UFC Sat 8-22-20 Plays

M.Inoue -130

Agreed and i like the sub value at +650. gl

Frankie Edgar is the eighth ranked Featherweight dropping a division to take on Munhoz. Frankie spent much of his career at Lightweight (155lbs.) before dropping to Featherweight (145lbs.) and now he drops again to 135lbs. which I regard as both aggressive and to an extent desperate.

Edgar is a wrestling-based warrior who has as many wins as Munhoz has fights. Edgar’s depth of experience coupled with the level of championship caliber opponent he has faced over the course of his fifteen-year professional career have earned the respect/admiration the mixed martial arts world.

That said, Edgar whose epic trilogy with Grey Maynard is now nine years old, is thirty-eight himself. After Saturday night, he’ll have battled the elite fighters in three weight divisions over the course of fifteen plus years.

Speaking of weight divisions, fighters older than thirty-eight years old in the lower weight divisions (125,135,145lbs.) are 136-172 or 44.2%. Age is hard on heavyweights but it’s devastating for those that need to utilize movement to be effective.

One would think there is little else for Edgar to prove yet for this battle he must endure the added stress of an intrusive weight cut at thirty-eight years old. I’ll remind readers that aggressive weight cuts not only affect the fighter’s cardio and energy into and during a fight but they also greatly compromise one’s ability to take a flush strike on the chin.

Edgar’s fighting style once employ deft movement and constant pressure wrestling. He strives to force, crowd, bully and maul opponents into the close confines of the corner of the cage before dragging them down to the floor when he has it going his way. The issue is that Edgar’s age has compromised his once deft movement thus giving way to more stand-up confrontations.

One unusual Edgar advantage for this bout is that he’ll hold size/length advantage over Munhoz who is a natural bantamweight fighter. It will be Edgar’s plan to negate Munhoz’s space early and fight the Brazilian up close and personal then against the cage and to the floor.

Munhoz, the younger man by five plus years must utilize his 81% take down defense to keep Edgar at distance and in a striking battle where Munhoz’s speed advantage will be noticeable. Edgar’s lost three of his last four, two via finishes so Munhoz will look to meet Frankie in the middle and touch him up from the opening bell.

Munhoz solidifies himself as a top five talent in the division with a pelt on his mantle that say’s “Edgar’ on it. He opened -225 for this bout and has been bet up to -240. Munhoz a legitimate favorite in my judgement.

Adding D.Rodriguez -195