I finally snapped my losing streak on Friday, cashing in on both my Bellator plays!
Let's see if we can make it two straight winning nights:
1. Josh Barnett over Daniel Cormier. I put 3.15 units at -105 to win 3 units, and another 2.2 at -110 to win 2 units. Total play is risking 5.35 units to win 5 units.
I really think Barnett's experience is going to be the main factor here. Cormier really does not offer anything Barnett has not seen and already beaten before. I know people are talking about Cormier's standup, but the one thing that is not really being mentioned is that once a fighter starts having hand issues, it never really goes away. If Cormier were to break his hand yet again in this fight, especially early on, he is really going to be in some trouble.
2. Parlay of Gilbert Melendez over Josh Thomson and Rafael Cavalcante over Mike Kyle. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units.
These will likely be my only plays. BOL to everyone with your picks!!!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD Record:
Overall: 65-70-1, -16.75 Units ,
UFC: 47-46-1, -15.30 Units ,
Strikeforce: 6-5, +2.85 Units
Bellator: 12-19, -4.30 Units ,
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
I finally snapped my losing streak on Friday, cashing in on both my Bellator plays!
Let's see if we can make it two straight winning nights:
1. Josh Barnett over Daniel Cormier. I put 3.15 units at -105 to win 3 units, and another 2.2 at -110 to win 2 units. Total play is risking 5.35 units to win 5 units.
I really think Barnett's experience is going to be the main factor here. Cormier really does not offer anything Barnett has not seen and already beaten before. I know people are talking about Cormier's standup, but the one thing that is not really being mentioned is that once a fighter starts having hand issues, it never really goes away. If Cormier were to break his hand yet again in this fight, especially early on, he is really going to be in some trouble.
2. Parlay of Gilbert Melendez over Josh Thomson and Rafael Cavalcante over Mike Kyle. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units.
These will likely be my only plays. BOL to everyone with your picks!!!
Warmaster I was thinking about Barnett throughout the week and started to feel like it was really the right side, finally locked in a play on him earlier tonight. He looked really good at the weigh ins, glad to see you're confident in him!!
Also nice job on Bellator
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Warmaster I was thinking about Barnett throughout the week and started to feel like it was really the right side, finally locked in a play on him earlier tonight. He looked really good at the weigh ins, glad to see you're confident in him!!
Now DC is going ag. the best TD specialist in MMA. It does not matter what your TD def. tec. is vs a unique guy who simply picks you up off your feet and slams you down or gets a hold of you and skillfully trips you backward like an art form and is imed. in full mount or side control. Thats Josh Barnett and he does it vs much bigger guys than DC.
Dcs ONLY chance is the KO which is possible but he better get it early cause all it takes is 1 Barnett TD fairly early in a round and he manouvers you with time into a likely choke type sub or a possible heel hook because Josh is right up there with MIR in the HW div. if he gets a limb.
Even if DC knocks down Barnett he is unlikely to follow him down, unless Josh is really hurt bad because of 2 things. 1--- he recently said in an interview he likes KOing guys off their feet and in so many words said he is not crazy about GnP, 2---look at DCs last fight with Bigfoot. He had Bigfoot hurt on his back and other than a little weak exploritory GnP he wanted nothing to do with Bigfoot on the ground and let him up and with all due respect to BF, Barnett is more dangerous down there and a quick reverse is more than possible.
If Barnett gets rocked or stunned a little he is too smart to get back up in DCs grill looking for more like what happened in his last fight when he got caught was stunned for a moment and imed. went for a TD. Now that prob. will not work vs DC but Barnett is not going to play DCs game if getting hurt like Bigfoot did. It will be total TDs or bust in the case for Barnett.
Barnett has SOOOO many more ways to win this match than DC and WILL with a late 1st round sub choke/ref stoppage.
By the way DC at the weighin was a few lbs heavier than normal and looked softer than normal and Barnett came in a few lbs lighter than normal and looks in better shape than normal. Factors? possibly but this cannot help DCs chances to say the least.
GL MR219
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You will continue your run tonight.
DC has good TD def. but vs who?
Now DC is going ag. the best TD specialist in MMA. It does not matter what your TD def. tec. is vs a unique guy who simply picks you up off your feet and slams you down or gets a hold of you and skillfully trips you backward like an art form and is imed. in full mount or side control. Thats Josh Barnett and he does it vs much bigger guys than DC.
Dcs ONLY chance is the KO which is possible but he better get it early cause all it takes is 1 Barnett TD fairly early in a round and he manouvers you with time into a likely choke type sub or a possible heel hook because Josh is right up there with MIR in the HW div. if he gets a limb.
