Posted:
#1
Cruickshank vs Rios
Normally I am on the better wrestler/grapper in the equation because when the fight gets to the ground its very easy for them to not only dominate but erase in the mind of the judges any of the damage that was done previously on the feet. With that being said... I'm not sure Rios wrestling is that far superior to where he's going to be able to over come Cruickshank's tdd... not only that but I don't know if he can close the distance well enough to get that all important takedown.
The other thing that has to weigh in my mind is that I don't a clear cut way for Rios to finish the fight, even if he secures a td i don't think he will b able hurt him before so the idea of him just getting Cruickshank in a bad position to where he will b able to sub him from top or take his back doesn't seem logical. When u look at it from the back end Cruickshank def pos the better stand up and could possibly finish him there... he could also just dance and pick him apart... if he is able to hurt him I could easily see him getting him in a dangerous position and being able to stop the fight.
The only thing I don't love is the line on this. Not a huge fan of laying almost -300 on anyone that doesn't have a strong pedigree in the sport or a champion...
.5-1 unit play on Cruickshank
The other thing that has to weigh in my mind is that I don't a clear cut way for Rios to finish the fight, even if he secures a td i don't think he will b able hurt him before so the idea of him just getting Cruickshank in a bad position to where he will b able to sub him from top or take his back doesn't seem logical. When u look at it from the back end Cruickshank def pos the better stand up and could possibly finish him there... he could also just dance and pick him apart... if he is able to hurt him I could easily see him getting him in a dangerous position and being able to stop the fight.
The only thing I don't love is the line on this. Not a huge fan of laying almost -300 on anyone that doesn't have a strong pedigree in the sport or a champion...
.5-1 unit play on Cruickshank
Caceres vs Pettis
I'm seeing a lot of ppl on Pettis here. I know the kid is talented and is the brother of the champion... and to be honest, I feel like the juice u are paying on this line is for the name of the kid more so than what he has shown us in the cage. Like I said the kid is very talented however, his debut was less than spectacular. The guy they brought in to fight him was on super short notice and normally fights a weight class below what he was fighting. With that being said Caceres is def not small for the division (I believe he fought 155 on his season of TUF and went through a stint in the UFC at 145 if I am not mistaken) he also has had 8 fights in the UFC already so if he's put in a bad spot its' not like he's going to freak out... so it comes down to was Pettis just high on jitters or not...
More or less I will stay away but if anything... I may drop a little bit on Caceres.
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