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Posted: #2
I like the first two legs of that parlay but I wouldn't count Tarec Saffiedine out against MacDonald.
 
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Gunn. I don't think Saff us an easy out but how does he beat Rory. I don't see him out wrestling or out striking him
 
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Love cruickshank
 
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Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

Gunn. I don't think Saff us an easy out but how does he beat Rory. I don't see him out wrestling or out striking him


Saffiedine is a much better wrestler than many people think with pretty good TDD who can also get back up if he is taken down. If Saff can keep it standing he can kick Rory's legs until they are purple and strike with him and win some potentially close rounds.

Also I would like to point out that with a pre-fight bet on Saffiedine at +406 I don't need Saffiedine to actually win the fight to win money. If it's a close fight for the first few rounds and Rory ends up at say -120 in live betting at some point and I think he may win a decision, I can bet $240 to win $200 on Rory and then essentially freeroll on both outcomes, resulting in a $160 profit if Saffiedine wins or $100 profit if Rory wins.
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

Love cruickshank


I've won money on Cruickshank before, but I'm on the dog in this one. Njok is a taller, rangier striker and he's not going to be taken in by Daron's flashy kicks. Daron does well with guys that are wore strikers than him not someone with Njok's skills and experience.
 
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Njo is a great long lanky striker, but I don't think he;s getting any better whereas Cruickshank has been improving. He might even use a ground game vs Njo here
 
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Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

Njo is a great long lanky striker, but I don't think he;s getting any better whereas Cruickshank has been improving. He might even use a ground game vs Njo here


Daron would be smart to try taking Anthony to the ground, but it may tire him out as Anthony has faced many fighters who have tried to wrestle him by now. I think Daron will want to stand and try to show he has the better striking style and that will be his downfall.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by JimGunn:



Saffiedine is a much better wrestler than many people think with pretty good TDD who can also get back up if he is taken down. If Saff can keep it standing he can kick Rory's legs until they are purple and strike with him and win some potentially close rounds.

Also I would like to point out that with a pre-fight bet on Saffiedine at +406 I don't need Saffiedine to actually win the fight to win money. If it's a close fight for the first few rounds and Rory ends up at say -120 in live betting at some point and I think he may win a decision, I can bet $240 to win $200 on Rory and then essentially freeroll on both outcomes, resulting in a $160 profit if Saffiedine wins or $100 profit if Rory wins.

this is a great way to bet under the right circumstances such as what happened in the nunes/cingano fight(+260 nunes and cat -163 after the first round), where amanda is very tough in the first five to eight minutes of a fight and one of cats main strengths is her great cardio

i dont think that saffiedine holds any advantages(one punch power) in the first five to ten minutes against rory. imo, i would wait to maybe bet saff after the first two rounds because rory has no experience after three rounds where tarec does
 
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Posted: #11
another play to fade.
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