Landwehr, 14-3, going back 5 fights, were 3 wins followed by a loss and most recent fight a win. The three wins in a row were against a Russian, Ukrainian, and Russian, all three with good records. First was as a challenger dog then as champion defender favorites. After those he then lost to Burns, U.S., who knocked him out in R1 from a knee to his chin. I think welcome back to better quality U.S. MMA action. His recent fight he won against Elkins, U.S., a bloody mess that ended in a Landwehr decision. But the competition was Elkins on a 3 fight losing streak before he fought Landwehr, and as a big dog the L2. Yet a -140 favorite when matched with Landwehr. That's what the books thought about Landwehr then. But Landwehr pulled the upset and really no big surprise when you look into it.
Erosa, 24-8, has a ton of experience. Recently he had 3 losses against tough U.S. fighters with records 8-1, 16-1, and 16-4. After that he choked out Bryant in R1 , no big deal, and then choked out Sean Woodson in R3 as a 150 lbs catchweight dog, which he was undervalued.
Pick: Juicy J. Erosa at even money. Easy, easy, P.O.Y.
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