Posted:
#1
Do you play "all"?
How often, and in what situations do you hit that button? Do you use it on top or on the bottom of vertical bets, or in doubles, pick 3's and such? Do you think it adds value? Is it a cop out or a smart play? Give us a hypothetical or a real life example.
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I look to play all in multi-race wagers, when I distrust or flat hate the favorite, and can see at least 4 or 5 real contenders, or the race is a complete mystery. The value is only there if you beat the favorite, and perhaps a smart play would be to omit the favorite, or the top 2 or 3 choices, instead of using the all. And, to be honest, there are usually a couple in any race that look like they have no chance and could be left off the ticket. But, when one of those does win...(I hit a pick 3 for $1 at Gulfstream once that had a 2:1, 5:2 and 98:1 and paid $3000)
Yesterday, I had the late pick 3 at Indianna Grand, using just the two favorites in race 6, all in race 7, and the favorite in race 8. It only cost $8, and I liked my chances to get a hit, and thought the middle leg was rather wide open. The middle winner was 18:1, and the payout was $321 for 50 cents, while win parlay was about $105 for 50 cents.
So, perhaps there was value there, based on win odds, but maybe a more focused play would be better value, and there was always the chance of catching the favorite in the middle and getting less than win parlay (the favorite was second by a neck, btw...).
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