(+420ytd)
Its that time, another UFC back in Vegas where the athletic commission is about as sharp as a bowling ball. I will guarantee at least one bad decision tonight as my lock of the night. This is going to be a tough card to call for me. At the weighins everyone looked great, no one missed weight and there nobody looked like an extra from the waking dead. I also have no crazy eastern European underdogs to bet so this might be a heavy OVER/UNDER card for me. The overs have been $$ this year but that might change on this card. I could see DFW putting out some 'under the table' bonuses for stoppages after the last 2 snooze fests. OK lets get to it. Remember always bet on the eastern Europeans and always bet against anyone that dances his way to the ring.
Ernest Chavez Vs. Yosdenis Cedeno
Both champions of smaller circuits, and Chavez has fought 5 rounds before. Cedno has seen more action and has fought better opponents (Jonathan Brookings). Both of these fighters have god chins and neither wants to loose their first UFC fight. Cedeno has fought heavier before so I think he losses some power at 155. This goes to a decision
125 to win 100 over 2.5
Erik Koch Vs. Rafaello "Tractor" Oliveira
Both fighters have lost 3of4 and need a win BAD. Both of these fighters do well against average competition then lay eggs against the next level. Koch has fought some heavy competition already in his career and I think he handles olivera. I cant lay juce that heavy so I am taking the under sinvce only 23% of Koch's fights have gone the distance. These guys are going to come out swinging !
155 to win 100 under 2.5 rounds
Josh Sampo Vs. Zack Makovsky
The 125lb guys look so funny out there, if I zoom in my screen they actually look like normal size people. I actually love to watch the little guys fight and if the juice is good I usually take the over. In this case think Sampo has a punching chance of winning by decision and +160 is good odds for my $. The over will probably hit I just hate to lay over -200 on anything
Sampo to win 50 to win 80
Jessica Eye Vs. Alexis Davis
I am taking the stoner chick that had her decision stolen by Texas. If you can kick butt stoned you can kick butt sober. Eye beat Kaufman and Davis's last loss came from Kaufman.
Eye to win 100 to win 120
Those are my undercard plays, I will post my main card plays a bit later, most likely during the prelims. GL everyone tonight !!
2 for 2 on the Fight Pass. Thank you Mr. Koch.. looking good at 155 
it took all of 90 seconds 
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