even though hes coming off a ko loss and has bad punch resistance i cant see nijem only being a -120 here. i think people are looking too much into regional fighter holbrooks win over the 42-year-old, five kids family man ramico who was more than seven years removed from his wrestling prime fighting 15 pounds below his normal mma weight class after a two and a half year haitus from the sport.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIgMRX79vig
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even though hes coming off a ko loss and has bad punch resistance i cant see nijem only being a -120 here. i think people are looking too much into regional fighter holbrooks win over the 42-year-old, five kids family man ramico who was more than seven years removed from his wrestling prime fighting 15 pounds below his normal mma weight class after a two and a half year haitus from the sport.
even though hes coming off a ko loss and has bad punch resistance i cant see nijem only being a -120 here. i think people are looking too much into regional fighter holbrooks win over the 42-year-old, five kids family man ramico who was more than seven years removed from his wrestling prime fighting 15 pounds below his normal mma weight class after a two and a half year haitus from the sport.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIgMRX79vig
great info
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Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:
even though hes coming off a ko loss and has bad punch resistance i cant see nijem only being a -120 here. i think people are looking too much into regional fighter holbrooks win over the 42-year-old, five kids family man ramico who was more than seven years removed from his wrestling prime fighting 15 pounds below his normal mma weight class after a two and a half year haitus from the sport.
Felder/Barboza - Felder really impressed me his last fight. He's like the terminator. Massive for that weight class. Goes to show you how much the UFC thinks of him putting him up vs Jim Miller (cancelled) and Barboza. Looking forward to how this plays out
Robertson/Saunders - I love Saunders, but his nemesis is a wrestlet so it will also be interesting to see if Robertson can get him down. I love Saunders size, reach, knees, elbows
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Felder/Barboza - Felder really impressed me his last fight. He's like the terminator. Massive for that weight class. Goes to show you how much the UFC thinks of him putting him up vs Jim Miller (cancelled) and Barboza. Looking forward to how this plays out
Robertson/Saunders - I love Saunders, but his nemesis is a wrestlet so it will also be interesting to see if Robertson can get him down. I love Saunders size, reach, knees, elbows
That is the closest Q has ever come to posting a pick, so I'm on it!
I'm a Miller fan. He should be faster, better striker, better BJJ than Castillo. but it is possible Castillo can hold on to him for 3. Miller by sub
Risk
CA$27.00
To Win
CA$20.00
Risk
CA$26.00
To Win
CA$20.00
i generally only post when i see something off. only one unit on nijim because of his suspect punch resistance which hopefully will not be an issue in this fight as hollbrook could not finish a guy that had been kod in five of his last seven fights in boxing and none of his nine mma indiana opponents
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Quote Originally Posted by sawman:
That is the closest Q has ever come to posting a pick, so I'm on it!
I'm a Miller fan. He should be faster, better striker, better BJJ than Castillo. but it is possible Castillo can hold on to him for 3. Miller by sub
Risk
CA$27.00
To Win
CA$20.00
Risk
CA$26.00
To Win
CA$20.00
i generally only post when i see something off. only one unit on nijim because of his suspect punch resistance which hopefully will not be an issue in this fight as hollbrook could not finish a guy that had been kod in five of his last seven fights in boxing and none of his nine mma indiana opponents
That is the closest Q has ever come to posting a pick, so I'm on it!I'm a Miller fan. He should be faster, better striker, better BJJ than Castillo. but it is possible Castillo can hold on to him for 3. Miller by sub Jim Miller -135 Risk CA$ 27.00To WinCA$ 20.00Ramsey Nijem -130 Risk CA$ 26.00To WinCA$ 20.00
i generally only post when i see something off. only one unit on nijim because of his suspect punch resistance which hopefully will not be an issue in this fight as hollbrook could not finish a guy that had been kod in five of his last seven fights in boxing and none of his nine mma indiana opponents
Short line makes you wonder about Nijem too.
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Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:
That is the closest Q has ever come to posting a pick, so I'm on it!I'm a Miller fan. He should be faster, better striker, better BJJ than Castillo. but it is possible Castillo can hold on to him for 3. Miller by sub Jim Miller -135 Risk CA$ 27.00To WinCA$ 20.00Ramsey Nijem -130 Risk CA$ 26.00To WinCA$ 20.00
i generally only post when i see something off. only one unit on nijim because of his suspect punch resistance which hopefully will not be an issue in this fight as hollbrook could not finish a guy that had been kod in five of his last seven fights in boxing and none of his nine mma indiana opponents
I think this is a tough card to pick winners. Lots of unknowns. I'm pretty indecisive on many fights. I will likely play small just for the action.
