them and could certainly do that if she's all alone and has the stamina. i'll see if this 2 can nail her late. i'm not interested in 7/5 on the 5 hoping she lasts the distance.

atlasshrugged · Answer

oh and fyi I&#x27;ve only got one win on the green at the Spa so far which is odd.  Saturday I had three juicy winners one on turf but other than that the turf has killed me so far.

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 23 WP6/1 ml.  recency, pace, stamina, distance, pattern.  looks like the only other early pace here is from some fellas stretching out and this bum has the edge on middle and late pace.  woke up nicely adding shades last out and got a decent fig at 9F this cutback should help him.  trainer very solid 36% off a 31-60 day break, 33% off a win, and 19% on the green.  like the drills since the last.  let the sprinters go early and make the move on the turn and try to hold on late . . . . hopefully.  0.75 units.

atlasshrugged · Answer

if 2 or 7 find their best I&#x27;m in trouble but at least he should be prominent with a chance to hold on.  looks ready to come out firing.  2&#x27;s off a long break and is tough relative to these but no monster.  7 looks a bit iffy hasn&#x27;t really fired recently.

atlasshrugged · Answer

looking to play races 6, 8, and 11 as well. good luck everyone.

Race 10 is the sexy G2. I think i'm passing. chalkie is consistent and i prefer playing against iffy favs. not that he's a cinch but he probably shows up and tries hard. gun to my head maybe the 2 though i'm not entirely confident he'll bring it late around two turns thiugh I do like how he's been spruced up and rested.

Mayor · Answer

Hey atlas. Hope all is well. Do you know where i can download the whole card for free for Saratoga today. Thanks

LoneStarHorse · Answer

Go get Em Atlas

bullmoose · Answer

Thx for the writeups. GL today

spliquid · Answer

GL Atlas

Rob2772 · Answer

Atlas,

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 1 - nothing.  nowhere to run and/or didn&#x27;t want to!race 2 - nothing at 5/1.  opened up huge and died late.

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 612 WP10/1 ml.  recency, pattern, pace.  yup he&#x27;s a plodder and a grinder but generally speaking he doesn&#x27;t throw in the towel and that may help against this dicey crew going 12F.  last two times responded positively 2nd off the layoff and stretching out.  can he just kinda hang around and keep plugging away late???  0.75 units.

howzuck · Answer

Atlas, I see you&#x27;re having a rough day, hang in there, I&#x27;ll tail you for a few bucks on the 5 in the 7th for luck....

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 81 WP10/1 on the board.  recency, late speed, distance, stamina.  1.0 units.

atlasshrugged · Answer

race 7 - 4th at 8/1.  the 1 blitzed them.race 8 - 2nd at 7/1.  supposed to settle and close and he tried to wire them somehow he held on.

bigant912 · Answer

Nice hit on the 1

Rob2772 · Answer

Nice call on the 1.

atlasshrugged · Answer

yeah maybe some made a couple scraps on that 1. thanks guys.

passing the rest. yikes the turf is really beating me up so far. i always ask a) did it win, and b) did it fire. if it didn't fire too frequently then something's wrong on my end. catch you guys later.

Saratoga Race Course - 7/26

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