Posted:
#1
After a 3-4 Tuesday (-$1027.42):
ML 41-40 -$2152.35
Faves -1½ RL 0-7 -$1180.00
Dogs +1½ RL 3-4 -$1457.49
+120 or more Dogs ML 15-20 -$76.40
Totals 9-10 -$924.49
1st 5 Innings 10-12 -$2286.15
Props 4-3 -$222.63
2 Dogs Parlay 1-2 +$170.80
$$$ = -$8128.71
Strength of wagers on a scale of 1 to 5 units
1 unit = $100
All wagers: Listed Pitchers
Houston Astros ML +128 Risking 775.00 To Win 991.99
Houston Astros -1½ RL +185 Risking 225.00 To Win 416.25
Trends: Astros have played well in Cincy.
Situation: The only Reds pitcher Houston can't beat is Aaron Harang. And the pitcher they've continously beaten up on is Bronson Arroyo. Don't look for this trend to change anytime soon as this is another case of BAD TIMING for Bronson Arroyo. Astros bats are swinging well and if you look below, there are a few prime Astros sluggers who have hit Arroyo at an above average clip.
In any other series, you can't win money with Chris Sampson on the mound. In this case, you have to bank on Bronson Arroyo's unlucky streak versus the Astros.
Chris Sampson B+/B
versus
Astros Bullpen:
Jose Valverde B-
Doug Brocail A-/B+
Geoff Geary B-/C+
Oscar Villarreal B-/C+
Dave Borkowski B-/C+
Brian Moehler C+/C
Wesley Wright A/A-
Tim Byrdak C
Doug Brocail A-/B+
Geoff Geary B-/C+
Oscar Villarreal B-/C+
Dave Borkowski B-/C+
Brian Moehler C+/C
Wesley Wright A/A-
Tim Byrdak C
Reds Bullpen:
Francisco Cordero B-/C+
David Weathers (DL)
Jared Burton C-
Todd Coffey C/C-
Jeremy Affeldt B-/C+
Kent Mercker C-
Mike Lincoln B-/C+
Josh Fogg B+
David Weathers (DL)
Jared Burton C-
Todd Coffey C/C-
Jeremy Affeldt B-/C+
Kent Mercker C-
Mike Lincoln B-/C+
Josh Fogg B+
Probable Astros line-up & AB% versus Bronson Arroyo:
n/a Kazuo Matsui B-
.250 Darin Erstad B+
.429 Miguel Tejada B/B-
.321 Lance Berkman B-
.304 Carlos Lee B-/C+
.500 Mark Loretta C+
.333 Hunter Pence B-/C+
n/a J.R. Towles C .286 Brad Ausmus C+/C
.250 Darin Erstad B+
.429 Miguel Tejada B/B-
.321 Lance Berkman B-
.304 Carlos Lee B-/C+
.500 Mark Loretta C+
.333 Hunter Pence B-/C+
n/a J.R. Towles C .286 Brad Ausmus C+/C
Probable Reds Lineup & AB% versus Chris Sampson:
.333 Jerry Hairston Jr. B-
n/a Jeff Keppinger C
.000 Ken Griffey Jr. B-
.333 Brandon Phillips C-/D+
.000 Adam Dunn B-/C+
.500 Edwin Encarnación C-
n/a Joey Votto B+/B
n/a Paul Bako C+
n/a Jeff Keppinger C
.000 Ken Griffey Jr. B-
.333 Brandon Phillips C-/D+
.000 Adam Dunn B-/C+
.500 Edwin Encarnación C-
n/a Joey Votto B+/B
n/a Paul Bako C+
0
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