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04/23 MLB - Be careful with Cincinnati and the Chicago Cubs. Good chance for HOU & COL tonight.

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Legend
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Posted: #1
After a 3-4 Tuesday (-$1027.42):
 
ML 41-40 -$2152.35
Faves -1½ RL 0-7 -$1180.00
Dogs +1½ RL 3-4 -$1457.49
+120 or more Dogs ML 15-20 -$76.40
Totals 9-10 -$924.49
1st 5 Innings 10-12 -$2286.15
Props 4-3 -$222.63
2 Dogs Parlay 1-2 +$170.80
$$$ = -$8128.71
Strength of wagers on a scale of 1 to 5 units
1 unit = $100
All wagers: Listed Pitchers
 
 
 
Houston Astros ML +128 Risking 775.00   To Win 991.99
 
Houston Astros -1½ RL +185 Risking 225.00   To Win 416.25
 
Trends: Astros have played well in Cincy.
 
Situation: The only Reds pitcher Houston can't beat is Aaron Harang. And the pitcher they've continously beaten up on is Bronson Arroyo. Don't look for this trend to change anytime soon as this is another case of BAD TIMING for Bronson Arroyo. Astros bats are swinging well and if you look below, there are a few prime Astros sluggers who have hit Arroyo at an above average clip.
 
In any other series, you can't win money with Chris Sampson on the mound. In this case, you have to bank on Bronson Arroyo's unlucky streak versus the Astros.
 
 
versus
 
 
Astros Bullpen:
 
Jose Valverde B-
Doug Brocail A-/B+
Geoff Geary B-/C+
Oscar Villarreal B-/C+
Dave Borkowski B-/C+
Brian Moehler C+/C
Wesley Wright A/A-
Tim Byrdak C
 
Reds Bullpen:
 
Francisco Cordero B-/C+
David Weathers (DL)
Jared Burton C-
Todd Coffey C/C-
Jeremy Affeldt B-/C+
Kent Mercker C-
Mike Lincoln B-/C+
Josh Fogg B+
 
Probable Astros line-up & AB% versus Bronson Arroyo:
 
n/a Kazuo Matsui B-
.250 Darin Erstad B+
.429 Miguel Tejada B/B-
.321 Lance Berkman B-
.304 Carlos Lee B-/C+
.500 Mark Loretta C+
.333 Hunter Pence B-/C+
n/a J.R. Towles C     .286 Brad Ausmus C+/C
 
Probable Reds Lineup & AB% versus Chris Sampson:
 
.333 Jerry Hairston Jr. B-
 n/a Jeff Keppinger C
.000 Ken Griffey Jr. B-
.333 Brandon Phillips C-/D+
.000 Adam Dunn B-/C+
.500 Edwin Encarnación C-
n/a Joey Votto B+/B
n/a Paul Bako C+
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #2
WOW!
 
You gave Jose Valverde a B rating?  That's pretty generous...
 
 
Veteran
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Captain
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Prospect
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Happy - shold everyone just fade you as they do me in football!! LOL
 
just teasing bro!
 
Legend
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Posted: #6
Colorado Rockies ML -103 Risking 206.00   To Win 200.00
 
CHC-COL Over 9 -130 Risking 294.00   To Win 226.15
 
Trend against the Cubs starter: If you're an avid Cubs spectator like me, you know about Rich Hill's troubles last season. Straight to the point, take a look at his road splits. Next, take a look at his horrid career stats at Coors Field and you'll see why the 1st place Cubs are not such a big favorite in this spot. There is a small sample of Rich Hill being effective with his variable speed curveballs on the road so far this year. But overall, Rich Hill is a better home pitcher than he is on the road.
 
Situation: The streaking Cubs are coming off wins where they average 6.3 runs per game and the Rockies continue to alternate winning and loosing streaks. The Cubs owned the Rockies last year but split 4 games at Coors Field.
 
I hate to bet against streaks and worst of all, cheering against the Cubs. But i think this is a bad spot for Rich Hill based on past reference and. And according to Rich Hill's biorhythm and "star" charts this game may indeed be a bad spot for him.
 
I can't really make a case for Franklin Morales as this wager is a play against Rich Hill on the road. Power pitchers like Morales can only be so good for 4 innings, then by the 3rd at-bats, i expect the Cubs sluggers to key in on his fastballs. Even w/o Kaz and a hit'n'miss Holliday this season for the Rockies, I'll take my chances on the Over as well.
 
