WSOF 3
One play gets my attention and its on Justin Gaethje -300 over Brian Cobb. See this as the old school vs the new school of fighter, Gaethje is aggressive and strong and he will run right through Cobb who gets the journeyman tag as he’s been fighting all over the world over the last several years. Cobb has good size and he’s durable but i don’t think he will be able to handle the speed and power of Justin. Its a little pricey but this kid won’t be stopped yet.
2 units Justin Gaethje -300
UFC 161
Tyron Woodley -150 vs Jake Shields +130 - i feel the ufc would like to cut Shields, sticking him on this undercard against who they think is an emerging talent in Woodley. Jake has all the advantages in this fight, in close and on the ground, Shields will take Woodley to school and even his much criticized standup will be good enough in this one. Woodley with just 2 ko's looked great against Heiron landing a big shot and getting the finish but that was seriously a fluke. Truth is Jake should be -200 and i think he will be great in this one.
3 units Jake Shields +130
Pat Barry -120 vs Shawn Jordan +100 - Jordan seriously overmatched on his feet against Barry. Jordan is durable, but how many shots can he take? Barry has never really put a win streak together but i like his chances to keep Jordan at a distance and land power shots until the finish. Jordan will be looking for a takedown and some ground n pound , but Pat has been "getting up" lately and i think he will survive any sort of takedown if it occurs. there's always an element of drama when Barry fights, he's only gone to a decision once so its finish or be finished.
2 units Pat Barry -120
Roy Nelson -250 vs Stipe Miocic +210 - Miocic getting finished in his last fight doesn't deter me from picking him in this one. Nelson on a 3 fight run beating Herman, Mitrione and Kongo(all in the 1st rd) but Miocic is better than these guys. Nelson will have problems with anyone he can't finish and my guess is this fight will go the distance. Stipe can use his quickness and stay away from getting knocked out, he will be just fine. Momentum almost makes up your mind before you analyze a fight, but looking into this battle Nelson has to get the finish or he's in trouble(lost his last 4 decisions)
1 unit Stipe Miocic +210
"opinions" on other fights;
Ryan Jimmo -240 vs Igor Pokrajac +200 - just not sold on Jimmo. Pokrajac is aggressive and by coming forward i think it will give him the edge in rounds. Jimmo will, as always, be cautious and try to land strikes but its Pokrajac who has the more well rounded game. we are going to find out in this one if Jimmo has what it takes to hang with the heavyweights in the ufc. going with Pokrajac to win a decision here.
Rashad Evans -110 vs Dan Henderson -110 - looking at the matchup, it seems like a mismatch in favor of Rashad. Rashad is bigger, stronger, and faster and if he wrestles Hendo has no chance. will he wrestle? thats the problem, you can't trust Rashad, he lost to "lil nog" had no takedowns and if he thinks he can stand and box Hendo, he's making a mistake. Hendo, can still land the big shot and he's never been stopped. i feel like Rashad will try to stand with Hendo and he will get Ko'd.
good luck with your plays,
-boldtiger