4-26-21 Mon MLB Wagers

NFL Grand Totals W/L 94-72-6, Pct. 56.62% setback -$1,784 units -17.84
NCAAF Grand Totals 06-07 W/L 15-6, Pct. 71.42% win $400 units +4
NBA Grand Totals W/L 961-937-32, Pct. 50.63% win $6,736 units +67.36
WBC 09 W/L 1-0, Pct. 100% win $100 unit +1
MLB 21 YTD W/L 25-32, Pct. 43.85% setback -$408.14 units -4.0814
MLB Grand Totals YTD W/L 1876-1777, Pct. 51.35% win $6,278.15 units +62.7815
All Sports W/L 2947-2792-38, Pct. 51.35% win $11,730.15 units +117.3015

Picks for the day:

1. Min-125 @ Clev+115 Pick: Clev+115 10/11.50
Jose vs Zach

2. Cubs+162 @ Atl-177 Pick: Atl-177 18/10.16
Zach vs Charlie

3. Oak-115 @ Tbr+105 Pick: Tbr+105 10/10.50
Sean vs Rich

4. Mia+162 @ Mil-177 Pick: Mil-177 18/10.16
Trevor vs Corbin

5. Col+150 @ Sfg-160 Pick: Sfg-160 16/10
Austin vs Anthony

Note: Listed pitchers must start otherwise "no action".

Previous Totals W/L 2-4, Pct. 33.33% setback -$31 unit -.31

Hi yall! Likin all home teams 2day, 3 of them pubs n 2 of them nasty critters. Ok GL with your wagers at the diamonds 2day!

Quote for the day: "It's a strange business, all jeers and no cheers."---Tom Gorman National League umpire

GL today SirjohnDrake

@Fuse

 GL Fuse!  

@dcgmt

 GL dcgmt!  

Hey Sir john,. It's been a few years but always love your style. Slow Progressive system with patience is the way to win long. I remember one of your writes up over 10 years ago on flat betting and it reminds me Something I saw today on Twitter and have always known but it's always good for me to review every once in a while. The harsh reality of betting sports...by the numbers

Assuming $110 to win $100 per bet, here's your profit margin over a 100 game sample

55-45 (+$550)
54-46 (+$340)
53-47 (+$130)
52-48 (-$80)
51-49 (-$290)
50-50 (-$500)
49-51 (-$710)
48-52 (-$920)

The grind is real

Keep rolling and will keep following!

@SirJohnDrake

 Atl and SF 

@RC921

 Hi RC! Thanks for the compliment! Yeah that slow progressive system along with the patience is the way to win long, yes indeed! I like your illustration, it shows the reality, the harsh reality of betting sports. So if a gambler is very disciplined in just betting with a flat system they are going to find it very very hard to win in the long run, you would have to maintain that 55% win percentage or better which is not easy to do if you're only betting that 110 to make a 100 as you have illustrated with your example.

Now if you're the type that doesn't mind taking bets just below -200 then you're going to have to maintain a 66.66% winning percentage, again not easy to do, to make any kind of a gain. But if you only like dogs then you just have to maintain a 50% winning percentage provided that your risks always stays the same but again that is not easy to do in the long run.

That's one discipline that is actually an obstacle into a gambler's success in the long run by always betting flat. What a gambler needs first is a nice sizable bankroll, then use a progressive system by first starting the cycle low, then use a progressive system to get losses back. Of course it helps to know the trends, which starting pitchers are quality, which team closers are quality, the list goes on and on and so yes the grind is real...it's tough! Thanks for your post RC and good luck with your season!

GL y69! 

Awesome, beat of luck SJD!