Even if DC knocks down Barnett he is unlikely to follow him down, unless Josh is really hurt bad because of 2 things. 1--- he recently said in an interview he likes KOing guys off their feet and in so many words said he is not crazy about GnP, 2---look at DCs last fight with Bigfoot. He had Bigfoot hurt on his back and other than a little weak exploritory GnP he wanted nothing to do with Bigfoot on the ground and let him up and with all due respect to BF, Barnett is more dangerous down there and a quick reverse is more than possible.
If Barnett gets rocked or stunned a little he is too smart to get back up in DCs grill looking for more like what happened in his last fight when he got caught was stunned for a moment and imed. went for a TD. Now that prob. will not work vs DC but Barnett is not going to play DCs game if getting hurt like Bigfoot did. It will be total TDs or bust in the case for Barnett.
Barnett has SOOOO many more ways to win this match than DC and WILL with a late 1st round sub choke/ref stoppage.
By the way DC at the weighin was a few lbs heavier than normal and looked softer than normal and Barnett came in a few lbs lighter than normal and looks in better shape than normal. Factors? possibly but this cannot help DCs chances to say the least.
Josh Barnett is the "best TD specialist in MMA"?!?! LOL
Makes me a little nervous that MR219 is on the other side, but I circled this fight months ago. Give me the two time olympic wrestling captain at + money ANY DAY. Fact is, Daniel Cormier is going to dictate what happens in this fight. Josh Barnett couldn't tackle MIRKO CRO COP in 2006, but he's going to put Daniel Cormier on his back in 2012?!?!
Barnett has had his run. Cormier will compete for the UFC heavyweight title sooner than later.
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Josh Barnett is the "best TD specialist in MMA"?!?! LOL
Makes me a little nervous that MR219 is on the other side, but I circled this fight months ago. Give me the two time olympic wrestling captain at + money ANY DAY. Fact is, Daniel Cormier is going to dictate what happens in this fight. Josh Barnett couldn't tackle MIRKO CRO COP in 2006, but he's going to put Daniel Cormier on his back in 2012?!?!
Barnett has had his run. Cormier will compete for the UFC heavyweight title sooner than later.
if you listen to cormiers sherdog interview, he didnt want to go to the ground with both bigfoot and the snowman because he is very confident in his stand-up ability.
or perhaps he just isnt confident enough in his jj defense and is more concerned about getting subbed than he is about getting ko'd on the feet.
barnett looked to be in the best shape ive ever seen him but if he cant get cormier down i just dont think he will have anything left after the second round if the damage sustained is equal to both fighters.
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if you listen to cormiers sherdog interview, he didnt want to go to the ground with both bigfoot and the snowman because he is very confident in his stand-up ability.
or perhaps he just isnt confident enough in his jj defense and is more concerned about getting subbed than he is about getting ko'd on the feet.
barnett looked to be in the best shape ive ever seen him but if he cant get cormier down i just dont think he will have anything left after the second round if the damage sustained is equal to both fighters.
1. Josh Barnett over Daniel Cormier. I put 3.15 units at -105 to win 3 units, and another 2.2 at -110 to win 2 units. Total play is risking 5.35 units to win 5 units.
2. Parlay of Gilbert Melendez over Josh Thomson and Rafael Cavalcante over Mike Kyle. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units.
3. Mike Kyle/Rafael Cavalcante over 1.5 rounds (-130). Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit.
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UPDATED CARD:
1. Josh Barnett over Daniel Cormier. I put 3.15 units at -105 to win 3 units, and another 2.2 at -110 to win 2 units. Total play is risking 5.35 units to win 5 units.
2. Parlay of Gilbert Melendez over Josh Thomson and Rafael Cavalcante over Mike Kyle. Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units.
3. Mike Kyle/Rafael Cavalcante over 1.5 rounds (-130). Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit.
Warmaster I was thinking about Barnett throughout the week and started to feel like it was really the right side, finally locked in a play on him earlier tonight. He looked really good at the weigh ins, glad to see you're confident in him!!
Also nice job on Bellator
I have had Barnett circled for a while, and well before my little cold snap. It will be interesting to see how it plays out...
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Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:
Warmaster I was thinking about Barnett throughout the week and started to feel like it was really the right side, finally locked in a play on him earlier tonight. He looked really good at the weigh ins, glad to see you're confident in him!!
Also nice job on Bellator
I have had Barnett circled for a while, and well before my little cold snap. It will be interesting to see how it plays out...