Dillishaw/Barao. I'm inclined to play Barao small. Has there ever been a bigger swing in odds between a 1st fight and rematch? Dilli is a grinder and he probably takes is to Renan ala the 1st fight, but it should be a great, close fight
Tate/Eye - I like Tate. I like her announcement to step up weight and fight Cyborg, which Rousey should do if she's the baddest Chick on the planet!
Barboza/Felder - I already commented above. These are two mean dudes who are going to get at it. Felder is pretty new - He was nervous in his first UFC win but more than impressive in his 2nd. You know what you're getting from Barboza. Awesome striker. If he can keep his distance he should win. But Felder will stalk him down. His legs are tree trunks and he should take the vicious leg kicks in stride
JLau/Gomi - I have $ on JLau so hopefully he doesn't mess with Gomi's bombs and takers him down and submits him quickly
Lawlor/Villante - Anyone who goes big on Lawlor is a complete roll of the dice. 2 yrs with out a fight. who knows what he's like. Villanelle is a strong durable dude and he should be able to defend anything Lawlor throws at him.
Castillo/Miller - commented above
Saunders/Robertson - commented above. It all comes down to whether or not Robertson can take Killa B down and control him on the ground. Kill B will be looking to strike from any position. Love his style but he' prone to the TD
Wineland/Caraway - same thing - comes down to the TD. I'm a big Wineland fan but I don't know if he still has it. Caraway may just hold him down for a decision
Cruickshank/Krause - I like Cruicshank but will weight to see if he makes weight. I think he wins the stand up and if required can take Krause down
Nijem/Holbrook - Don't know much about Holbrook. Nijem has god all round skills but is sometimes iffy with his performances
Zac/Steele - I'm on the Cummings train!
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I think this is a tough card to pick winners. Lots of unknowns. I'm pretty indecisive on many fights. I will likely play small just for the action.
Dillishaw/Barao. I'm inclined to play Barao small. Has there ever been a bigger swing in odds between a 1st fight and rematch? Dilli is a grinder and he probably takes is to Renan ala the 1st fight, but it should be a great, close fight
Tate/Eye - I like Tate. I like her announcement to step up weight and fight Cyborg, which Rousey should do if she's the baddest Chick on the planet!
Barboza/Felder - I already commented above. These are two mean dudes who are going to get at it. Felder is pretty new - He was nervous in his first UFC win but more than impressive in his 2nd. You know what you're getting from Barboza. Awesome striker. If he can keep his distance he should win. But Felder will stalk him down. His legs are tree trunks and he should take the vicious leg kicks in stride
JLau/Gomi - I have $ on JLau so hopefully he doesn't mess with Gomi's bombs and takers him down and submits him quickly
Lawlor/Villante - Anyone who goes big on Lawlor is a complete roll of the dice. 2 yrs with out a fight. who knows what he's like. Villanelle is a strong durable dude and he should be able to defend anything Lawlor throws at him.
Castillo/Miller - commented above
Saunders/Robertson - commented above. It all comes down to whether or not Robertson can take Killa B down and control him on the ground. Kill B will be looking to strike from any position. Love his style but he' prone to the TD
Wineland/Caraway - same thing - comes down to the TD. I'm a big Wineland fan but I don't know if he still has it. Caraway may just hold him down for a decision
Cruickshank/Krause - I like Cruicshank but will weight to see if he makes weight. I think he wins the stand up and if required can take Krause down
Nijem/Holbrook - Don't know much about Holbrook. Nijem has god all round skills but is sometimes iffy with his performances
Good to see someone else liking Saunders if you end up playing him anyways. Wineland looked fired up at the weigh-ins, if he comes in like usual he's definitely a bad style matchup for Caraway but we'll see. Good luck dude
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Good to see someone else liking Saunders if you end up playing him anyways. Wineland looked fired up at the weigh-ins, if he comes in like usual he's definitely a bad style matchup for Caraway but we'll see. Good luck dude
I think this is a tough card to pick winners. Lots of unknowns. I'm pretty indecisive on many fights. I will likely play small just for the action.