 
 
versus
 
 
Cubs Bullpen:
 
Kerry Wood B-/C+
Carlos Marmol B-
Bob Howry B-
Michael Wuertz B-/C+
Kevin Hart B+
Jon Lieber A-/B+
Sean Marshall C/C-
Scott Eyre (DL)
 
Rockies Bullpen:
 
Manny Corpas A
Matt Herges B-
Brian Fuentes B-/C+
Taylor Buchholz B-
Kip Wells A-/B+
Josh Newman B
 
Probable Cubs line-up & AB% versus Franklin Morales:
 
n/a Reed Johnson A
n/a Felix Pie C/C-
n/a Derrek Lee B+
n/a Aramis Ramirez B-/C+
n/a Kosuke Fukudome A+
n/a Mark DeRosa B-/C+
n/a Ronny Cedeño B-
n/a Geovany Soto C+
 
Probable Rockies line-up & AB% versus Rich Hill:
 
.000 Willy Taveras B-/C+
.333 Clint Barmes B-/C+
n/a Todd Helton C/C-
.500 Matt Holliday C-
.200 Garrett Atkins B-/C+
.000 Brad Hawpe B+/B
n/a Jeff Baker B-    
.500 Yorvit Torrealba B-
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by MLKing:

WOW!
 
You gave Jose Valverde a B rating?  That's pretty generous...
 

Hey, Valverde got the win yesterday, didn't he?

Every dog has his day.

 
Legend
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Posted: #8
You gave Jose Valverde a B rating?  That's pretty generous...
 
It was probably some sort of a rating on eating ability. 
 
Only kidding...GL Kane. 
 
 
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Posted: #9
are these Biodex readings?
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
Soft home leftie fade play of the day:
 
Luis Mendoza
 
versus
 
Kenny Rogers
 
Texas Rangers ML +152 Risking 100.00   To Win 152.00
 
 
 
 
 
My dime play of the day:
 
 
versus
 
 
Chicago White Sox ML -140 Risking 1000.00   To Win 714.29
 
 
 
 
 
Prop play of the day:
 
SFO/SDG No Score 1st Inning -130 Risking 300.00   To Win 230.77
 
Hall of Fame
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Chicago White Sox ML -140 Risking 1000.00   To Win 714.29
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Are you biting Kanye???
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #12
WussieMan - That and...
 
this.
 
 
versus
 
 
 
 
Rookie
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Posted: #13
Happy my bioplay of the day is LAD-107
 
peace
 
other plays sf, cin u, pit was o
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #14
 
 
 
 
 
You and your fucking DNA strands.....
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #15
BOL
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Where do you get these grades from?  Quite frankly, they look random. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by depeche2:

Where do you get these grades from?  Quite frankly, they look random. 

Click on Bronson. Thats a biorhythm chart.

Click on Arroyo. Thats an ephemeris astrology chart.

I use the biorhythm chart to see if the pitcher will have their command or not.

I use the astrologhy chart to see if its a beneficial or fortunate day for the pitcher or otherwise.

These are the 2 extra things i do when i keep track of pitchers' and players' performances besides their stats and trends.

 

indiobear - GL w/ SFO and Pitt. I don't like Cincy one bit though.

 
Legend
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Posted: #18
Woot! I just got a 3rd base box seat. This will be my 2nd Vazquez home game.
 
Coincidentally, every Cubs and Sox game i've attended thus far, the home team have won. Hope this is a good sign.
 
Cheers, fellas!
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Sick.  Sick. Just sick.
 
I'm actually cheering for the Cubs now.
 
Woooo!
 
Make it the 10,000th win!
 
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Posted: #20
Manny Corpas an A rating lol
 
Cubs win their 6th in a row
 
Legend
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by MDAAKD:

Manny Corpas an A rating lol
 
Cubs win their 6th in a row

You know that i don't make these grades up myself, yeah?

Manny Corpas's biorhythm and ephemeris chart.

Congratulations to Cubs and Over bettors.

Hard to put money on Jason Marquis tomorrow, but his chart is good and Aaron Cook is usually a good fade.

 
 
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Posted: #22
Thanks for the info. 
 
Marquis v. Cook should be a decent matchup.  I'll take our bats though.
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