UFC on Fox 11

Question

31-15, plus $1225 YTD.

780/300 Khabib Nurmagomedov. Is by far my biggest play risking wise this year, usually avoid but I LOVE Khabib in this fight. I actually think Khabib will be the 155 Champ by this time next year. Has all the tools to take this fight wherever he chooses.

210/100 Jorge Masvidal. Think Masvidal should light Healey up on the feet & actually get a finish.

110/100 Edison Barboza. Def fight of the night canidate here. I'm honestly a huge Cerrone fan, if I thought he would take the fight to the ground he would be the pick. We all know he will get in kick boxing war with Barboza & I favor Edson on the feet.

100/170 Fabricio Werdum. Browne has been impressive his last few fights, but I think Werdum can close the distance & drag fight to the ground where he has huge advantage.

I love this card on Saturday & really hope to have bounce back night. Will add on if Khabib cashes, leaning Romero & Liz. All opinions are welcomed & good luck if play Friday/Saturday.

MpmAgency · Answer

31-15, plus $1225 YTD.

780/300 Khabib Nurmagomedov. Is by far my biggest play risking wise this year, usually avoid but I LOVE Khabib in this fight. I actually think Khabib will be the 155 Champ by this time next year. Has all the tools to take this fight wherever he chooses.

210/100 Jorge Masvidal. Think Masvidal should light Healey up on the feet & actually get a finish.

110/100 Edison Barboza. Def fight of the night canidate here. I'm honestly a huge Cerrone fan, if I thought he would take the fight to the ground he would be the pick. We all know he will get in kick boxing war with Barboza & I favor Edson on the feet.

100/170 Fabricio Werdum. Browne has been impressive his last few fights, but I think Werdum can close the distance & drag fight to the ground where he has huge advantage.

I love this card on Saturday & really hope to have bounce back night. Will add on if Khabib cashes, leaning Romero & Liz. All opinions are welcomed & good luck if play Friday/Saturday.

dooo22 · Answer

I big on khabib and i like Jorge masvidal as well. Leaning more toward cerrone but if you wait a bit I&#39;m sure cerrone will become favorite so u may get better price on barboza. And that may be too good of a price to pass up on verdum, kind of like tim kennedy was last night. Good luck.

akatdrake · Answer

Love Khabib and Masvidal as well. Cerrone/Barboza is too close to call for sure, why not throw another unit on Khabib?

crowat · Answer

Good luck MPM. I like your style of betting and you seem to be very good at what you do. Keep this up for the rest of the year and you&#x27;ll make a name for yourself on this board.

crowat · Answer

I think you go 3 - 1 on the night with only the Werdum bet losing and here is why I say that.

Career stats

Travis Browne TD Def. 100%

Werdum TD Avg. 1.98
TD Acc. 34%

I really could be wrong though. Either way good luck!

Qncyk1 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by crowat]  I think you go 3 - 1 on the night with only the Werdum bet losing and here is why I say that. Career stats Travis Browne TD Def.&#xD;&#xA;                        100%Werdum TD Avg.&#xD;&#xA;                        1.98TD Acc.&#xD;&#xA;                        34%I really could be wrong though. Either way good luck!   [/Quote]browne has 100 percent td defense because he has only faced one top fighter past the first round and that was kongo who has no ground gamewerdum needs to get out of the first round and he has a great shot here. pretty much all of travis&#x27; ko have been in the first round and werdum has the proven cardio against world class competition

MpmAgency · Answer

Thanks guys, Akatdrake I&#39;m already nervous about risking that much even though I favor Khabib big time, is a fist fight &amp; anything can happen. Usually do all 100 bets since is my budget. Crowat- I agree with the Browne/Werdum fight analysis just a gut feeling &amp; wanna see what happens if goes to 4th &amp; 5th rounds. Always appreciate your write ups, been looking on covers just started posting but always used your analysis before. Hope all is well in personal life &amp; you&#39;re back.

ctm1985 · Answer

Good luck Mpm! I love the big Khabib play, also Masvidal.. nothing like MMA though for having a huge bet on, I personally can't even watch the fight when I do that and am at home on my own. Khabib's a tough person though and I hope there will be no scares.

I agree with Crowat on Browne. Also I like both of your leans, particularly Carmouche.

MpmAgency · Answer

Thanks CTM, I already put in the plays or would switch the Browne/Werdum play. I may not see the Khabib fight cause have dinner plans with the GF, is scary risking that much. Taking Carmuche as long as Khabib hit. Good luck to you as well.

CappaDon · Answer

I&#x27;m with u on Werdum, which is prob not a good thing.  Im like 1 out of my last 8 fights (Hendo, and he pulled that one out of his behind).  Werdum&#x2B;190 at sportsbook right now (up from &#x2B;145) is just too good for me to pass up on what I thought would be a close to pick em fight.  BOL

MR219 · Answer

BOL MPM!!!

MpmAgency · Answer

Thanks y&#39;all, hope we clean up tonight. Will update after the Khabib fight since will add on Romero if he wins.

MpmAgency · Answer

Adding 50/60 on Alex White. No write up since don&#39;t know him honestly, following few respected cappers on here.

MpmAgency · Answer

Thank you MR219 for that pick on White. Let&#39;s start the winning now.

Cantiflas23 · Answer

Cerrone BIG and Browne BIG!!!

MpmAgency · Answer

Cool. Obviously on opposite side.

MpmAgency · Answer

Adding 100 Romero to win 130. 50 Carmouche to win 90. Good luck on main cards guys.

MR219 · Answer

Congrats man! I think you were one of the very few to make money tonight!

sawman · Answer

awesome

ctm1985 · Answer

Very nice!

MpmAgency · Answer

Thanks Guys, hope to keep going on card next week. Passed up going to 172, since UFC is coming to Philly in October. Should be allot of value on some dogs.

5-2 for the night plus 600.
36-17- plus $1825 YTD.

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