UFN 88

UFN 88 Risk $3769.04

Thomas Almeida (-150) vs Cody Garbrandt $150.00 for $100.00
Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00
Thomas Almeida wins by TKO/KO (+125) $100.00 for $125.00

Jeremy Stephens (+140) vs Renan Barao $150.00 for $210.00
Jeremy Stephens (+165) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $165.00
Jeremy Stephens +3½ points (-155) $155.00 for $100.00
Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+385) $100.00 for $385.00

Rick Story (+110) vs Tarec Saffiedine $0.00 for $10.00

Chris Camozzi (+195) vs Vitor Miranda $100.00 for $195.00
Chris Camozzi wins by TKO/KO (+1385) $20.00 for $277.00
Chris Camozzi wins in round 3 (+2725) $20.00 for $545.00
Chris Camozzi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $75.00 for $195.00

Lorenz Larkin (-135) vs Jorge Masvidal $270.00 for $200.00
Lorenz Larkin scorecards = no action (-147) $147.00 for $100.00
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+150) $75.00 for $112.50

Josh Burkman (+260) vs Paul Felder $75.00 for $195.00
Josh Burkman wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25

Jessica Eye (+135) vs Sara McMann $100.00 for $135.00
Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+855) $20.00 for $171.00
Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (+165) $100.00 for $165.00
Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+302) $35.00 for $105.70

Abel Trujillo wins in round 1 (+170) $30.00 for $51.00
Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi Under 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $120.00
Jordan Rinaldi (+260) vs Abel Trujillo $150.00 for $390.00

Jake Collier (+105) vs Alberto Pereira Uda $100.00 for $105.00
Alberto Pereira Uda wins inside distance (+242) $35.00 for $84.70

Shane Campbell (-160) vs Erik Koch $160.00 for $100.00
Erik Koch wins by 3 round decision (+428) $25.00 for $107.00

Bryan Caraway (+350) vs Aljamain Sterling $100.00 for $350.00
Bryan Caraway +3½ points (+165) $100.00 for $165.00
Bryan Caraway wins by 3 round decision (+755) $100.00 for $755.00

Adam Milstead wins in round 1 (+115) vs Chris De La Rocha $35.00 for $40.25

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-104)$41.60 for $40.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+267) $25.00 for $66.75
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+712) $15.00 for $106.80
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+2278) $10.00 for $227.80
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+9100)$5.00 for $455.00

Fights to end in submission under 1½ (+101) $25.00 for $25.25
No fights end in submission (+463) $10.00 for $46.30

Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling FOTN award winner (+700) $10.00 for $70.00

Parlay:
Jessica Eye/Sara McMann Over 2½ (-250) + Thomas Almeida/Cody Garbrandt won’t start round 4 (-183) $100.00 for $116.50

Not Sara McMann inside distance (-426) + Josh Burkman/Paul Felder starts round 3 (-253) $138.35 for $100.00

Not Aljamain Sterling inside distance (-264) + Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi won’t go 3 round distance (-195) $92.09 for $100.00

Round Robin- 21 two-team parlays of $25.00 each or $525.00 for $1102.96:
Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling Over 2½ (-190) + Shane Campbell (-165) + Jake Collier (+105) + Lorenz Larkin (-120) + Chris Camozzi/Vitor Miranda Over 2½ (-165) + Tarec Saffiedine (+105) + Jeremy Stephens/Renan Barao starts round 3 (-150)

Hey Jim, I was taking a look at your bets and seeing if you had anything I liked and felt like tailing. I was looking at the Eye/McMann matchup and don't have a good read on that one, so I was debating following your plays there. But I noticed your odds were way different than what I was seeing at 5Dimes. It seems you use 5Dimes too, so I was wondering if you had the odds mixed up or if they really had moved that drastically.

Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+855)
Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (+165)

When I look at 5Dimes, those odds look like this:

Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+435)
Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (-205)

It looked like you might have accidentally used McMann's odds for those plays. At 5Dimes, I see odds like this:

McMann wins by TKO/KO (+875)
McMann scorecards = no action (+165)
 
Those odds seem way more like the ones you have listed for Eye. Did you get the odds flip-flopped or do you really think they shifted that much since the time you made your plays? I didn't want to take Eye at the odds I'm getting now, compared to what you have, because the value doesn't seem to be quite as great as what you had. Not trying to be a d*ck, just trying to see if it's worth playing Eye at those odds or not. Thanks!

My bets are a summary of all the plays I made in the days or weeks before the fight, so yeah the odds do move a lot.

