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#1
3-0 YTD +3.06u
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +135 (Tillman) vs. San Diego Padres (Cashner)
Cashner has been respectable for the Padres thus far but has allowed 9 earned in 14 innings spanning five road games this season. The Padres are 1-4 when he throws a pitch on the road. Aside from Chris Snyder’s base on balls, not one Orioles batter has faced Cashner. The Orioles however rank third in all of baseball against righties with a .276 average. Orioles have the edge in the box, the pen, and on the mound. Factor in home field and I see value in the run line tonight.
1u to win 1.35u
Cleveland Indians -128 (Kazmir) @ Philadelphia Phillies (Pettibone)
Kazmir appears to have found a groove after a shaky first start of the year. He has allowed just two earned in each of his last three starts. Should he only be able to go 6 innings, I feel very comfortable seeing Cleveland’s bullpen toe the rubber as they rank 5th in all of baseball with a 2.95 era. The Phillies are 26th in the league vs. lefties with a .228 average. The Indians are hitting lefties at a .268 average. They also own the league’s best road batting average with a .275 clip. Factor in CMM’s five unit bomb on this same game and it is a for sure lock for me.
1.28u to win 1u
Kansas City Royals +106 (Guthrie) @ Los Angeles Angels (Vargas)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +135 (Tillman) vs. San Diego Padres (Cashner)
Cashner has been respectable for the Padres thus far but has allowed 9 earned in 14 innings spanning five road games this season. The Padres are 1-4 when he throws a pitch on the road. Aside from Chris Snyder’s base on balls, not one Orioles batter has faced Cashner. The Orioles however rank third in all of baseball against righties with a .276 average. Orioles have the edge in the box, the pen, and on the mound. Factor in home field and I see value in the run line tonight.
1u to win 1.35u
Cleveland Indians -128 (Kazmir) @ Philadelphia Phillies (Pettibone)
Kazmir appears to have found a groove after a shaky first start of the year. He has allowed just two earned in each of his last three starts. Should he only be able to go 6 innings, I feel very comfortable seeing Cleveland’s bullpen toe the rubber as they rank 5th in all of baseball with a 2.95 era. The Phillies are 26th in the league vs. lefties with a .228 average. The Indians are hitting lefties at a .268 average. They also own the league’s best road batting average with a .275 clip. Factor in CMM’s five unit bomb on this same game and it is a for sure lock for me.
1.28u to win 1u
Kansas City Royals +106 (Guthrie) @ Los Angeles Angels (Vargas)
This Angels team owns a career .179 average (20 for 112) vs. Guthrie, with seven of those hits coming from the old Josh Hamilton. This Angels team continues to be a fade for me as they are simply out of sorts right now. Guthrie is 10-0 in his last 18 starts dating back to August 8th. Vargas was touched up for 10 hits and five earned in 5 and 2/3 innings vs. an offensively challenged Astros team in his most recent start. I see the better pitcher and the better team at plus money here. Factor in Key’s liking and it’s worth a stab for me.
1u to wins 1.06u
Three plays a day with a hopeful result of 2-1. Best of luck to all!
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