Just thought it is time to place any thoughts that would give reasoning behind opinions regarding the future of the American or other stock markets in 2008. Bullish or bearish, macro or micro reasoning...whatever.
For me the real question is whether the developing markets will in fact take center stage and through their rapidly escalating economic sway be able to mitigate what I think is a likely recession in the US.If they can, then we really can mark the changed place of the US in world economic conditions.
If you are bullish or bearish on a sector, or a market, or whatever, lay out your reasoning...any ideas welcomed!!!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Just thought it is time to place any thoughts that would give reasoning behind opinions regarding the future of the American or other stock markets in 2008. Bullish or bearish, macro or micro reasoning...whatever.
For me the real question is whether the developing markets will in fact take center stage and through their rapidly escalating economic sway be able to mitigate what I think is a likely recession in the US.If they can, then we really can mark the changed place of the US in world economic conditions.
If you are bullish or bearish on a sector, or a market, or whatever, lay out your reasoning...any ideas welcomed!!!
I'm leaning toward a bearish market up ahead. I just can't see how our country can achieve some form of greatness or for that matter maintain it by debasing the USD.
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I'm leaning toward a bearish market up ahead. I just can't see how our country can achieve some form of greatness or for that matter maintain it by debasing the USD.
I think a lot of of econ "chickens" like subprime, deindustrialization and the outsourcing of American tech is going to "come home to roost". the econ ain't going to make it with more and more people that used to be middle class industrial and tech workers now working for minimum wage at some big box store or fast food joint. throw in an inflation that could make the 1970's look stable which would destroy the savings and investment of seniors (my personal greatest fear) and it could really get nasty and I mean serious class warfare nasty. we are about in the same econ situation as Great Britian in the 1970 and I remember there was seroius social unrest back then.
the ONE THING that MAY save the market is foreign investment BUT that's also a two edged sword. I don't want the ChiComs controlling ANY company with defense implications like 3com and I sure don't want some nut case whabist muslims controlling the banking system. also, IF they decide to dump our stocks and bonds along with the US dollar, you can say hello to the inflation of the Weimar Republic in the 1920's right here in America.
all in all, although the 4th year of a Presidental cycle is historically GOOD for the stock market, I think 2008 could be a big exception.
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I'm with kickinA.
I think a lot of of econ "chickens" like subprime, deindustrialization and the outsourcing of American tech is going to "come home to roost". the econ ain't going to make it with more and more people that used to be middle class industrial and tech workers now working for minimum wage at some big box store or fast food joint. throw in an inflation that could make the 1970's look stable which would destroy the savings and investment of seniors (my personal greatest fear) and it could really get nasty and I mean serious class warfare nasty. we are about in the same econ situation as Great Britian in the 1970 and I remember there was seroius social unrest back then.
the ONE THING that MAY save the market is foreign investment BUT that's also a two edged sword. I don't want the ChiComs controlling ANY company with defense implications like 3com and I sure don't want some nut case whabist muslims controlling the banking system. also, IF they decide to dump our stocks and bonds along with the US dollar, you can say hello to the inflation of the Weimar Republic in the 1920's right here in America.
all in all, although the 4th year of a Presidental cycle is historically GOOD for the stock market, I think 2008 could be a big exception.
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