Oh I see....that's still crazy to me how much those odds were different from what you had on 5Dimes. To see someone's method of winning go from +165 to -205 seems insane to me. You could have easily come back and put $100 on McMann score cards = no action at +165 and guarantee an easy profit. Do you ever do stuff like that when the odds change that drastically? Seems like easy money

I bet a lot of underdogs on this card, and they didn't all win, but the ones that did won big for me, especially Bryan Caraway, Chris Camozzi & Jeremy Stephens. I only wish I had left my big bets on Rick Story instead of buying out of them and switched completely from Shane Campbell to Erik Koch after the weigh-ins like I was inclined to. Most of my parlays hit too with five out of seven of my round robin legs winning to top it off. One of my best cards ever with 15.62 units profit. Sorry to those that lost out today.

UFN 88 Results

Thomas Almeida (-150) vs Cody Garbrandt $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
Thomas Almeida wins by TKO/KO (+125) $100.00 for $125.00= -$100.00

Jeremy Stephens (+140) vs Renan Barao $150.00 for $210.00= $210.00
Jeremy Stephens (+165) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $165.00= $165.00
Jeremy Stephens +3½ points (-155) $155.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+385) $100.00 for $385.00= -$100.00

Rick Story (+110) vs Tarec Saffiedine $0.00 for $10.00= $10.00

Chris Camozzi (+195) vs Vitor Miranda $100.00 for $195.00= $195.00
Chris Camozzi wins by TKO/KO (+1385) $20.00 for $277.00= -$20.00
Chris Camozzi wins in round 3 (+2725) $20.00 for $545.00= -$20.00
Chris Camozzi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $75.00 for $195.00= $195.00

Lorenz Larkin (-135) vs Jorge Masvidal $270.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Lorenz Larkin scorecards = no action (-147) $147.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+150) $75.00 for $112.50= $112.50

Josh Burkman (+260) vs Paul Felder $75.00 for $195.00= -$75.00
Josh Burkman wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25= -$25.00
Live In-Play Josh Burkman (+320) vs Paul Felder $50.00 for $160.00= -$50.00

Jessica Eye (+135) vs Sara McMann $100.00 for $135.00= -$100.00
Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+855) $20.00 for $171.00= -$20.00
Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (+165) $100.00 for $165.00= Cancelled
Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+302) $35.00 for $105.70= -$35.00

Abel Trujillo wins in round 1 (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= -$30.00
Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi Under 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00
Jordan Rinaldi (+260) vs Abel Trujillo $150.00 for $390.00= -$150.00

Jake Collier (+105) vs Alberto Pereira Uda $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00
Alberto Pereira Uda wins inside distance (+242) $35.00 for $84.70= -$35.00

Shane Campbell (-160) vs Erik Koch $160.00 for $100.00= -$160.00
Erik Koch wins by 3 round decision (+428) $25.00 for $107.00= -$25.00

Bryan Caraway (+350) vs Aljamain Sterling $100.00 for $350.00= $350.00
Bryan Caraway +3½ points (+165) $100.00 for $165.00= $165.00
Bryan Caraway wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00= -$10.00
Bryan Caraway wins by 3 round decision (+755) $100.00 for $755.00= $755.00

Adam Milstead wins in round 1 (+115) vs Chris De La Rocha $35.00 for $40.25= -$35.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-104)$41.60 for $40.00= -$41.60
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+267) $25.00 for $66.75= -$25.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+712) $15.00 for $106.80= -$15.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+2278) $10.00 for $227.80= -$10.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+9100)$5.00 for $455.00= -$5.00

Fights to end in submission under 1½ (+101) $25.00 for $25.25= $25.25
No fights end in submission (+463) $10.00 for $46.30= -$10.00

Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling FOTN award winner (+700) $10.00 for $70.00= -$10.00

Parlays:
Jessica Eye/Sara McMann Over 2½ (-250) + Thomas Almeida/Cody Garbrandt won’t start round 4 (-183) $100.00 for $116.50= $116.50

Not Sara McMann inside distance (-426) + Josh Burkman/Paul Felder starts round 3 (-253) $138.35 for $100.00= $100.00
 
Not Aljamain Sterling inside distance (-264) + Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi won’t go 3 round distance (-195) $92.09 for $100.00= -$92.09

Round Robin- 21 two-team parlays of $25.00 each or $525.00 for $1102.96= $226.67

Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling Over 2½ (-190) + Shane Campbell (-165) + Jake Collier (+105) + Lorenz Larkin (-120) + Chris Camozzi/Vitor Miranda Over 2½ (-165) + Tarec Saffiedine (+105) + Jeremy Stephens/Renan Barao starts round 3 (-150)
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Total Profit= $1562.23