Dillishaw/Barao. I'm inclined to play Barao small. Has there ever been a bigger swing in odds between a 1st fight and rematch? Dilli is a grinder and he probably takes is to Renan ala the 1st fight, but it should be a great, close fight
Tate/Eye - I like Tate. I like her announcement to step up weight and fight Cyborg, which Rousey should do if she's the baddest Chick on the planet!
Barboza/Felder - I already commented above. These are two mean dudes who are going to get at it. Felder is pretty new - He was nervous in his first UFC win but more than impressive in his 2nd. You know what you're getting from Barboza. Awesome striker. If he can keep his distance he should win. But Felder will stalk him down. His legs are tree trunks and he should take the vicious leg kicks in stride
JLau/Gomi - I have $ on JLau so hopefully he doesn't mess with Gomi's bombs and takers him down and submits him quickly
Lawlor/Villante - Anyone who goes big on Lawlor is a complete roll of the dice. 2 yrs with out a fight. who knows what he's like. Villanelle is a strong durable dude and he should be able to defend anything Lawlor throws at him.
Castillo/Miller - commented above
Saunders/Robertson - commented above. It all comes down to whether or not Robertson can take Killa B down and control him on the ground. Kill B will be looking to strike from any position. Love his style but he' prone to the TD
Wineland/Caraway - same thing - comes down to the TD. I'm a big Wineland fan but I don't know if he still has it. Caraway may just hold him down for a decision
Cruickshank/Krause - I like Cruicshank but will weight to see if he makes weight. I think he wins the stand up and if required can take Krause down
Nijem/Holbrook - Don't know much about Holbrook. Nijem has god all round skills but is sometimes iffy with his performances
Zac/Steele - I'm on the Cummings train!
I agree with you when you say there are a lot of close fights on paper and takedown defence is going to be key to a majority of the fight outcomes.
BOL!
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Quote Originally Posted by sawman:
I think this is a tough card to pick winners. Lots of unknowns. I'm pretty indecisive on many fights. I will likely play small just for the action.
Dillishaw/Barao. I'm inclined to play Barao small. Has there ever been a bigger swing in odds between a 1st fight and rematch? Dilli is a grinder and he probably takes is to Renan ala the 1st fight, but it should be a great, close fight
Tate/Eye - I like Tate. I like her announcement to step up weight and fight Cyborg, which Rousey should do if she's the baddest Chick on the planet!
Barboza/Felder - I already commented above. These are two mean dudes who are going to get at it. Felder is pretty new - He was nervous in his first UFC win but more than impressive in his 2nd. You know what you're getting from Barboza. Awesome striker. If he can keep his distance he should win. But Felder will stalk him down. His legs are tree trunks and he should take the vicious leg kicks in stride
JLau/Gomi - I have $ on JLau so hopefully he doesn't mess with Gomi's bombs and takers him down and submits him quickly
Lawlor/Villante - Anyone who goes big on Lawlor is a complete roll of the dice. 2 yrs with out a fight. who knows what he's like. Villanelle is a strong durable dude and he should be able to defend anything Lawlor throws at him.
Castillo/Miller - commented above
Saunders/Robertson - commented above. It all comes down to whether or not Robertson can take Killa B down and control him on the ground. Kill B will be looking to strike from any position. Love his style but he' prone to the TD
Wineland/Caraway - same thing - comes down to the TD. I'm a big Wineland fan but I don't know if he still has it. Caraway may just hold him down for a decision
Cruickshank/Krause - I like Cruicshank but will weight to see if he makes weight. I think he wins the stand up and if required can take Krause down
Nijem/Holbrook - Don't know much about Holbrook. Nijem has god all round skills but is sometimes iffy with his performances
Zac/Steele - I'm on the Cummings train!
I agree with you when you say there are a lot of close fights on paper and takedown defence is going to be key to a majority of the fight outcomes.
Castillo came out looking real good. Stated Felder weighed 178 prefight when they fought. And every fight he has gotten locker room bonuses that are never disclosed
Miller has signed up for 20 UFC fights and has never missed a fight
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There's a couple good articles on Bloody Elbow
Castillo came out looking real good. Stated Felder weighed 178 prefight when they fought. And every fight he has gotten locker room bonuses that are never disclosed
Miller has signed up for 20 UFC fights and has never missed a fight
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