Now DC is going ag. the best TD specialist in MMA. It does not matter what your TD def. tec. is vs a unique guy who simply picks you up off your feet and slams you down or gets a hold of you and skillfully trips you backward like an art form and is imed. in full mount or side control. Thats Josh Barnett and he does it vs much bigger guys than DC.
Dcs ONLY chance is the KO which is possible but he better get it early cause all it takes is 1 Barnett TD fairly early in a round and he manouvers you with time into a likely choke type sub or a possible heel hook because Josh is right up there with MIR in the HW div. if he gets a limb.
Even if DC knocks down Barnett he is unlikely to follow him down, unless Josh is really hurt bad because of 2 things. 1--- he recently said in an interview he likes KOing guys off their feet and in so many words said he is not crazy about GnP, 2---look at DCs last fight with Bigfoot. He had Bigfoot hurt on his back and other than a little weak exploritory GnP he wanted nothing to do with Bigfoot on the ground and let him up and with all due respect to BF, Barnett is more dangerous down there and a quick reverse is more than possible.
If Barnett gets rocked or stunned a little he is too smart to get back up in DCs grill looking for more like what happened in his last fight when he got caught was stunned for a moment and imed. went for a TD. Now that prob. will not work vs DC but Barnett is not going to play DCs game if getting hurt like Bigfoot did. It will be total TDs or bust in the case for Barnett.
Barnett has SOOOO many more ways to win this match than DC and WILL with a late 1st round sub choke/ref stoppage.
By the way DC at the weighin was a few lbs heavier than normal and looked softer than normal and Barnett came in a few lbs lighter than normal and looks in better shape than normal. Factors? possibly but this cannot help DCs chances to say the least.
GL MR219
Awsome write-up! I could not agree with you more!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by keven vanlith:
You will continue your run tonight.
DC has good TD def. but vs who?
Now DC is going ag. the best TD specialist in MMA. It does not matter what your TD def. tec. is vs a unique guy who simply picks you up off your feet and slams you down or gets a hold of you and skillfully trips you backward like an art form and is imed. in full mount or side control. Thats Josh Barnett and he does it vs much bigger guys than DC.
Dcs ONLY chance is the KO which is possible but he better get it early cause all it takes is 1 Barnett TD fairly early in a round and he manouvers you with time into a likely choke type sub or a possible heel hook because Josh is right up there with MIR in the HW div. if he gets a limb.
Even if DC knocks down Barnett he is unlikely to follow him down, unless Josh is really hurt bad because of 2 things. 1--- he recently said in an interview he likes KOing guys off their feet and in so many words said he is not crazy about GnP, 2---look at DCs last fight with Bigfoot. He had Bigfoot hurt on his back and other than a little weak exploritory GnP he wanted nothing to do with Bigfoot on the ground and let him up and with all due respect to BF, Barnett is more dangerous down there and a quick reverse is more than possible.
If Barnett gets rocked or stunned a little he is too smart to get back up in DCs grill looking for more like what happened in his last fight when he got caught was stunned for a moment and imed. went for a TD. Now that prob. will not work vs DC but Barnett is not going to play DCs game if getting hurt like Bigfoot did. It will be total TDs or bust in the case for Barnett.
Barnett has SOOOO many more ways to win this match than DC and WILL with a late 1st round sub choke/ref stoppage.
By the way DC at the weighin was a few lbs heavier than normal and looked softer than normal and Barnett came in a few lbs lighter than normal and looks in better shape than normal. Factors? possibly but this cannot help DCs chances to say the least.
GL MR219
Awsome write-up! I could not agree with you more!!!
Josh Barnett is the "best TD specialist in MMA"?!?! LOL
Makes me a little nervous that MR219 is on the other side, but I circled this fight months ago. Give me the two time olympic wrestling captain at + money ANY DAY. Fact is, Daniel Cormier is going to dictate what happens in this fight. Josh Barnett couldn't tackle MIRKO CRO COP in 2006, but he's going to put Daniel Cormier on his back in 2012?!?!
Barnett has had his run. Cormier will compete for the UFC heavyweight title sooner than later.
At heavy weight, I think the statement is fairly acurate. The only one who would be close would be Velasquez. I agree that Pound for pound, maybe he is not...
The only thing I would caution about is that MMA wrestling is not the same as Olympic wrestling. Heck, MMA wrestling it is not even the same as amatuer (college, high school) wrestling. We have seen many guys with elite college wrestling careers have ineffective MMA careers because it turned out that they could not effectively transfer their amateur wrestling to MMA. We have really yet to see whether DC can translate his Olmpic wrestling in MMA against a high caliber opponent.
