UFC 172 Bets and picks

It’s been a while since I posted my picks. I’m going to have to go with a few underdogs. I never really kept track of my the winnings, so I'll start tracking from now on. I will post up the prop bets when they come out. I'm the dollar baller on a budget, so please excuse me if I don't bet big $$$, my bookie don't take foodstamps or I.O.U's: 

Bets:

Holloway ML $100/$130

**Round Robin picks** 3 ways – total 20 wagers

Risk $5 x 20- Risk $100 to win $504.58

**Castillo -310

**Jones  -550

**Rockhold -800

**Holloway +130

**Meideros +170

**Vallie-Flag +160

(Lines for the Prop bets still pending)

Correia/Duke over 2 ½ rounds

Vallie-Flagg/Gomi over 2 ½ rounds

Benavidez/Elliot over 2 ½ rounds

Meideros/Miller over 2 ½ rounds

Rockhold in distance

Jones in distance

 I’m not to familiar with Williams, and I’ve only seen Beal on TUF. Beal has mostly decision wins and Williams has a few finishes against unknown fighters. I don’t see either guy getting a finish, I’m taking the over 2 1/ 2 rd. No Bet

Castillo over Brenneman via Decision:

Castillo edges Brenneman in all areas of the fight. Castillo can defend the takedown and his striking is good enough to outpoint Brenneman. Bet: Castillo **Round Robin**

Correia/Duke Over 2 ½ rounds:

Duke has a height and reach advantage, but it’s honestly a toss up between these two. Don’t see either fighter getting a finish. Bet Over 2 ½ rounds.

Villie-Flagg over Gomi via Decision & Over 2 ½ rounds:

I like Gomi but he has some adversities coming into this fight. Gomi is coming off of a year layoff and coming in on a short notice against an active grinder like Villie-Flagg. Villie-Flagg is always coming forwards and like to stay in the face of his opponents and put the pressure on. He may not be very effective with the stand-up striking, but the judges like when you are the aggressor. V-F has not been finished in nearly 7 years. I’m leaning towards Villie-Flagg via decision (bad judging).

Bet: Villie-Flagg **Round Robin** & Over 2 ½ rounds.

I’m worried how Benavidez is going to bounce back off of a KO loss (Title match). Elliot has a good reach advantage over Benavidez and stays very active. It’s been over 4 years since Elliots been finished and I don't see either guy getting a finish. But I can see Elliot using his reach to frustrate Benavidez and possibly winning via decision. Bet: Over 2 ½ rounds.

Holloway over Fili via decision:

Fili’s is an explosive fighter and an exciting fighter that goes for the finish. But I feel Fili is overly aggressive and keeps his hands way too low.  I’ve been watch Max fight for many years in Hawaii. Max has heart, and knows how to use his reach and uses angles to land his accurate punches.  Max will capitalize on Fili’s low hands and wild style. Bet: Holloway ML and **Round Robin**

Medeiros over Miller via Decision:

Yancy is another local Hawaiian fighter I’m familiar with. Yancy actually has a wrestling background and use to fight at 205lbs, so I believe he’s not going be outpowered and outworked like some people expect. Yancy had a long layoff before making his UFC debut, but he’s been proven that it did not effect his performance. Yancy is another Hawaii fighter with heart and a gas tank, and due to injury he was not able to display it in his first UFC fight. Yancy trains with other UFC fighters like Max Holloway, Dustin Kimura, Louis Smolka, Russel Doane and also trains with Nate and Nick in Stockton. Yancy has surrounded himself with good training partners.

Miller is a crafty veteran who has been in with the best, but comes up short on the big fights. He had problems with a bigger fighter like Healy, and I believe Yancy can use the same game plan if needed. I believe a lot of people are overlooking Yancy, so I’m going to have to go with my local boi Yancy Medeiros for the upset via decision. Bet: Medeiros **Round Robin** and Over 2 ½ rounds

Rockhold outshines Boetsch in every aspect of the game and should get the finish by the 2^nd round.

Bet: Rockhold **Round Robin** and Rockhold In the Distance

Davis over Johnson via Decision:

I would love to see Johnson KO Davis, but Davis has the wrestling skills to dry hump Johnson for the decision. Johnson has good wrestling, but Davis will get the takedown and grind out a decision.  No Bet!

Jones over Glover in the distance:

Glover has the KO power, but he gets hit to much and is too slow. Jones can take down Glover when ever he wants and will wear out Glover and get the finish within the distance. Bet: Jones **Round Robin** and Jones in the Distance

Underdog of the Night:

Holloway!!!!!

Fight of the night:

Fili vs Holloway

UPDATE FOR THE PROP BETS: 

-Correia/Duke over 2 ½ rounds -350 (Not going to bet, too much chalk)                                    

-Benavidez/Elliot over 2 ½ rounds (-200) $50/$25

-Meideros/Miller over 2 ½ rounds (-200) $50/$25

-Rockhold in distance (-140) $50/$36

-Jones inside distance (-160) $50/$31

Bets:

Holloway ML $100/$130

**Round Robin picks** 3 ways – total 20 wagers

Risk $5 x 20- Risk $100 to win $504.58

**Castillo -310

**Jones -550

**Rockhold -800

**Holloway +130

**Meideros +170

**Vallie-Flag +160

I finally added up the total from this weekend, I ended up losing $24 . I should have went bigger on Holloway.

Wins:

$130- Holloway

$ 36- Rockhold inside distance 

Total $166 Win

Lose:

$50- Ben/Ell over 2 ? rd

$50- Meid/Mill ov 2 ? rd

$50- Jones inside distance

$40- Round Robin

Total $190 loss

Overall total for the event- Loss $24 

Had some family issues going on this weekend, so I missed the whole event. I got to catch up, it sounded like a good event.

Sawman, I was unsure about Fili's gas tank. But training at T.A.M, I'm sure it has to be good. But I just didn't like Fili's style matched up with Max.

MPM Agency, You tore it up on the picks! I see you got all 4 picks. Congrats!!!! I'll be watching your threads.