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UFC 172

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Posts: 1878
Posted: #1
2014 MMA YTD: +21.4u

Charlie Brenneman +237
3u to win 7.11u

Yancy Medeiros +184
3u to win 5.52u

Medeiros/Miller u2.5 +170
1u to win 1.7u

Jon Jones + Luke Rockhold ITD
3u to win 3.17u

Jessamyn Duke -105
2.1u to win 2u

Luke Rockhold + Duke/Correia o2.5 + Jones/Teixeira u3.5
2u to win 2.69u

Luke Rockhold + Flagg/Gomi o2.5 + Fili/Holloway o2.5
2u to win 2.72u

Brenneman I think will be very tenacious with his takedowns and wrestling here and Castillo has a sketchy history vs other strong wrestlers. Haven't seen that tested in awhile but I dont see this fight as clear cut as others.  Medeiros/Miller I think will take place mostly on the feet where Medeiros will keep in Miller's face with constant pressure, and has the great cardio and chin to back up that style. He looked very good in his TDD and scrambles in the brief fight with Khabilov.  

It's been a bit of a rollercoaster ride over the last 5 or 6 events, hopefully this will be a rebound after the Tate decision killed me last week.  Good luck all 
 
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Posted: #2
Alright can't help it, 

Anthony Johnson +218
2u to win 4.36u
 
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Posted: #3
BOL CTM!!!  

I disagree about your assessment with the Brenneman and Castillo fight. Castillo normally comes out on top when matched with another wrestler/grappler (Sass, Cholish, Bailey, Stevenson, Lamas). His loss to Johnson was almost entirely a stand up battle where he punched himself out going for the finish in round 1. 

The only times that he has really been out grappled was against Jacob Volkmann and Shane Rolller (in his prime). Brenneman is not on either of their levels. 
 
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Posted: #4
On opposites. Hope we can both cash somehow!!
 
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Posted: #5
I am on Yancy Medeiros & Charlie Brenneman too but just 1 or 2 small unit. I would be big on Brenneman if he doesn't do the chicken dance every time he gets tag. I even favor Brenneman if he have a granite chin but Castillo is not a elite striker so 1 small unit on Brenneman for sh!t & giggle. 

Jim Miller vs Yancy Medeiros, I only see Miller being danger in the 1st rnd than he will gas badly afterward. I would go big if Jim Miller doesn't have a lion heart. Gl all
 
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Posted: #6
 
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Posted: #7
BOL CTM Jim Miller is one of my favorites & I haven't seen his opponent enough so ill stay away. Brenneman has good value so I'm taking a small stab. I haven't seen anything too enticing on the card maybe Flagg for a unit.

BOL as always though I hope you hit em all
 
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Posted: #8
Hope both can profit, against you on Miller & Castillo. Interesting take on Brenneman, I thought both were good grapplers & Charlie's chin is suspect. Good luck as always.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Alright can't help it, 

Anthony Johnson +218
2u to win 4.36u

Damn +230 on Rumble I didn't pull the trigger but did hedge went it is +200 for free lunch. I just couldn't believe Rumble have better take down defense than Machida. Good value wager ctm!
 
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Posted: #10
Thanks guys!! 

I'm kind of pissed that I lost both the Brenneman and Medeiros bets, Brenneman made it competitive, wrestling looked on point.. then he gets KO'd, of course, should have shown more caution on that bet as you did Giga.  And I really, really would have liked to see Medeiros/Miller go longer.  Nutshot to guillotine and Miller was puffing his lungs out afterwards.
 
But damn, Anthony Johnson, I liked it at over +200 but was totally shocked at his performance.  Great job there.  +1.85u
 
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Posted: #11
I am being very cautious every card trying to fight off the huge downswing but I still lost 11.5 small unit ($100 a unit). Lost big on Jones itd for 7.7 units at the end....very tuff to make $$$ in this card, I think mr219 can attest to that. 
 
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Posted: #12
Good night CTM. That Rumble fight was awesome.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Thanks guys!! 

I'm kind of pissed that I lost both the Brenneman and Medeiros bets, Brenneman made it competitive, wrestling looked on point.. then he gets KO'd, of course, should have shown more caution on that bet as you did Giga.  And I really, really would have liked to see Medeiros/Miller go longer.  Nutshot to guillotine and Miller was puffing his lungs out afterwards.
 
But damn, Anthony Johnson, I liked it at over +200 but was totally shocked at his performance.  Great job there.  +1.85u

Small win is still better than a huge loss. Great call on Rumble. I never saw that one coming!
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by GigaOuts:

I am being very cautious every card trying to fight off the huge downswing but I still lost 11.5 small unit ($100 a unit). Lost big on Jones itd for 7.7 units at the end....very tuff to make $$$ in this card, I think mr219 can attest to that. 

The last 2 cards have been rough on the bankroll. I might have to scale back a bit as well...
 
 
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Posted: #15
Absolutely MR219, I'll take the small win  Good luck on the next few, if it's anything close to your start of year comeback you'll be in great shape!

MpmAgency thanks, still can't believe how good Rumble looked, Davis had nothing for him.  And sick job on your picks, clean sweep 

I was also surprised that fight went the distance gigaouts.  Agreed that it was a bit of a tough card (unless you're ^^^ this guy!).. sounds like you are due for a good run soon.
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