This is a huge step up in class for DC. Although DC looked amazing against Big Foot, Big Foot is slow and cumbersom in the standup and is nowhere close to Barnett in pretty much all facets of MMA.
All I can say, is that it will be very interesting to see how this all plays out. I personally would not have wagered 15 units on either of these guys tonight, but hopefully it will play out for you tonight...,
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Quote Originally Posted by kneeunthaface:
Josh Barnett is the "best TD specialist in MMA"?!?! LOL
Makes me a little nervous that MR219 is on the other side, but I circled this fight months ago. Give me the two time olympic wrestling captain at + money ANY DAY. Fact is, Daniel Cormier is going to dictate what happens in this fight. Josh Barnett couldn't tackle MIRKO CRO COP in 2006, but he's going to put Daniel Cormier on his back in 2012?!?!
Barnett has had his run. Cormier will compete for the UFC heavyweight title sooner than later.
At heavy weight, I think the statement is fairly acurate. The only one who would be close would be Velasquez. I agree that Pound for pound, maybe he is not...
The only thing I would caution about is that MMA wrestling is not the same as Olympic wrestling. Heck, MMA wrestling it is not even the same as amatuer (college, high school) wrestling. We have seen many guys with elite college wrestling careers have ineffective MMA careers because it turned out that they could not effectively transfer their amateur wrestling to MMA. We have really yet to see whether DC can translate his Olmpic wrestling in MMA against a high caliber opponent.
This is a huge step up in class for DC. Although DC looked amazing against Big Foot, Big Foot is slow and cumbersom in the standup and is nowhere close to Barnett in pretty much all facets of MMA.
All I can say, is that it will be very interesting to see how this all plays out. I personally would not have wagered 15 units on either of these guys tonight, but hopefully it will play out for you tonight...,
if you listen to cormiers sherdog interview, he didnt want to go to the ground with both bigfoot and the snowman because he is very confident in his stand-up ability.
or perhaps he just isnt confident enough in his jj defense and is more concerned about getting subbed than he is about getting ko'd on the feet.
barnett looked to be in the best shape ive ever seen him but if he cant get cormier down i just dont think he will have anything left after the second round if the damage sustained is equal to both fighters.
Valid comments...
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Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:
if you listen to cormiers sherdog interview, he didnt want to go to the ground with both bigfoot and the snowman because he is very confident in his stand-up ability.
or perhaps he just isnt confident enough in his jj defense and is more concerned about getting subbed than he is about getting ko'd on the feet.
barnett looked to be in the best shape ive ever seen him but if he cant get cormier down i just dont think he will have anything left after the second round if the damage sustained is equal to both fighters.
Well, the Barnett fight definitely did not play out as I was expecting. Barnett breaking his hand in the first round definitely did not help matters. It might explain why he was not able to put Cormier away with that knee bar attempt in the 4th, when it looked like he had it locked up. Barnett normally would finish that. I still question his game plan. Only 2 takedown attempts, and very little dirty boxing up against the cage, which I thought would be a big part of his game play.
Despite all that, my hat off to Cormier. He fought a really good fight, and definitely used his speed and deceiving athleticism to his advantage in this fight.
Overall, the plays went 1-2 for -4.65 units. Despite that, my 3 other leans all would have cashed if I would have played them, which at least gives me some confidence that I am starting to read things a little bit better. I will update my record in the morning when I am "a little more with it"...
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Well, the Barnett fight definitely did not play out as I was expecting. Barnett breaking his hand in the first round definitely did not help matters. It might explain why he was not able to put Cormier away with that knee bar attempt in the 4th, when it looked like he had it locked up. Barnett normally would finish that. I still question his game plan. Only 2 takedown attempts, and very little dirty boxing up against the cage, which I thought would be a big part of his game play.
Despite all that, my hat off to Cormier. He fought a really good fight, and definitely used his speed and deceiving athleticism to his advantage in this fight.
Overall, the plays went 1-2 for -4.65 units. Despite that, my 3 other leans all would have cashed if I would have played them, which at least gives me some confidence that I am starting to read things a little bit better. I will update my record in the morning when I am "a little more with it"...
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,
I was thinking about Barnett throughout the week and started to feel like it was really the right side, finally locked in a play on him earlier tonight. He looked really good at the weigh ins, glad to see you're confident in him!!
BARNETT!!
,
and Rafael Cavalcante 
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